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Type 'q()' to quit R. > y <- c(1184000000,1108991492,1405554905,1372647399,1286065435,1289115681) > x <- c(17914000,51170000,119966000,24928000,61152000,45617000) > par8 = '1' > par7 = '0' > par6 = '1' > par5 = '2.0' > par4 = '1' > par3 = '1' > par2 = '0' > par1 = '1' > ylab = 'y' > xlab = 'x' > par8 <- '1' > par7 <- '0' > par6 <- '1' > par5 <- '2.0' > par4 <- '1' > par3 <- '1' > par2 <- '0' > par1 <- '1' > #'GNU S' R Code compiled by R2WASP v. 1.2.327 () > #Author: root > #To cite this work: Wessa P., (2013), Bivariate Granger Causality (v1.0.3) in Free Statistics Software (v$_version), Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.wessa.net/rwasp_grangercausality.wasp/ > #Source of accompanying publication: Office for Research, Development, and Education > # > library(lmtest) Loading required package: zoo Attaching package: 'zoo' The following objects are masked from 'package:base': as.Date, as.Date.numeric > par1 <- as.numeric(par1) > par2 <- as.numeric(par2) > par3 <- as.numeric(par3) > par4 <- as.numeric(par4) > par5 <- as.numeric(par5) > par6 <- as.numeric(par6) > par7 <- as.numeric(par7) > par8 <- as.numeric(par8) > ox <- x > oy <- y > if (par1 == 0) { + x <- log(x) + } else { + x <- (x ^ par1 - 1) / par1 + } > if (par5 == 0) { + y <- log(y) + } else { + y <- (y ^ par5 - 1) / par5 + } > if (par2 > 0) x <- diff(x,lag=1,difference=par2) > if (par6 > 0) y <- diff(y,lag=1,difference=par6) > if (par3 > 0) x <- diff(x,lag=par4,difference=par3) > if (par7 > 0) y <- diff(y,lag=par4,difference=par7) > x [1] 33256000 68796000 -95038000 36224000 -15535000 > y [1] -8.599694e+16 3.728612e+17 -4.571185e+16 -1.150983e+17 3.927468e+15 > (gyx <- grangertest(y ~ x, order=par8)) Granger causality test Model 1: y ~ Lags(y, 1:1) + Lags(x, 1:1) Model 2: y ~ Lags(y, 1:1) Res.Df Df F Pr(>F) 1 1 2 2 -1 0.6347 0.5717 > (gxy <- grangertest(x ~ y, order=par8)) Granger causality test Model 1: x ~ Lags(x, 1:1) + Lags(y, 1:1) Model 2: x ~ Lags(x, 1:1) Res.Df Df F Pr(>F) 1 1 2 2 -1 1.6829 0.4181 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/1uwif1489266089.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1)) > (r <- ccf(ox,oy,main='Cross Correlation Function (raw data)',ylab='CCF',xlab='Lag (k)')) Autocorrelations of series 'X', by lag -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 -0.022 -0.125 -0.222 0.583 0.465 -0.680 -0.052 0.014 0.029 > (r <- ccf(x,y,main='Cross Correlation Function (transformed and differenced)',ylab='CCF',xlab='Lag (k)')) Autocorrelations of series 'X', by lag -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -0.105 -0.171 0.366 0.437 -0.812 0.461 -0.212 > par(op) > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/2408s1489266089.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1)) > acf(ox,lag.max=round(length(x)/2),main='ACF of x (raw)') > acf(x,lag.max=round(length(x)/2),main='ACF of x (transformed and differenced)') > par(op) > dev.off() null device 1 > postscript(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/3164z1489266089.ps",horizontal=F,onefile=F,pagecentre=F,paper="special",width=8.3333333333333,height=5.5555555555556) > op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1)) > acf(oy,lag.max=round(length(y)/2),main='ACF of y (raw)') > acf(y,lag.max=round(length(y)/2),main='ACF of y (transformed and differenced)') > par(op) > dev.off() null device 1 > > #Note: the /var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable file can be downloaded at http://www.wessa.net/cretab > load(file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/createtable") > > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Granger Causality Test: Y = f(X)',5,TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Model',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Res.DF',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Diff. DF',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'F',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Complete model',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,gyx$Res.Df[1]) > a<-table.element(a,'') > a<-table.element(a,'') > a<-table.element(a,'') > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Reduced model',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,gyx$Res.Df[2]) > a<-table.element(a,gyx$Df[2]) > a<-table.element(a,gyx$F[2]) > a<-table.element(a,gyx$Pr[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/4rr4c1489266089.tab") > a<-table.start() > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Granger Causality Test: X = f(Y)',5,TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Model',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Res.DF',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'Diff. DF',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'F',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,'p-value',header=TRUE) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Complete model',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,gxy$Res.Df[1]) > a<-table.element(a,'') > a<-table.element(a,'') > a<-table.element(a,'') > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.row.start(a) > a<-table.element(a,'Reduced model',header=TRUE) > a<-table.element(a,gxy$Res.Df[2]) > a<-table.element(a,gxy$Df[2]) > a<-table.element(a,gxy$F[2]) > a<-table.element(a,gxy$Pr[2]) > a<-table.row.end(a) > a<-table.end(a) > table.save(a,file="/var/wessaorg/rcomp/tmp/5eyvk1489266089.tab") > > try(system("convert tmp/1uwif1489266089.ps tmp/1uwif1489266089.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/2408s1489266089.ps tmp/2408s1489266089.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > try(system("convert tmp/3164z1489266089.ps tmp/3164z1489266089.png",intern=TRUE)) character(0) > > > proc.time() user system elapsed 1.302 0.096 1.427