| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5038 | 0.2393 | 0.2015 | -0.6916 | -0.5652 |
| (p-val) | (0.0071 ) | (0.0996 ) | (0.198 ) | (0 ) | (0.0274 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.6337 | 0.3237 | 0 | -0.7812 | -0.4968 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0173 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0514 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.6361 | 0.2746 | 0 | -0.7779 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (3e-04 ) | (0.0365 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.072499809936493 |
| -5.85903274027499 |
| -4.00763829940104 |
| -0.386845131912194 |
| -1.69960552048138 |
| -6.86649078263809 |
| -1.03562703600775 |
| 4.70654062923064 |
| -2.35593581303283 |
| 4.22456262477898 |
| 1.49700549226349 |
| -6.6487733853965 |
| 1.80718073817770 |
| 0.450684464723947 |
| 1.32098125290736 |
| 4.78688591330881 |
| -4.12262701124157 |
| -8.45076533203497 |
| 3.77966380279247 |
| -4.8625347492159 |
| 3.26417329071062 |
| -0.403682957571923 |
| -8.26482718511549 |
| -1.12680306817952 |
| 9.27961160993421 |
| -7.63752511219848 |
| -7.4409638504782 |
| -15.1434472708745 |
| 3.5265043158754 |
| 4.95583146212609 |
| 6.11224495563414 |
| -4.26999207339626 |
| 4.00444771307095 |
| 2.56131292912274 |
| -8.83192507557868 |
| 2.64754800717265 |
| 4.38275432296177 |
| 2.26325597244090 |
| 0.175849318807691 |
| 6.45126864582664 |
| -8.28080582046052 |
| 6.36132429828906 |
| 1.87079520290223 |
| -3.24826812220646 |
| 2.04140795447430 |
| 0.568206984689544 |
| 3.45179321731026 |
| 11.1423542022754 |
| 2.72966022803266 |
| 6.41978693938358 |
| 5.74830991360899 |
| 3.44628168295974 |
| -4.40401165459842 |
| -2.0822816203371 |
| -2.37493971797645 |
| 1.99618412869135 |
| 4.01919657530143 |
| -7.25229060876065 |
| 6.9391157638679 |
| 2.07854620685837 |
| -7.64994114292535 |
| 7.550126055833 |
