| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.7114 | -0.3485 | -0.3022 | -0.0616 | -0.4651 | 0.026 |
| (p-val) | (0.0172 ) | (0.2182 ) | (0.1559 ) | (0.828 ) | (0.0116 ) | (0.9032 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.7127 | -0.3509 | -0.3016 | -0.064 | -0.4787 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0171 ) | (0.2147 ) | (0.1577 ) | (0.8215 ) | (0.0013 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.6565 | -0.3026 | -0.3356 | 0 | -0.4806 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.075 ) | (0.0173 ) | (NA ) | (0.0011 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.4811 | 0 | -0.5243 | 0 | -0.4323 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0052 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -2.10457560171121 |
| -2.84995330886347 |
| 46.140022736294 |
| -23.0236734627402 |
| 5.32691752260588 |
| 3.72935141864758 |
| 23.9357195514575 |
| -20.8918147400443 |
| 4.94238022179089 |
| 8.2403700989428 |
| -9.96879456704038 |
| -12.8245800000455 |
| 12.1884733668824 |
| -16.596767603085 |
| -6.28041271958511 |
| 0.00200133562462745 |
| -27.0884803839886 |
| 34.6239466878922 |
| -18.6903340929129 |
| 24.2454000280314 |
| 45.5064216840231 |
| -32.6476425596332 |
| 5.18773085547615 |
| -17.6380054935301 |
| -28.6229667343393 |
| -37.9484017903124 |
| 13.0628829120880 |
| -25.0625726558261 |
| 11.7257898782491 |
| 21.1437621946249 |
| -18.0925033164274 |
| -7.8950783732251 |
| -19.4671275087715 |
| 15.9046364581795 |
| 44.35406275576 |
| 58.817686332312 |
| 9.92451786878418 |
| -19.0079561095446 |
| 25.5925321178723 |
| -2.38227219240559 |
| 49.3449023447611 |
| 26.6795876335442 |
| 6.31396353155265 |
| 29.0054007275384 |
| -16.8667866377469 |
| 31.5249662572948 |
| 24.8496104596407 |
| -44.6099867045676 |
| -1.86410501419414 |
