| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 14886 | 15318 | -432 |
| 4 | 16005 | 15273 | 732 |
| 5 | 17064 | 16392 | 672 |
| 6 | 15168 | 17451 | -2283 |
| 7 | 16050 | 15555 | 495 |
| 8 | 15839 | 16437 | -598 |
| 9 | 15137 | 16226 | -1089 |
| 10 | 14954 | 15524 | -570 |
| 11 | 15648 | 15341 | 307 |
| 12 | 15305 | 16035 | -730 |
| 13 | 15579 | 15692 | -113 |
| 14 | 16348 | 15966 | 382 |
| 15 | 15928 | 16735 | -807 |
| 16 | 16171 | 16315 | -144 |
| 17 | 15937 | 16558 | -621 |
| 18 | 15713 | 16324 | -611 |
| 19 | 15594 | 16100 | -506 |
| 20 | 15683 | 15981 | -298 |
| 21 | 16438 | 16070 | 368 |
| 22 | 17032 | 16825 | 207 |
| 23 | 17696 | 17419 | 277 |
| 24 | 17745 | 18083 | -338 |
| 25 | 19394 | 18132 | 1262 |
| 26 | 20148 | 19781 | 367 |
| 27 | 20108 | 20535 | -427 |
| 28 | 18584 | 20495 | -1911 |
| 29 | 18441 | 18971 | -530 |
| 30 | 18391 | 18828 | -437 |
| 31 | 19178 | 18778 | 400 |
| 32 | 18079 | 19565 | -1486 |
| 33 | 18483 | 18466 | 17 |
| 34 | 19644 | 18870 | 774 |
| 35 | 19195 | 20031 | -836 |
| 36 | 19650 | 19582 | 68 |
| 37 | 20830 | 20037 | 793 |
| 38 | 23595 | 21217 | 2378 |
| 39 | 22937 | 23982 | -1045 |
| 40 | 21814 | 23324 | -1510 |
| 41 | 21928 | 22201 | -273 |
| 42 | 21777 | 22315 | -538 |
| 43 | 21383 | 22164 | -781 |
| 44 | 21467 | 21770 | -303 |
| 45 | 22052 | 21854 | 198 |
| 46 | 22680 | 22439 | 241 |
| 47 | 24320 | 23067 | 1253 |
| 48 | 24977 | 24707 | 270 |
| 49 | 25204 | 25364 | -160 |
| 50 | 25739 | 25591 | 148 |
| 51 | 26434 | 26126 | 308 |
| 52 | 27525 | 26821 | 704 |
| 53 | 30695 | 27912 | 2783 |
| 54 | 32436 | 31082 | 1354 |
| 55 | 30160 | 32823 | -2663 |
| 56 | 30236 | 30547 | -311 |
| 57 | 31293 | 30623 | 670 |
| 58 | 31077 | 31680 | -603 |
| 59 | 32226 | 31464 | 762 |
| 60 | 33865 | 32613 | 1252 |
| 61 | 32810 | 34252 | -1442 |
| 62 | 32242 | 33197 | -955 |
| 63 | 32700 | 32629 | 71 |
| 64 | 32819 | 33087 | -268 |
| 65 | 33947 | 33206 | 741 |
| 66 | 34148 | 34334 | -186 |
| 67 | 35261 | 34535 | 726 |
| 68 | 39506 | 35648 | 3858 |
| 69 | 41591 | 39893 | 1698 |
| 70 | 39148 | 41978 | -2830 |
| 71 | 41216 | 39535 | 1681 |
| 72 | 40225 | 41603 | -1378 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 73 | 40612 | 38391.0924536622 | 42832.9075463378 |
| 74 | 40999 | 37858.1624271924 | 44139.8375728076 |
| 75 | 41386 | 37539.2752908298 | 45232.7247091702 |
| 76 | 41773 | 37331.1849073244 | 46214.8150926756 |
| 77 | 42160 | 37193.8997546465 | 47126.1002453535 |
| 78 | 42547 | 37106.9097455758 | 47987.0902544242 |
| 79 | 42934 | 37058.0309475236 | 48809.9690524764 |
| 80 | 43321 | 37039.3248543847 | 49602.6751456153 |
| 81 | 43708 | 37045.2773609866 | 50370.7226390134 |
| 82 | 44095 | 37071.8736809167 | 51118.1263190833 |
| 83 | 44482 | 37116.0829747287 | 51847.9170252713 |
| 84 | 44869 | 37175.5505816597 | 52562.4494183403 |
