| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -1.0256 | -0.6136 | -0.1521 | -0.9983 | -0.7658 | -0.4072 | 0.2762 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (8e-04 ) | (0.2388 ) | (0 ) | (0.1818 ) | (0.0904 ) | (0.6575 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -1.018 | -0.5969 | -0.1499 | -0.9983 | -0.5143 | -0.3081 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (8e-04 ) | (0.245 ) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0.0732 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.9402 | -0.4461 | 0 | -1.0016 | -0.5369 | -0.3152 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0658 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.9742 | -0.4468 | 0 | -1.0014 | -0.4618 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (3e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 5541.25053195015 |
| -26717.260621681 |
| -11096.8995735751 |
| 14084.4713071586 |
| 13010.9141006813 |
| 223945.421685309 |
| -251634.390156234 |
| -119098.393573196 |
| 50755.4117005483 |
| 85286.7639273275 |
| -118295.384207686 |
| -27949.6169838939 |
| -8831.61572099072 |
| 81876.795969459 |
| 111213.468547414 |
| -209439.280135481 |
| 102709.35360341 |
| -142057.246740276 |
| 224215.098086219 |
| 159977.095953346 |
| 50329.5813766909 |
| -88286.4185123061 |
| -2243.517929397 |
| -45436.8138777233 |
| -95396.0218038732 |
| -110290.880174063 |
| -51662.9308260122 |
| -76675.0273778484 |
| -36681.3374322764 |
| -46055.6155638292 |
| 161247.520356547 |
| 127420.005869212 |
| 12952.7218660898 |
| -67934.4838934765 |
| -4593.49234002268 |
| -22020.9501598857 |
| 92522.2769875278 |
| 69956.3245385834 |
| -198425.822439898 |
| 73598.8656184062 |
| 30371.4262572801 |
| -61250.6717786809 |
| 147406.180860233 |
| 69233.3864912577 |
| -42776.0531525183 |
| -77570.6439940812 |
| -16129.2531069031 |
| 23547.7291806268 |
| -59135.8552761928 |
| -75223.8017962516 |
| 18080.1317060512 |
| 5755.78464193631 |
| 4421.24465098542 |
| -9909.98494129632 |
| 105634.764542099 |
| 4954.20213418691 |
| -15609.1097335735 |
| -37191.8650252877 |
| -11.6993832152771 |
