| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 2.25 | NA | NA | -0.0796990740740741 | NA |
| 2 | 2.25 | NA | NA | -0.102893518518519 | NA |
| 3 | 2.45 | NA | NA | -0.103796296296296 | NA |
| 4 | 2.5 | NA | NA | -0.0896990740740739 | NA |
| 5 | 2.5 | NA | NA | -0.0995601851851852 | NA |
| 6 | 2.64 | NA | NA | -0.0524768518518518 | NA |
| 7 | 2.75 | 2.85842592592593 | 2.80875 | 0.0496759259259259 | -0.108425925925926 |
| 8 | 2.93 | 3.03828703703704 | 2.91291666666667 | 0.12537037037037 | -0.108287037037037 |
| 9 | 3 | 3.17078703703704 | 3.015 | 0.155787037037037 | -0.170787037037037 |
| 10 | 3.17 | 3.27502314814815 | 3.11708333333333 | 0.157939814814815 | -0.105023148148148 |
| 11 | 3.25 | 3.29168981481481 | 3.22125 | 0.0704398148148148 | -0.0416898148148146 |
| 12 | 3.39 | 3.29474537037037 | 3.32583333333333 | -0.0310879629629629 | 0.0952546296296299 |
| 13 | 3.5 | 3.35071759259259 | 3.43041666666667 | -0.0796990740740741 | 0.149282407407407 |
| 14 | 3.5 | 3.42418981481481 | 3.52708333333333 | -0.102893518518519 | 0.0758101851851851 |
| 15 | 3.65 | 3.50953703703704 | 3.61333333333333 | -0.103796296296296 | 0.140462962962963 |
| 16 | 3.75 | 3.59988425925926 | 3.68958333333333 | -0.0896990740740739 | 0.150115740740741 |
| 17 | 3.75 | 3.65585648148148 | 3.75541666666667 | -0.0995601851851852 | 0.0941435185185191 |
| 18 | 3.9 | 3.75960648148148 | 3.81208333333333 | -0.0524768518518518 | 0.140393518518519 |
| 19 | 4 | 3.90800925925926 | 3.85833333333333 | 0.0496759259259259 | 0.0919907407407408 |
| 20 | 4 | 4.02537037037037 | 3.9 | 0.12537037037037 | -0.0253703703703705 |
| 21 | 4 | 4.0912037037037 | 3.93541666666667 | 0.155787037037037 | -0.0912037037037039 |
| 22 | 4 | 4.11835648148148 | 3.96041666666667 | 0.157939814814815 | -0.118356481481482 |
| 23 | 4 | 4.05168981481482 | 3.98125 | 0.0704398148148148 | -0.0516898148148153 |
| 24 | 4 | 3.96474537037037 | 3.99583333333333 | -0.0310879629629629 | 0.035254629629629 |
| 25 | 4 | 3.92780092592593 | 4.0075 | -0.0796990740740741 | 0.0721990740740734 |
| 26 | 4 | 3.92252314814815 | 4.02541666666667 | -0.102893518518519 | 0.0774768518518512 |
| 27 | 4 | 3.9424537037037 | 4.04625 | -0.103796296296296 | 0.0575462962962954 |
| 28 | 4 | 3.96571759259259 | 4.05541666666667 | -0.0896990740740739 | 0.0342824074074066 |
| 29 | 4 | 3.93043981481482 | 4.03 | -0.0995601851851852 | 0.0695601851851837 |
| 30 | 4 | 3.90127314814815 | 3.95375 | -0.0524768518518518 | 0.0987268518518509 |
| 31 | 4.18 | 3.88092592592593 | 3.83125 | 0.0496759259259259 | 0.299074074074073 |
| 32 | 4.25 | 3.80287037037037 | 3.6775 | 0.12537037037037 | 0.447129629629629 |
| 33 | 4.25 | 3.6524537037037 | 3.49666666666667 | 0.155787037037037 | 0.597546296296296 |
| 34 | 3.97 | 3.44502314814815 | 3.28708333333333 | 0.157939814814815 | 0.524976851851852 |
| 35 | 3.42 | 3.12418981481481 | 3.05375 | 0.0704398148148148 | 0.295810185185185 |
| 36 | 2.75 | 2.77641203703704 | 2.8075 | -0.0310879629629629 | -0.0264120370370367 |
| 37 | 2.31 | 2.47030092592593 | 2.55 | -0.0796990740740741 | -0.160300925925926 |
| 38 | 2 | 2.17918981481481 | 2.28208333333333 | -0.102893518518519 | -0.179189814814815 |
| 39 | 1.66 | 1.9074537037037 | 2.01125 | -0.103796296296296 | -0.247453703703704 |
| 40 | 1.31 | 1.66238425925926 | 1.75208333333333 | -0.0896990740740739 | -0.352384259259259 |
| 41 | 1.09 | 1.42793981481481 | 1.5275 | -0.0995601851851852 | -0.337939814814815 |
| 42 | 1 | 1.30127314814815 | 1.35375 | -0.0524768518518518 | -0.301273148148148 |
| 43 | 1 | 1.27592592592593 | 1.22625 | 0.0496759259259259 | -0.275925925925926 |
| 44 | 1 | 1.25537037037037 | 1.13 | 0.12537037037037 | -0.25537037037037 |
| 45 | 1 | 1.21662037037037 | 1.06083333333333 | 0.155787037037037 | -0.21662037037037 |
| 46 | 1 | 1.17835648148148 | 1.02041666666667 | 0.157939814814815 | -0.178356481481482 |
| 47 | 1 | 1.07418981481482 | 1.00375 | 0.0704398148148148 | -0.0741898148148149 |
| 48 | 1 | 0.968912037037037 | 1 | -0.0310879629629629 | 0.0310879629629626 |
| 49 | 1 | 0.920300925925926 | 1 | -0.0796990740740741 | 0.079699074074074 |
| 50 | 1 | 0.897106481481482 | 1 | -0.102893518518519 | 0.102893518518518 |
| 51 | 1 | 0.896203703703704 | 1 | -0.103796296296296 | 0.103796296296296 |
| 52 | 1 | 0.910300925925926 | 1 | -0.0896990740740739 | 0.0896990740740737 |
| 53 | 1 | 0.900439814814815 | 1 | -0.0995601851851852 | 0.0995601851851851 |
| 54 | 1 | 0.947523148148148 | 1 | -0.0524768518518518 | 0.0524768518518515 |
| 55 | 1 | 1.04967592592593 | 1 | 0.0496759259259259 | -0.0496759259259261 |
| 56 | 1 | 1.12537037037037 | 1 | 0.12537037037037 | -0.125370370370371 |
| 57 | 1 | 1.15578703703704 | 1 | 0.155787037037037 | -0.155787037037037 |
| 58 | 1 | 1.16377314814815 | 1.00583333333333 | 0.157939814814815 | -0.163773148148148 |
| 59 | 1 | 1.09252314814815 | 1.02208333333333 | 0.0704398148148148 | -0.0925231481481482 |
| 60 | 1 | 1.0118287037037 | 1.04291666666667 | -0.0310879629629629 | -0.0118287037037041 |
| 61 | 1 | 0.990300925925926 | 1.07 | -0.0796990740740741 | 0.00969907407407389 |
| 62 | 1 | 1.00460648148148 | 1.1075 | -0.102893518518519 | -0.00460648148148146 |
| 63 | 1 | 1.04537037037037 | 1.14916666666667 | -0.103796296296296 | -0.0453703703703703 |
| 64 | 1.14 | 1.10113425925926 | 1.19083333333333 | -0.0896990740740739 | 0.0388657407407405 |
| 65 | 1.25 | 1.12543981481481 | 1.225 | -0.0995601851851852 | 0.124560185185185 |
| 66 | 1.25 | 1.19043981481481 | 1.24291666666667 | -0.0524768518518518 | 0.0595601851851852 |
| 67 | 1.4 | 1.29717592592593 | 1.2475 | 0.0496759259259259 | 0.102824074074074 |
| 68 | 1.5 | 1.37287037037037 | 1.2475 | 0.12537037037037 | 0.12712962962963 |
| 69 | 1.5 | 1.40328703703704 | 1.2475 | 0.155787037037037 | 0.0967129629629628 |
| 70 | 1.5 | 1.39960648148148 | 1.24166666666667 | 0.157939814814815 | 0.100393518518518 |
| 71 | 1.32 | 1.29585648148148 | 1.22541666666667 | 0.0704398148148148 | 0.0241435185185186 |
| 72 | 1.11 | 1.17349537037037 | 1.20458333333333 | -0.0310879629629629 | -0.0634953703703702 |
| 73 | 1 | 1.09071759259259 | 1.17041666666667 | -0.0796990740740741 | -0.0907175925925925 |
| 74 | 1 | 1.01252314814815 | 1.11541666666667 | -0.102893518518519 | -0.0125231481481478 |
| 75 | 1 | 0.94912037037037 | 1.05291666666667 | -0.103796296296296 | 0.0508796296296299 |
| 76 | 1 | 0.900717592592593 | 0.990416666666667 | -0.0896990740740739 | 0.0992824074074072 |
| 77 | 1 | NA | NA | -0.0995601851851852 | NA |
| 78 | 1 | NA | NA | -0.0524768518518518 | NA |
| 79 | 0.83 | NA | NA | 0.0496759259259259 | NA |
| 80 | 0.75 | NA | NA | 0.12537037037037 | NA |
| 81 | 0.75 | NA | NA | 0.155787037037037 | NA |
| 82 | 0.75 | NA | NA | 0.157939814814815 | NA |
