| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.1315 | 0.124 | 0.111 | -0.3842 | -0.1757 | 0.3306 |
| (p-val) | (0.2388 ) | (0.2455 ) | (0.33 ) | (0.3705 ) | (0.1847 ) | (0.4412 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.1285 | 0.1375 | 0.1183 | -0.0672 | -0.1548 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2521 ) | (0.1968 ) | (0.3026 ) | (0.6267 ) | (0.2417 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.1151 | 0.1237 | 0.0966 | 0 | -0.1375 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2989 ) | (0.2308 ) | (0.3681 ) | (NA ) | (0.2905 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.1184 | 0.1378 | 0 | 0 | -0.1186 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2958 ) | (0.183 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.3775 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.0693 | 0.1164 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.4846 ) | (0.2517 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0.1218 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.2305 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 4.5260977028923 |
| 90.0250802424305 |
| -58.363011247074 |
| 167.755774033309 |
| 41.4598730634089 |
| -181.571858907099 |
| 71.6234073796786 |
| 50.6582944818483 |
| 4.07009560873576 |
| 20.0008836806401 |
| 92.7805049023246 |
| -154.898043858999 |
| 10.9052378029628 |
| 39.4085154020086 |
| 50.3724293091773 |
| 10.6550791322234 |
| 23.0341962641669 |
| 14.4926815571944 |
| 46.3078868134253 |
| 33.139558565972 |
| -33.676150780002 |
| 39.9259941407208 |
| -13.9392432559516 |
| 61.1179185475739 |
| 3.90656129246599 |
| -29.297475488379 |
| 65.3808202123446 |
| -29.7185491676146 |
| -40.8878855945504 |
| 55.4330595229267 |
| 61.3061194521451 |
| 11.3290227420821 |
| -27.477223240362 |
| -29.143091257075 |
| -53.7037857517025 |
| 118.28769681483 |
| 56.6432800367957 |
| 46.4968468997968 |
| -55.5639741251316 |
| 13.9331238038058 |
| 56.8274441605217 |
| 36.5063725127457 |
| 8.21425932617058 |
| -32.3610720540692 |
| 130.846561698757 |
| 51.8607567440486 |
| 90.153755642722 |
| 4.49432238817553 |
| -1.74378412653641 |
| 111.633627893546 |
| 13.1362146545889 |
| 40.8525566520611 |
| 102.534385043888 |
| 251.351546441121 |
| 8.29974897085867 |
| 72.4842304360645 |
| -81.3570975226457 |
| -73.0515444096618 |
| -13.7047959626434 |
| 77.8546995413244 |
| 42.43716058465 |
| -33.9845416831686 |
| 9.67804467158203 |
| -9.20712966308565 |
| -1.66561495611222 |
| 88.5977285489789 |
| -66.2121766548707 |
| 68.9941336084548 |
| 17.4609455237687 |
| 74.3073827236849 |
| 21.1553944422449 |
| 45.7716099094168 |
| -86.1153940359518 |
| -10.8189267270554 |
| 139.155330161365 |
| 102.087066194789 |
| 81.7921152180324 |
| -32.9714813476576 |
| 43.5277615020013 |
| 3.10839090316676 |
| 21.1541332021625 |
| 81.1269400707815 |
| 72.7027132913427 |
| -28.0874437542307 |
| 64.3335656441259 |
| -1.48384881370657 |
| -36.5620179841299 |
| -35.6494637698197 |
| 69.1607567440487 |
| 1.4957724079768 |
| 35.7877610957094 |
| 37.6531229912225 |
| 40.7666251670535 |
| 137.358107733586 |
| -12.6134378949509 |
| 5.7213267398356 |
| 36.7523658408818 |
| 72.3993693799603 |
| 59.1285809017627 |
| -47.0568444620467 |
| -118.032175842287 |
| 151.214952195633 |
| 67.0308503213264 |
