Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 111.4 | NA | NA | 1.08581264005774 | NA |
2 | 87.4 | NA | NA | 0.834380110345525 | NA |
3 | 96.8 | NA | NA | 0.94236680559873 | NA |
4 | 114.1 | NA | NA | 1.07817693771933 | NA |
5 | 110.3 | NA | NA | 1.08557752225472 | NA |
6 | 103.9 | NA | NA | 1.02554157155640 | NA |
7 | 101.6 | 96.1501946622139 | 101.904166666667 | 0.943535458925106 | 1.05668012796991 |
8 | 94.6 | 99.8945907805817 | 101.7375 | 0.981885644728657 | 0.946998223435228 |
9 | 95.9 | 98.4307566054336 | 101.420833333333 | 0.970518121083935 | 0.974288965230875 |
10 | 104.7 | 104.701194659951 | 101.3375 | 1.03319299035354 | 0.999988589815471 |
11 | 102.8 | 101.761359100205 | 101.116666666667 | 1.00637572869825 | 1.01020663352945 |
12 | 98.1 | 102.415520850928 | 101.1375 | 1.01263646867807 | 0.95786262848568 |
13 | 113.9 | 110.069732166520 | 101.370833333333 | 1.08581264005774 | 1.03479855686107 |
14 | 80.9 | 84.7591128759329 | 101.583333333333 | 0.834380110345525 | 0.954469640549664 |
15 | 95.7 | 96.090001944217 | 101.966666666667 | 0.94236680559873 | 0.995941284875366 |
16 | 113.2 | 110.638923425631 | 102.616666666667 | 1.07817693771933 | 1.02314806123444 |
17 | 105.9 | 111.791868593856 | 102.979166666667 | 1.08557752225472 | 0.947296089885915 |
18 | 108.8 | 106.023906139406 | 103.383333333333 | 1.02554157155640 | 1.02618365953188 |
19 | 102.3 | 98.037265580064 | 103.904166666667 | 0.943535458925106 | 1.04348075596269 |
20 | 99 | 102.234751567185 | 104.120833333333 | 0.981885644728657 | 0.96835956934801 |
21 | 100.7 | 101.427231304280 | 104.508333333333 | 0.970518121083935 | 0.99283001916814 |
22 | 115.5 | 108.252795564292 | 104.775 | 1.03319299035354 | 1.06694704185634 |
23 | 100.7 | 105.954591303115 | 105.283333333333 | 1.00637572869825 | 0.950407139148107 |
24 | 109.9 | 107.233982714388 | 105.895833333333 | 1.01263646867807 | 1.02486168300503 |
25 | 114.6 | 115.154954697457 | 106.054166666667 | 1.08581264005774 | 0.995180800522954 |
26 | 85.4 | 88.7224184000741 | 106.333333333333 | 0.834380110345525 | 0.96255266188651 |
27 | 100.5 | 100.660480951371 | 106.816666666667 | 0.94236680559873 | 0.998405720399364 |
28 | 114.8 | 115.522166472719 | 107.145833333333 | 1.07817693771933 | 0.9937486761652 |
29 | 116.5 | 116.708630121735 | 107.508333333333 | 1.08557752225472 | 0.998212384795218 |
30 | 112.9 | 110.459373436387 | 107.708333333333 | 1.02554157155640 | 1.02209524178605 |
31 | 102 | 101.705259676635 | 107.791666666667 | 0.943535458925106 | 1.00289798506293 |
32 | 106 | 106.235935569454 | 108.195833333333 | 0.981885644728657 | 0.997779135956307 |
33 | 105.3 | 105.442750030265 | 108.645833333333 | 0.970518121083935 | 0.998646184491356 |
34 | 118.8 | 112.312383022222 | 108.704166666667 | 1.03319299035354 | 1.05776403993221 |
35 | 106.1 | 109.548191301008 | 108.854166666667 | 1.00637572869825 | 0.968523521383085 |
36 | 109.3 | 110.495516007255 | 109.116666666667 | 1.01263646867807 | 0.9891804115637 |
37 | 117.2 | 118.407868398297 | 109.05 | 1.08581264005774 | 0.989799086710742 |
38 | 92.5 | 91.0830187955933 | 109.1625 | 0.834380110345525 | 1.01555702943472 |
39 | 104.2 | 103.350152875684 | 109.670833333333 | 0.94236680559873 | 1.00822298855560 |
40 | 112.5 | 118.177177181852 | 109.608333333333 | 1.07817693771933 | 0.951960460410081 |
41 | 122.4 | 119.087854191343 | 109.7 | 1.08557752225472 | 1.02781262481508 |
42 | 113.3 | 112.971950286700 | 110.158333333333 | 1.02554157155640 | 1.00290381561500 |
43 | 100 | 103.879322629909 | 110.095833333333 | 0.943535458925106 | 0.962655487813204 |
44 | 110.7 | 108.191524478539 | 110.1875 | 0.981885644728657 | 1.02318550860200 |
45 | 112.8 | 106.902571037395 | 110.15 | 0.970518121083935 | 1.05516639034380 |
46 | 109.8 | 113.801902916649 | 110.145833333333 | 1.03319299035354 | 0.964834481550103 |
47 | 117.3 | 110.74745571104 | 110.045833333333 | 1.00637572869825 | 1.059166544702 |
48 | 109.1 | 110.567244423787 | 109.1875 | 1.01263646867807 | 0.986729845430869 |
49 | 115.9 | 117.670420646924 | 108.370833333333 | 1.08581264005774 | 0.984954412186248 |
50 | 96 | 89.5394155914541 | 107.3125 | 0.834380110345525 | 1.07215352441012 |
51 | 99.8 | 99.5846121816457 | 105.675 | 0.94236680559873 | 1.00216286245069 |
52 | 116.8 | 112.754845665906 | 104.579166666667 | 1.07817693771933 | 1.03587565847130 |
53 | 115.7 | 112.176343966321 | 103.333333333333 | 1.08557752225472 | 1.03141175678480 |
54 | 99.4 | 104.242027658826 | 101.645833333333 | 1.02554157155640 | 0.953550139348078 |
55 | 94.3 | 94.7073716896076 | 100.375 | 0.943535458925106 | 0.995698627442195 |
56 | 91 | NA | NA | 0.981885644728657 | NA |
57 | 93.2 | NA | NA | 0.970518121083935 | NA |
58 | 103.1 | NA | NA | 1.03319299035354 | NA |
59 | 94.1 | NA | NA | 1.00637572869825 | NA |
60 | 91.8 | NA | NA | 1.01263646867807 | NA |
61 | 102.7 | NA | NA | NA | NA |