| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.4187 | 0.3511 | -0.4873 | -0.1046 | -0.3583 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0.196 ) | (0.0443 ) | (0.1007 ) | (0.5973 ) | (0.1179 ) | (0.0953 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.394 | 0.3637 | -0.4659 | 0 | -0.308 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (0.1988 ) | (0.0301 ) | (0.1008 ) | (NA ) | (0.1671 ) | (0.0211 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.3881 | -0.0707 | 0 | -0.3855 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0086 ) | (0.6919 ) | (NA ) | (0.048 ) | (0.0283 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.3744 | 0 | 0 | -0.3508 | -0.9994 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0087 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0533 ) | (0.0209 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.3266 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0195 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0115 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -23.3833764438933 |
| -8.55369733834187 |
| -50.3530220901441 |
| 89.5334348554787 |
| -68.566933218857 |
| 86.242991763873 |
| 91.1758987865468 |
| -57.1463127299465 |
| -104.147135994488 |
| -61.3377568510805 |
| 93.9145973273952 |
| -246.62370215812 |
| -22.1898126799184 |
| -35.0611543091103 |
| -4.45883059064469 |
| -177.531815680632 |
| -70.5226787901682 |
| 30.5321994632175 |
| -59.3912661927892 |
| -131.127471928268 |
| 147.133618349113 |
| 45.6533837866806 |
| -117.560608741138 |
| 117.383543115194 |
| 42.6617317274835 |
| 99.8038986352813 |
| -7.78557246740002 |
| -18.6816630538886 |
| -116.476931578921 |
| 30.8852870895393 |
| -33.7926636813331 |
| 215.707130826284 |
| -6.57698871610461 |
| -139.888187738920 |
| 25.1565120254716 |
| 12.3820264525211 |
| 178.787501612010 |
| 47.6458102812544 |
| 101.853055555168 |
| 88.3034658024652 |
| 116.005563628025 |
| -75.7381551318659 |
| 16.1273126776685 |
| 93.9835410356264 |
| -76.8562136700045 |
| -48.1236206869778 |
| 11.2891165486600 |
| 124.570195756798 |
