Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 6539 | NA | NA | 0.962671169304688 | NA |
2 | 6699 | NA | NA | 0.986662538249252 | NA |
3 | 6962 | NA | NA | 1.02852630120775 | NA |
4 | 6981 | NA | NA | 1.03001442499547 | NA |
5 | 7024 | NA | NA | 1.01828681487641 | NA |
6 | 6940 | NA | NA | 1.01891059927276 | NA |
7 | 6774 | 6770.70481426628 | 6858.33333333333 | 0.987223059188279 | 1.00048668282315 |
8 | 6671 | 6671.23016491152 | 6870.41666666667 | 0.971008089986516 | 0.999965498880141 |
9 | 6965 | 7006.90614641008 | 6878.5 | 1.01866775407575 | 0.994019308160486 |
10 | 6969 | 6955.62443687617 | 6888.58333333333 | 1.00973220476530 | 1.00192298523953 |
11 | 6822 | 6829.11401072893 | 6898.5 | 0.98994187297658 | 0.998958282038086 |
12 | 6878 | 6760.71958590112 | 6910.29166666667 | 0.978355171101236 | 1.01734732710161 |
13 | 6691 | 6674.39977328301 | 6933.20833333333 | 0.962671169304688 | 1.00248714899929 |
14 | 6837 | 6866.18460367654 | 6959 | 0.986662538249252 | 0.995749516600396 |
15 | 7018 | 7177.95649034124 | 6978.875 | 1.02852630120775 | 0.97771559488324 |
16 | 7167 | 7199.28582350586 | 6989.5 | 1.03001442499547 | 0.995515413014935 |
17 | 7076 | 7128.13498998674 | 7000.125 | 1.01828681487641 | 0.992686026560948 |
18 | 7171 | 7130.33637371076 | 6998 | 1.01891059927276 | 1.00570290434532 |
19 | 7093 | 6890.32334160459 | 6979.5 | 0.987223059188279 | 1.02941468032010 |
20 | 6971 | 6752.22842308457 | 6953.83333333333 | 0.971008089986516 | 1.03239990758717 |
21 | 7142 | 7050.58152636608 | 6921.375 | 1.01866775407575 | 1.01296608985969 |
22 | 7047 | 6941.44611383426 | 6874.54166666667 | 1.00973220476530 | 1.01520632508482 |
23 | 6999 | 6741.5041549705 | 6810 | 0.98994187297658 | 1.03819560725771 |
24 | 6650 | 6591.5456708982 | 6737.375 | 0.978355171101236 | 1.00886807617216 |
25 | 6475 | 6404.49084418921 | 6652.83333333333 | 0.962671169304688 | 1.01100933040989 |
26 | 6437 | 6465.9285006601 | 6553.33333333333 | 0.986662538249252 | 0.995526009813263 |
27 | 6639 | 6637.85161641952 | 6453.75 | 1.02852630120775 | 1.00017300531058 |
28 | 6422 | 6554.66846252952 | 6363.66666666667 | 1.03001442499547 | 0.979759699016367 |
29 | 6272 | 6383.59761384294 | 6268.95833333333 | 1.01828681487641 | 0.98251806887061 |
30 | 6232 | 6298.31096018795 | 6181.41666666667 | 1.01891059927276 | 0.98947162809091 |
31 | 6003 | 6029.87617693374 | 6107.91666666667 | 0.987223059188279 | 0.995542831039126 |
32 | 5673 | 5871.60500280763 | 6046.91666666667 | 0.971008089986516 | 0.966175346823796 |
33 | 6050 | 6110.2238558849 | 5998.25 | 1.01866775407575 | 0.990143756218212 |
34 | 5977 | 6015.14303248769 | 5957.16666666667 | 1.00973220476530 | 0.993658832004213 |
35 | 5796 | 5860.99210653588 | 5920.54166666667 | 0.98994187297658 | 0.98891107420817 |
36 | 5752 | 5755.78576598496 | 5883.125 | 0.978355171101236 | 0.999342267739127 |
37 | 5609 | 5625.97064731276 | 5844.125 | 0.962671169304688 | 0.996983516556229 |
38 | 5839 | 5741.26597725512 | 5818.875 | 0.986662538249252 | 1.01702307873073 |
39 | 6069 | 5972.3950995381 | 5806.75 | 1.02852630120775 | 1.01617523604046 |
40 | 6006 | 5963.91227252691 | 5790.125 | 1.03001442499547 | 1.00705706682960 |
41 | 5809 | 5879.2910687754 | 5773.70833333333 | 1.01828681487641 | 0.988044295144918 |
42 | 5797 | 5869.39205250242 | 5760.45833333333 | 1.01891059927276 | 0.987666175328745 |
43 | 5502 | 5684.18356904131 | 5757.75 | 0.987223059188279 | 0.967949034926745 |
44 | 5568 | 5596.80971334145 | 5763.91666666667 | 0.971008089986516 | 0.994852475818006 |
45 | 5864 | 5885.98961651897 | 5778.125 | 1.01866775407575 | 0.996264074870731 |
46 | 5764 | 5866.03924358401 | 5809.5 | 1.00973220476530 | 0.982605086780553 |
47 | 5615 | 5804.6479149323 | 5863.625 | 0.98994187297658 | 0.967328265605149 |
48 | 5615 | 5801.60539983154 | 5929.95833333333 | 0.978355171101236 | 0.96783555809622 |
49 | 5681 | 5779.75736660919 | 6003.875 | 0.962671169304688 | 0.982913233143708 |
50 | 5915 | 6004.4993202722 | 6085.66666666667 | 0.986662538249252 | 0.985094623964727 |
51 | 6334 | 6338.25047593021 | 6162.45833333333 | 1.02852630120775 | 0.99932939287484 |
52 | 6494 | 6422.95536793323 | 6235.79166666667 | 1.03001442499547 | 1.01106105024822 |
53 | 6620 | 6426.28080283318 | 6310.875 | 1.01828681487641 | 1.03014483853264 |
54 | 6578 | 6509.31036345402 | 6388.5 | 1.01891059927276 | 1.01055252134414 |
55 | 6495 | NA | NA | 0.987223059188279 | NA |
56 | 6538 | NA | NA | 0.971008089986516 | NA |
57 | 6737 | NA | NA | 1.01866775407575 | NA |
58 | 6651 | NA | NA | 1.00973220476530 | NA |
59 | 6530 | NA | NA | 0.98994187297658 | NA |
60 | 6563 | NA | NA | 0.978355171101236 | NA |