| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 108.5 | NA | NA | 0.937224522886773 | NA |
| 2 | 112.3 | NA | NA | 0.941763741248138 | NA |
| 3 | 116.6 | NA | NA | 0.963321605840951 | NA |
| 4 | 115.5 | NA | NA | 1.00921056998898 | NA |
| 5 | 120.1 | NA | NA | 1.03211747816283 | NA |
| 6 | 132.9 | NA | NA | 1.01830923694087 | NA |
| 7 | 128.1 | 124.569972229460 | 123.270833333333 | 1.01053889927566 | 1.02833771018298 |
| 8 | 129.3 | 126.990738457946 | 124.241666666667 | 1.0221268103128 | 1.01818448786183 |
| 9 | 132.5 | 130.354952368196 | 125.1 | 1.04200601413426 | 1.01645543642826 |
| 10 | 131 | 131.975287161921 | 126.370833333333 | 1.04434926700060 | 0.992610077364523 |
| 11 | 124.9 | 127.549677178707 | 127.908333333333 | 0.997195990712417 | 0.979226312152911 |
| 12 | 120.8 | 126.374548580194 | 128.7125 | 0.98183586349573 | 0.955888676613893 |
| 13 | 122 | 121.023021619933 | 129.129166666667 | 0.937224522886773 | 1.00807266557213 |
| 14 | 122.1 | 122.276249754305 | 129.8375 | 0.941763741248138 | 0.998558593719882 |
| 15 | 127.4 | 125.528832921125 | 130.308333333333 | 0.963321605840951 | 1.01490627320698 |
| 16 | 135.2 | 131.912231585643 | 130.708333333333 | 1.00921056998898 | 1.02492390868411 |
| 17 | 137.3 | 135.611635651611 | 131.391666666667 | 1.03211747816283 | 1.01244999619890 |
| 18 | 135 | 134.722312047278 | 132.3 | 1.01830923694087 | 1.00206118755314 |
| 19 | 136 | 135.041681573204 | 133.633333333333 | 1.01053889927566 | 1.00709646396307 |
| 20 | 138.4 | 138.672796127480 | 135.670833333333 | 1.0221268103128 | 0.998032807190036 |
| 21 | 134.7 | 143.874980401588 | 138.075 | 1.04200601413426 | 0.936229493300516 |
| 22 | 138.4 | 146.348143949017 | 140.133333333333 | 1.04434926700060 | 0.945690162276428 |
| 23 | 133.9 | 141.639225530815 | 142.0375 | 0.997195990712417 | 0.945359588759321 |
| 24 | 133.6 | 141.503002843558 | 144.120833333333 | 0.98183586349573 | 0.94414957502849 |
| 25 | 141.2 | 136.858210954541 | 146.025 | 0.937224522886773 | 1.03172472455380 |
| 26 | 151.8 | 139.133820722647 | 147.7375 | 0.941763741248138 | 1.09103594806472 |
| 27 | 155.4 | 144.530351596337 | 150.033333333333 | 0.963321605840951 | 1.07520668346550 |
| 28 | 156.6 | 154.169529697941 | 152.7625 | 1.00921056998898 | 1.01576491999957 |
| 29 | 161.6 | 160.571676665182 | 155.575 | 1.03211747816283 | 1.00640413898749 |
| 30 | 160.7 | 162.169988937988 | 159.254166666667 | 1.01830923694087 | 0.990935505714622 |
| 31 | 156 | 165.22311003157 | 163.5 | 1.01053889927566 | 0.94417784515854 |
| 32 | 159.5 | 171.104028046363 | 167.4 | 1.0221268103128 | 0.932181444359576 |
| 33 | 168.7 | 178.795206950262 | 171.5875 | 1.04200601413426 | 0.943537597442026 |
| 34 | 169.9 | 184.72362805601 | 176.879166666667 | 1.04434926700060 | 0.919752398694144 |
| 35 | 169.9 | 183.039479078559 | 183.554166666667 | 0.997195990712417 | 0.928215054234724 |
| 36 | 185.9 | 187.817018721204 | 191.291666666667 | 0.98183586349573 | 0.989793157541012 |
| 37 | 190.8 | 186.777132104798 | 199.2875 | 0.937224522886773 | 1.02153833207453 |
| 38 | 195.8 | 195.043194828078 | 207.104166666667 | 0.941763741248138 | 1.00388019265471 |
| 39 | 211.9 | 207.266671176729 | 215.158333333333 | 0.963321605840951 | 1.02235443256248 |
| 40 | 227.1 | 225.503896819995 | 223.445833333333 | 1.00921056998898 | 1.00707794057004 |
| 41 | 251.3 | 237.950384100947 | 230.545833333333 | 1.03211747816283 | 1.05610251880657 |
| 42 | 256.7 | 239.735452106805 | 235.425 | 1.01830923694087 | 1.07076361774660 |
| 43 | 251.9 | 239.607194175752 | 237.108333333333 | 1.01053889927566 | 1.05130399304802 |
| 44 | 251.2 | 241.451905766141 | 236.225 | 1.0221268103128 | 1.04037281960118 |
| 45 | 270.3 | 243.790332081886 | 233.9625 | 1.04200601413426 | 1.10873961937592 |
| 46 | 267.2 | 241.231626311301 | 230.9875 | 1.04434926700060 | 1.10764912580404 |
| 47 | 243 | 226.226375442996 | 226.8625 | 0.997195990712417 | 1.0741453092026 |
| 48 | 229.9 | 217.137092194845 | 221.154166666667 | 0.98183586349573 | 1.05877810960875 |
| 49 | 187.2 | 202.174949995392 | 215.716666666667 | 0.937224522886773 | 0.925930734763465 |
| 50 | 178.2 | 199.375308037819 | 211.704166666667 | 0.941763741248138 | 0.893791722524624 |
| 51 | 175.2 | 200.274561854334 | 207.9 | 0.963321605840951 | 0.874799067728975 |
| 52 | 192.4 | 204.789849870972 | 202.920833333333 | 1.00921056998898 | 0.939499687710217 |
| 53 | 187 | 204.974230673645 | 198.595833333333 | 1.03211747816283 | 0.912309802970975 |
| 54 | 184 | 199.24068811779 | 195.658333333333 | 1.01830923694087 | 0.923506145949568 |
| 55 | 194.1 | 197.118244039958 | 195.0625 | 1.01053889927566 | 0.984688154794307 |
| 56 | 212.7 | NA | NA | 1.0221268103128 | NA |
| 57 | 217.5 | NA | NA | 1.04200601413426 | NA |
| 58 | 200.5 | NA | NA | 1.04434926700060 | NA |
| 59 | 205.9 | NA | NA | 0.997195990712417 | NA |
| 60 | 196.5 | NA | NA | 0.98183586349573 | NA |
| 61 | 206.3 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
