Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 108.5 | 106.616586346720 | -9.32257333987597 | 119.705986993156 | -1.88341365327980 |
2 | 112.3 | 116.362409333090 | -12.0994301058028 | 120.337020772713 | 4.06240933308976 |
3 | 116.6 | 120.487825661189 | -8.25588021345877 | 120.968054552270 | 3.88782566118854 |
4 | 115.5 | 111.108329569382 | -1.75485956626950 | 121.646529996888 | -4.39167043061819 |
5 | 120.1 | 115.088827916043 | 2.78616664245226 | 122.325005441505 | -5.01117208395743 |
6 | 132.9 | 138.847263411594 | 3.89856155029769 | 123.054175038109 | 5.94726341159357 |
7 | 128.1 | 130.445699591449 | 1.97095577383823 | 123.783344634712 | 2.34569959144946 |
8 | 129.3 | 127.923682304795 | 6.11190501533617 | 124.564412679869 | -1.37631769520512 |
9 | 132.5 | 127.881658958932 | 11.7728603160425 | 125.345480725026 | -4.61834104106811 |
10 | 131 | 128.263443499331 | 7.40939689610321 | 126.327159604565 | -2.73655650066864 |
11 | 124.9 | 121.985236413132 | 0.505925102762294 | 127.308838484105 | -2.91476358686751 |
12 | 120.8 | 116.316481573231 | -3.02301281743951 | 128.306531244209 | -4.48351842676941 |
13 | 122 | 124.018349335563 | -9.32257333987597 | 129.304224004313 | 2.01834933556339 |
14 | 122.1 | 126.274546987444 | -12.0994301058028 | 130.024883118359 | 4.17454698744385 |
15 | 127.4 | 132.310337981054 | -8.25588021345877 | 130.745542232405 | 4.91033798105352 |
16 | 135.2 | 140.824672739864 | -1.75485956626950 | 131.330186826406 | 5.6246727398636 |
17 | 137.3 | 139.899001937141 | 2.78616664245226 | 131.914831420407 | 2.59900193714122 |
18 | 135 | 133.342913295589 | 3.89856155029769 | 132.758525154113 | -1.65708670441066 |
19 | 136 | 136.426825338342 | 1.97095577383823 | 133.602218887819 | 0.426825338342383 |
20 | 138.4 | 135.438119441675 | 6.11190501533617 | 135.249975542989 | -2.96188055832468 |
21 | 134.7 | 120.729407485800 | 11.7728603160425 | 136.897732198158 | -13.9705925142001 |
22 | 138.4 | 130.225417183278 | 7.40939689610321 | 139.165185920619 | -8.17458281672205 |
23 | 133.9 | 125.861435254158 | 0.505925102762294 | 141.43263964308 | -8.0385647458424 |
24 | 133.6 | 126.334863262397 | -3.02301281743951 | 143.888149555042 | -7.26513673760272 |
25 | 141.2 | 145.378913872872 | -9.32257333987597 | 146.343659467004 | 4.17891387287165 |
26 | 151.8 | 166.911031480142 | -12.0994301058028 | 148.788398625661 | 15.1110314801419 |
27 | 155.4 | 167.822742429141 | -8.25588021345877 | 151.233137784318 | 12.4227424291412 |
28 | 156.6 | 161.162993049967 | -1.75485956626950 | 153.791866516303 | 4.56299304996679 |
29 | 161.6 | 164.063238109260 | 2.78616664245226 | 156.350595248288 | 2.46323810925983 |
30 | 160.7 | 158.141690968112 | 3.89856155029769 | 159.359747481590 | -2.55830903188809 |
31 | 156 | 147.660144511269 | 1.97095577383823 | 162.368899714893 | -8.33985548873108 |
32 | 159.5 | 146.418394885675 | 6.11190501533617 | 166.469700098989 | -13.0816051143255 |
33 | 168.7 | 155.056639200872 | 11.7728603160425 | 170.570500483086 | -13.6433607991283 |
34 | 169.9 | 155.665195148002 | 7.40939689610321 | 176.725407955895 | -14.2348048519979 |
35 | 169.9 | 156.413759468534 | 0.505925102762294 | 182.880315428704 | -13.4862405314659 |
36 | 185.9 | 183.916334052449 | -3.02301281743951 | 190.906678764991 | -1.98366594755123 |
37 | 190.8 | 191.989531238598 | -9.32257333987597 | 198.933042101278 | 1.18953123859808 |
38 | 195.8 | 196.201181516706 | -12.0994301058028 | 207.498248589097 | 0.40118151670552 |
39 | 211.9 | 215.992425136542 | -8.25588021345877 | 216.063455076917 | 4.09242513654212 |
40 | 227.1 | 232.588615277625 | -1.75485956626950 | 223.366244288645 | 5.48861527762472 |
41 | 251.3 | 269.144799857175 | 2.78616664245226 | 230.669033500373 | 17.8447998571748 |
42 | 256.7 | 275.184122576314 | 3.89856155029769 | 234.317315873388 | 18.4841225763140 |
43 | 251.9 | 263.863445979758 | 1.97095577383823 | 237.965598246404 | 11.9634459797580 |
44 | 251.2 | 259.294094157985 | 6.11190501533617 | 236.994000826679 | 8.09409415798478 |
45 | 270.3 | 292.804736277003 | 11.7728603160425 | 236.022403406954 | 22.5047362770031 |
46 | 267.2 | 295.307061235652 | 7.40939689610321 | 231.683541868244 | 28.1070612356525 |
47 | 243 | 258.149394567704 | 0.505925102762294 | 227.344680329534 | 15.1493945677035 |
48 | 229.9 | 241.248536010105 | -3.02301281743951 | 221.574476807335 | 11.348536010105 |
49 | 187.2 | 167.918300054741 | -9.32257333987597 | 215.804273285135 | -19.2816999452589 |
50 | 178.2 | 157.979843834267 | -12.0994301058028 | 210.519586271536 | -20.2201561657334 |
51 | 175.2 | 153.420980955521 | -8.25588021345877 | 205.234899257937 | -21.7790190444786 |
52 | 192.4 | 183.929943580764 | -1.75485956626950 | 202.624915985505 | -8.47005641923579 |
53 | 187 | 171.198900644475 | 2.78616664245226 | 200.014932713073 | -15.8010993555255 |
54 | 184 | 164.518883574273 | 3.89856155029769 | 199.582554875430 | -19.4811164257274 |
55 | 194.1 | 187.078867188376 | 1.97095577383823 | 199.150177037786 | -7.02113281162448 |
56 | 212.7 | 220.152796279448 | 6.11190501533617 | 199.135298705216 | 7.45279627944805 |
57 | 217.5 | 224.106719311312 | 11.7728603160425 | 199.120420372645 | 6.60671931131219 |
58 | 200.5 | 194.042373878296 | 7.40939689610321 | 199.548229225601 | -6.45762612170449 |
59 | 205.9 | 211.318036818680 | 0.505925102762294 | 199.976038078557 | 5.41803681868041 |
60 | 196.5 | 195.247234653588 | -3.02301281743951 | 200.775778163851 | -1.25276534641199 |
61 | 206.3 | 220.347055090730 | -9.32257333987597 | 201.575518249146 | 14.0470550907303 |