Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 101.3 | 108.507492755687 | -5.10946497033895 | 99.2019722146518 | 7.20749275568718 |
2 | 106.3 | 117.026239774926 | -3.72865644138776 | 99.3024166664614 | 10.7262397749263 |
3 | 94 | 78.0649869771466 | 10.5321519045824 | 99.402861118271 | -15.9350130228534 |
4 | 102.8 | 100.041118746137 | 6.07265839563559 | 99.4862228582277 | -2.75888125386329 |
5 | 102 | 100.057257037141 | 4.37315836467499 | 99.5695845981843 | -1.94274296285934 |
6 | 105.1 | 93.6129857691393 | 17.0097806032509 | 99.5772336276099 | -11.4870142308607 |
7 | 92.4 | 99.2487034307068 | -14.0335860877422 | 99.5848826570354 | 6.84870343070683 |
8 | 81.4 | 83.4696606310588 | -20.2703196270649 | 99.6006589960061 | 2.06966063105877 |
9 | 105.8 | 108.150611413957 | 3.83295325106610 | 99.616435334977 | 2.35061141395698 |
10 | 120.3 | 130.106099574637 | 10.6780437767246 | 99.8158566486379 | 9.80609957463747 |
11 | 100.7 | 97.6215798670752 | 3.76314217062593 | 100.015277962299 | -3.07842013292480 |
12 | 88.8 | 91.0134094270464 | -13.1198688646892 | 99.7064594376428 | 2.21340942704643 |
13 | 94.3 | 94.3118240573522 | -5.10946497033895 | 99.3976409129867 | 0.0118240573522002 |
14 | 99.9 | 104.530358502593 | -3.72865644138776 | 98.998297938795 | 4.63035850259283 |
15 | 103.4 | 97.6688931308146 | 10.5321519045824 | 98.5989549646031 | -5.73110686918545 |
16 | 103.3 | 102.156157917015 | 6.07265839563559 | 98.3711836873494 | -1.14384208298495 |
17 | 98.8 | 95.0834292252294 | 4.37315836467499 | 98.1434124100956 | -3.7165707747706 |
18 | 104.2 | 93.1730705209222 | 17.0097806032509 | 98.217148875827 | -11.0269294790778 |
19 | 91.2 | 98.142700746184 | -14.0335860877422 | 98.2908853415583 | 6.94270074618395 |
20 | 74.7 | 70.7750600005025 | -20.2703196270649 | 98.8952596265624 | -3.9249399994975 |
21 | 108.5 | 113.667412837367 | 3.83295325106610 | 99.4996339115665 | 5.16741283736737 |
22 | 114.5 | 117.714123159898 | 10.6780437767246 | 100.607833063378 | 3.21412315989781 |
23 | 96.9 | 88.3208256141855 | 3.76314217062593 | 101.716032215189 | -8.5791743858145 |
24 | 89.6 | 89.2777833800191 | -13.1198688646892 | 103.04208548467 | -0.322216619980892 |
25 | 97.1 | 94.9413262161873 | -5.10946497033895 | 104.368138754152 | -2.15867378381273 |
26 | 100.3 | 98.4500179812127 | -3.72865644138776 | 105.878638460175 | -1.84998201878729 |
27 | 122.6 | 127.278709929219 | 10.5321519045824 | 107.389138166198 | 4.67870992921922 |
28 | 115.4 | 115.486924286510 | 6.07265839563559 | 109.240417317855 | 0.0869242865097704 |
29 | 109 | 102.535145165814 | 4.37315836467499 | 111.091696469511 | -6.46485483418589 |
30 | 129.1 | 128.178163318819 | 17.0097806032509 | 113.012056077930 | -0.921836681180608 |
31 | 102.8 | 104.701170401394 | -14.0335860877422 | 114.932415686349 | 1.90117040139361 |
32 | 96.2 | 96.234577120422 | -20.2703196270649 | 116.435742506643 | 0.034577120422 |
33 | 127.7 | 133.627977421997 | 3.83295325106610 | 117.939069326937 | 5.92797742199667 |
34 | 128.9 | 128.147926046627 | 10.6780437767246 | 118.974030176648 | -0.752073953373 |
35 | 126.5 | 129.227866803015 | 3.76314217062593 | 120.008991026360 | 2.72786680301455 |
36 | 119.8 | 132.206139627267 | -13.1198688646892 | 120.513729237422 | 12.4061396272674 |
37 | 113.2 | 110.490997521855 | -5.10946497033895 | 121.018467448484 | -2.70900247814527 |
38 | 114.1 | 110.992781544017 | -3.72865644138776 | 120.935874897371 | -3.10721845598346 |
39 | 134.1 | 136.814565749159 | 10.5321519045824 | 120.853282346258 | 2.71456574915946 |
40 | 130 | 133.166001914071 | 6.07265839563559 | 120.761339690294 | 3.16600191407082 |
41 | 121.8 | 118.557444600996 | 4.37315836467499 | 120.669397034329 | -3.24255539900399 |
42 | 132.1 | 125.827884185815 | 17.0097806032509 | 121.362335210934 | -6.27211581418509 |
43 | 105.3 | 102.578312700203 | -14.0335860877422 | 122.055273387539 | -2.72168729979724 |
44 | 103 | 102.102548456977 | -20.2703196270649 | 124.167771170087 | -0.89745154302257 |
45 | 117.1 | 104.086777796298 | 3.83295325106610 | 126.280268952635 | -13.0132222037016 |
46 | 126.3 | 112.009272260739 | 10.6780437767246 | 129.912683962536 | -14.2907277392609 |
47 | 138.1 | 138.891758856937 | 3.76314217062593 | 133.545098972437 | 0.79175885693698 |
48 | 119.5 | 114.098265011494 | -13.1198688646892 | 138.021603853195 | -5.40173498850555 |
49 | 138 | 138.611356236386 | -5.10946497033895 | 142.498108733952 | 0.611356236386456 |
50 | 135.5 | 128.066789579828 | -3.72865644138776 | 146.661866861560 | -7.43321042017206 |
51 | 178.6 | 195.842223106250 | 10.5321519045824 | 150.825624989167 | 17.2422231062505 |
52 | 162.2 | 165.005057687351 | 6.07265839563559 | 153.322283917013 | 2.80505768735139 |
53 | 176.9 | 193.607898790466 | 4.37315836467499 | 155.818942844859 | 16.7078987904662 |
54 | 204.9 | 234.635859680012 | 17.0097806032509 | 158.154359716737 | 29.7358596800124 |
55 | 132.2 | 117.943809499128 | -14.0335860877422 | 160.489776588615 | -14.2561905008724 |
56 | 142.5 | 142.674240643338 | -20.2703196270649 | 162.596078983726 | 0.174240643338408 |
57 | 164.3 | 160.064665370096 | 3.83295325106610 | 164.702381378838 | -4.23533462990446 |
58 | 174.9 | 172.605077039867 | 10.6780437767246 | 166.516879183408 | -2.29492296013302 |
59 | 175.4 | 178.705480841396 | 3.76314217062593 | 168.331376987978 | 3.30548084139571 |
60 | 143 | 129.183759162283 | -13.1198688646892 | 169.936109702407 | -13.8162408377173 |