| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.538234095178943 |
| beta | 0.0232178286592899 |
| gamma | 1 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 94.3 | 94.4541327487931 | -0.154132748793131 |
| 14 | 99.9 | 100.182665505570 | -0.282665505570307 |
| 15 | 103.4 | 103.576391634863 | -0.17639163486308 |
| 16 | 103.3 | 103.381132655799 | -0.0811326557986831 |
| 17 | 98.8 | 99.1066978574685 | -0.306697857468507 |
| 18 | 104.2 | 104.339706776836 | -0.139706776835723 |
| 19 | 91.2 | 90.9028578246663 | 0.29714217533369 |
| 20 | 74.7 | 80.5651648994184 | -5.8651648994184 |
| 21 | 108.5 | 100.249597084251 | 8.25040291574938 |
| 22 | 114.5 | 118.395883939474 | -3.89588393947369 |
| 23 | 96.9 | 97.2942017659042 | -0.394201765904199 |
| 24 | 89.6 | 85.6051107742865 | 3.99488922571346 |
| 25 | 97.1 | 93.0944264263611 | 4.0055735736389 |
| 26 | 100.3 | 101.124895310867 | -0.824895310866722 |
| 27 | 122.6 | 104.363610680253 | 18.2363893197466 |
| 28 | 115.4 | 114.419962438752 | 0.980037561247855 |
| 29 | 109 | 110.428210848222 | -1.42821084822168 |
| 30 | 129.1 | 116.043727668056 | 13.0562723319438 |
| 31 | 102.8 | 107.949789100898 | -5.14978910089761 |
| 32 | 96.2 | 89.9612424234074 | 6.23875757659263 |
| 33 | 127.7 | 130.457030927630 | -2.75703092762963 |
| 34 | 128.9 | 139.082322558604 | -10.1823225586044 |
| 35 | 126.5 | 113.693825466565 | 12.8061745334350 |
| 36 | 119.8 | 109.276193217512 | 10.523806782488 |
| 37 | 113.2 | 122.355316398518 | -9.1553163985184 |
| 38 | 114.1 | 122.277683356958 | -8.17768335695764 |
| 39 | 134.1 | 132.092430768123 | 2.00756923187706 |
| 40 | 130 | 124.914263691878 | 5.08573630812199 |
| 41 | 121.8 | 121.592402969072 | 0.207597030928483 |
| 42 | 132.1 | 136.134500215314 | -4.03450021531441 |
| 43 | 105.3 | 109.485738727959 | -4.18573872795943 |
| 44 | 103 | 96.7500873508708 | 6.24991264912924 |
| 45 | 117.1 | 134.434857984773 | -17.3348579847732 |
| 46 | 126.3 | 131.301664544883 | -5.0016645448831 |
| 47 | 138.1 | 118.903753291705 | 19.1962467082949 |
| 48 | 119.5 | 116.329760664356 | 3.17023933564421 |
| 49 | 138 | 116.102514308741 | 21.8974856912592 |
| 50 | 135.5 | 133.949386716432 | 1.55061328356837 |
| 51 | 178.6 | 157.529592826884 | 21.0704071731165 |
| 52 | 162.2 | 160.777125151030 | 1.42287484896968 |
| 53 | 176.9 | 151.702345366498 | 25.1976546335016 |
| 54 | 204.9 | 182.980062450030 | 21.9199375499696 |
| 55 | 132.2 | 159.446438274746 | -27.2464382747464 |
| 56 | 142.5 | 137.501755980216 | 4.99824401978364 |
| 57 | 164.3 | 171.997508697770 | -7.69750869776959 |
| 58 | 174.9 | 185.817293055036 | -10.9172930550364 |
| 59 | 175.4 | 181.966006571080 | -6.56600657108038 |
| 60 | 143 | 152.630404480321 | -9.63040448032146 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 154.906145319681 | 134.516619699860 | 175.295670939502 |
| 62 | 151.190887041065 | 128.068184598979 | 174.313589483151 |
| 63 | 185.917537707719 | 157.797222696804 | 214.037852718633 |
| 64 | 167.855878973763 | 138.977903161071 | 196.733854786455 |
| 65 | 167.844387759039 | 136.648748792447 | 199.040026725632 |
| 66 | 182.164835445819 | 146.925425754458 | 217.404245137179 |
| 67 | 128.984543598077 | 98.877419175487 | 159.091668020667 |
| 68 | 136.100008959898 | 102.645128914268 | 169.554889005528 |
| 69 | 160.433767175071 | 120.445197018018 | 200.422337332123 |
| 70 | 176.040609525912 | 130.901917426485 | 221.179301625339 |
| 71 | 179.813767407059 | 131.931985657152 | 227.695549156967 |
| 72 | 151.614316411782 | 106.124975628897 | 197.103657194668 |
