Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	1400.63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	1418.03	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1437.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1406.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1420.83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1482.37	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1530.63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1504.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1455.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1473.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1527.29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1545.79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1479.63	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1467.97	1453.6673	1400.1369	1507.1977	0.3002	0.1709	0.904	0.1709
50	1378.6	1443.8289	1358.9304	1528.7274	0.066	0.2887	0.5544	0.2043
51	1330.45	1461.5619	1356.5497	1566.5742	0.0072	0.9392	0.8466	0.368
52	1326.41	1456.4397	1340.6405	1572.239	0.0139	0.9835	0.7267	0.3473
53	1385.97	1443.6361	1318.0208	1569.2514	0.1841	0.9663	0.2728	0.2872
54	1399.62	1444.2546	1309.0291	1579.4802	0.2588	0.8009	0.1053	0.3041
55	1276.69	1448.1282	1302.8633	1593.3931	0.0104	0.7436	0.2228	0.3354
56	1269.42	1453.731	1299.3076	1608.1544	0.0097	0.9877	0.4927	0.3712
57	1287.83	1444.7484	1281.7682	1607.7287	0.0296	0.9825	0.3627	0.3374
58	1164.17	1427.8874	1256.9849	1598.79	0.0012	0.9459	0.1271	0.2765
59	968.67	1413.647	1235.0774	1592.2166	0	0.9969	0.0735	0.2345
60	888.61	1417.2565	1231.3324	1603.1805	0	1	0.2554	0.2554

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0188	0.0098	8e-04	204.5669	17.0472	4.1288
50	0.03	-0.0452	0.0038	4254.8107	354.5676	18.83
51	0.0367	-0.0897	0.0075	17190.3367	1432.5281	37.8488
52	0.0406	-0.0893	0.0074	16907.7351	1408.9779	37.5364
53	0.0444	-0.0399	0.0033	3325.3812	277.1151	16.6468
54	0.0478	-0.0309	0.0026	1992.2494	166.0208	12.8849
55	0.0512	-0.1184	0.0099	29391.058	2449.2548	49.4899
56	0.0542	-0.1268	0.0106	33970.5353	2830.8779	53.206
57	0.0576	-0.1086	0.0091	24623.3945	2051.9495	45.2984
58	0.0611	-0.1847	0.0154	69546.8901	5795.5742	76.1287
59	0.0644	-0.3148	0.0262	198004.5315	16500.3776	128.4538
60	0.0669	-0.373	0.0311	279467.0692	23288.9224	152.6071