| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0149 | -0.0589 | 0.1034 | -0.2378 | -1.2453 | -0.7534 | 0.9979 |
| (p-val) | (0.9884 ) | (0.8285 ) | (0.5984 ) | (0.8152 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.3651 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -0.0621 | 0.1016 | -0.2231 | -1.2452 | -0.7533 | 0.9996 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.6891 ) | (0.5116 ) | (0.1339 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.3658 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.095 | -0.2407 | -1.2268 | -0.7516 | 1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.5373 ) | (0.1079 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.38 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2437 | -1.2043 | -0.7446 | 1.0024 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0915 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.424 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2292 | -0.6855 | -0.4818 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1156 ) | (0 ) | (0.0043 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7153 | -0.4819 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0044 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -0.214593011762385 |
| 0.152084988320201 |
| 10.3437693657636 |
| 17.3412891233273 |
| -10.7900332441760 |
| -17.3817745615185 |
| 10.7860440674030 |
| 15.5054514592420 |
| 18.2520476815182 |
| 4.18339009383649 |
| -2.21089429283021 |
| 11.6184995956387 |
| -0.626617369605695 |
| -0.827740854784092 |
| -47.9768799046119 |
| 8.64153643554768 |
| 7.50381108886037 |
| -2.39706487046267 |
| 16.493539006152 |
| 18.7134048287811 |
| -9.17031614579654 |
| -10.9931294523626 |
| -8.51101863617625 |
| 4.37667539181711 |
| -13.8305112074419 |
| -30.7062321932041 |
| 18.8758918322836 |
| -19.1848741545871 |
| 0.704437704377842 |
| 3.92766620749978 |
| -16.5292522757354 |
| 1.96058699258232 |
| -10.0428018904357 |
| -6.92101091244945 |
| 5.81397526248863 |
| 17.1227136244216 |
| -43.4979122633081 |
| -10.2623790951082 |
| -12.5491815593925 |
| -6.40306722104199 |
| -14.0886790241189 |
| 5.74040671735418 |
| 5.42243445802984 |
| 16.0784345696842 |
| 1.18798587832789 |
| 7.92925938614383 |
| 22.2236304655892 |
| 2.49326070289558 |
| -4.70411023374281 |
