| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 17409 | 17409 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 11514 | 12506.2913059122 | -244.387739386135 | -992.291305912165 | -1.02575576745848 |
| 3 | 31514 | 25092.0483989720 | 263.455919320672 | 6421.95160102797 | 3.76129702035886 |
| 4 | 27071 | 27652.2129060086 | 302.462594822305 | -581.212906008617 | 0.741875577877264 |
| 5 | 29462 | 29050.3180734758 | 311.562729471478 | 411.681926524172 | 0.355364829596963 |
| 6 | 26105 | 27110.5237053057 | 295.116204126061 | -1005.52370530575 | -0.729445538109279 |
| 7 | 22397 | 23562.9421303995 | 264.372364381204 | -1165.94213039951 | -1.24419095901657 |
| 8 | 23843 | 23171.2353446991 | 258.794670874886 | 671.764655300916 | -0.212356228078968 |
| 9 | 21705 | 22014.8067871875 | 246.482159104604 | -309.806787187482 | -0.458005659444351 |
| 10 | 18089 | 19115.2362452726 | 218.841494314162 | -1026.23624527259 | -1.01803450880119 |
| 11 | 20764 | 19741.6170308696 | 222.451435515269 | 1022.38296913042 | 0.131859719083486 |
| 12 | 25316 | 23451.9675313528 | 253.62258362137 | 1864.03246864717 | 1.12836445405244 |
| 13 | 17704 | 20987.7645475884 | 339.995907711357 | -3283.76454758839 | -0.976674646361794 |
| 14 | 15548 | 21350.3355673948 | 340.221565663245 | -5802.3355673948 | 0.00699642041598322 |
| 15 | 28029 | 22150.6916096930 | 350.707267440226 | 5878.30839030697 | 0.138600590819406 |
| 16 | 29383 | 27461.3429708618 | 439.151274821344 | 1921.65702913815 | 1.57609701786548 |
| 17 | 36438 | 32980.9961770256 | 495.525735769707 | 3457.00382297441 | 1.64104499550511 |
| 18 | 32034 | 32995.2004504311 | 491.70721780234 | -961.200450431071 | -0.155627092140527 |
| 19 | 22679 | 27228.8152803244 | 445.706650485012 | -4549.81528032437 | -2.02217823630513 |
| 20 | 24319 | 23951.9360236159 | 416.94240254346 | 367.063976384116 | -1.20227708216880 |
| 21 | 18004 | 19245.3871065936 | 374.523783314291 | -1241.38710659358 | -1.65448116236522 |
| 22 | 17537 | 18338.7646718214 | 363.548564422382 | -801.764671821442 | -0.413763642385118 |
| 23 | 20366 | 19417.4341971657 | 368.880213836674 | 948.565802834328 | 0.230803776638622 |
| 24 | 22782 | 19857.9552832287 | 369.077368601661 | 2924.0447167713 | 0.0231366955959056 |
| 25 | 19169 | 21581.0356239563 | 362.788673990991 | -2412.03562395634 | 0.448329681305185 |
| 26 | 13807 | 20963.9299932715 | 356.229060112604 | -7156.92999327152 | -0.312401526011202 |
| 27 | 29743 | 24394.844008536 | 404.36950849435 | 5348.15599146397 | 0.95332870143285 |
| 28 | 25591 | 25753.5233548705 | 419.710702964736 | -162.523354870471 | 0.301844145863279 |
| 29 | 29096 | 25789.8036672149 | 414.829476951876 | 3306.19633278512 | -0.123231459848063 |
| 30 | 26482 | 25505.0202581335 | 407.88740658539 | 976.97974186654 | -0.225707514196883 |
| 31 | 22405 | 25465.3240553517 | 403.974609611703 | -3060.32405535166 | -0.144413026627387 |
| 32 | 27044 | 25071.3118895142 | 397.065687832675 | 1972.68811048584 | -0.257400474720513 |
| 33 | 17970 | 21178.021495698 | 358.987482530739 | -3208.02149569799 | -1.38367003912921 |
| 34 | 18730 | 19966.7604933765 | 345.493809491176 | -1236.76049337648 | -0.50618789646751 |
| 35 | 19684 | 19136.3917322311 | 337.246330197892 | 547.608267768923 | -0.378656367123165 |
| 36 | 19785 | 17904.5314534989 | 330.706908092256 | 1880.46854650105 | -0.506312571618937 |
| 37 | 18479 | 19608.7327298361 | 334.635187056392 | -1129.73272983607 | 0.445890115329529 |
| 38 | 10698 | 19524.0990299617 | 331.391787168035 | -8826.09902996174 | -0.133945274356414 |
| 39 | 31956 | 24308.0969214647 | 389.264055020307 | 7647.90307853527 | 1.39988119559272 |
| 40 | 29506 | 28166.3317945716 | 439.631256086559 | 1339.66820542836 | 1.09826822047231 |
| 41 | 34506 | 30461.5796827833 | 464.120334104424 | 4044.42031721667 | 0.594305123307022 |
| 42 | 27165 | 28128.7238796734 | 432.466524820806 | -963.723879673433 | -0.900295610737329 |
| 43 | 26736 | 28755.7281315107 | 434.435342018757 | -2019.72813151070 | 0.0626797013560997 |
| 44 | 23691 | 23498.5204122548 | 379.494343463104 | 192.479587745232 | -1.83369999111623 |
| 45 | 18157 | 21292.4082253792 | 355.157143192920 | -3135.40822537921 | -0.832689979903131 |
| 46 | 17328 | 18991.8576227201 | 331.757250943064 | -1663.85762272014 | -0.85453855715057 |
| 47 | 18205 | 17557.7686653879 | 318.433972507718 | 647.231334612083 | -0.56779656990192 |
| 48 | 20995 | 18658.8026655763 | 323.244276365139 | 2336.19733442366 | 0.252016929465789 |
| 49 | 17382 | 18869.7802341722 | 322.543282116104 | -1487.78023417223 | -0.0361841810728551 |
| 50 | 9367 | 19849.1267170278 | 328.428850430367 | -10482.1267170278 | 0.209801690485282 |
