| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.2968 | 0.3442 | -0.0588 | -0.9155 | -0.0488 | -0.3184 | -0.4763 |
| (p-val) | (0.0234 ) | (0.0047 ) | (0.5811 ) | (0 ) | (0.7904 ) | (0.0146 ) | (0.0105 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3018 | 0.3471 | -0.0636 | -0.9166 | 0 | -0.2993 | -0.5158 |
| (p-val) | (0.0192 ) | (0.004 ) | (0.5431 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0068 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.2964 | 0.3414 | 0 | -0.932 | 0 | -0.2889 | -0.5203 |
| (p-val) | (0.0104 ) | (0.0021 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0077 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -1.40930331385152 |
| 22.4868179882249 |
| -6.63638434933158 |
| 37.5346375258705 |
| -17.7128186265898 |
| -36.2537854221417 |
| 67.7104892351356 |
| -2.03886358141244 |
| -0.508310027166482 |
| 20.0453032849673 |
| -56.2445443311658 |
| 135.879661734061 |
| 37.6680980021193 |
| -95.6522141980863 |
| -22.6820727775076 |
| 89.4254471041655 |
| 18.8112507339782 |
| 837.985297858289 |
| 674.245849840363 |
| 233.059251735738 |
| 271.334147234322 |
| -112.168117171029 |
| -153.662727144951 |
| 190.867688911565 |
| 91.7015227459318 |
| 252.186088171939 |
| 402.572126621112 |
| -13.2404273801782 |
| -232.823491628561 |
| -252.254892144677 |
| -493.269385250387 |
| -413.76374294209 |
| -135.954988804215 |
| -65.1814252546952 |
| -251.659591401692 |
| 111.649324530070 |
| 185.425917548537 |
| -275.89201376073 |
| 108.655234741835 |
| -161.155389277295 |
| 183.702647711109 |
| -514.504422271236 |
| -285.711178680051 |
| 521.439876837893 |
| 147.794471927387 |
| -51.1425296063404 |
| -96.519742305543 |
| 255.517742768761 |
| -246.765858007706 |
| -339.956079920838 |
| -68.2120617199239 |
| 162.231487404955 |
| 340.326309075126 |
| -502.686604469666 |
| -552.549688720700 |
| 4.24281318324626 |
| 299.664993493572 |
| 31.8763843270388 |
| -111.121079919844 |
| -246.125562592159 |
| -19.2696703584058 |
| 287.444789879822 |
| 82.1896274790444 |
| 62.2835103193615 |
| -59.2471181658173 |
| -590.037942535849 |
| 266.566092539397 |
| -13.0996074182021 |
| -43.7054383046196 |
| -107.252307525303 |
| 90.125532901333 |
| -43.7286523864098 |
| -170.128249378952 |
| 132.227526066314 |
| -239.224915136424 |
| 162.803140873291 |
| -258.220974646965 |
| -360.192845309217 |
| 405.826525020843 |
| 185.335764006096 |
| 28.5942502371582 |
| -271.253084094698 |
| -81.0950813729904 |
| -8.79565678560113 |
| 196.662052207195 |
| -310.733958372265 |
| 423.452080701326 |
| -237.785067683196 |
| 603.041379364879 |
| -752.457894383416 |
| -213.950560178393 |
| -123.286095360247 |
| -340.874637175047 |
| 456.961318236288 |
| -338.479348498749 |
| 59.499183584781 |
| -32.9926599394442 |
| -239.351866298143 |
| 148.314767167589 |
| 57.0539597942155 |
| -273.956734474539 |
| 373.079575781607 |
| -296.069549664206 |
| 9.56223027470543 |
| 194.787773409570 |
| -141.215078347844 |
| -13.2735419781358 |
| -154.293716892910 |
