| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2043 | -0.246 | -0.2245 | 0.0281 | 0.3091 | -0.3855 | -0.2454 |
| (p-val) | (0.6409 ) | (0.09 ) | (0.1483 ) | (0.9496 ) | (0.3801 ) | (0.0291 ) | (0.531 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.1779 | -0.2429 | -0.219 | 0 | 0.3101 | -0.3865 | -0.2462 |
| (p-val) | (0.1988 ) | (0.0756 ) | (0.0941 ) | (NA ) | (0.3769 ) | (0.0281 ) | (0.5286 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.1709 | -0.2454 | -0.2161 | 0 | 0.1087 | -0.363 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2134 ) | (0.0744 ) | (0.1004 ) | (NA ) | (0.4928 ) | (0.0448 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.1732 | -0.2174 | -0.1942 | 0 | 0 | -0.353 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2066 ) | (0.1009 ) | (0.1282 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0505 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | -0.1814 | -0.1626 | 0 | 0 | -0.2735 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.161 ) | (0.1988 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1228 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | -0.1654 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2831 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.2034 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1073 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2522 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1538 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -12.5761996452297 |
| 30.4085722589772 |
| 58.8589213312233 |
| 2.17900755252019 |
| 44.8038598671505 |
| 2.0641059563689 |
| 61.934667223473 |
| -60.9391898577081 |
| 121.390083687509 |
| 37.5019552331394 |
| -88.2392244241915 |
| 19.7885170659645 |
| -14.1093722747433 |
| 25.7852882295382 |
| 19.5190227085751 |
| -9.7932444759353 |
| -0.0561804477052241 |
| 37.716653864703 |
| 149.590069198031 |
| -136.186456192790 |
| -32.8859751481253 |
| 10.2846709208528 |
| 133.287089563978 |
| 19.9684509925451 |
| -7.21883183416775 |
| -24.2011757078469 |
| -18.2745326374791 |
| 3.15503100639094 |
| 3.89967921759157 |
| 58.7452628262155 |
| 1.58400528336830 |
| -58.1202576147517 |
| 28.3598072084846 |
| -36.0434921666825 |
| -53.4687313921733 |
| 38.4125755214634 |
| 3.08053768588007 |
| 29.8757779720069 |
| -39.5168326843295 |
| -37.2896385842801 |
| -5.00522228354475 |
| -5.37629978525683 |
| -29.6656855247306 |
| -25.2488417341947 |
| -1.12138607609904 |
| -21.8693899787058 |
| 35.4475108381148 |
| -76.0293451239413 |
| -73.1911751153762 |
| -20.5176017213153 |
| 56.8908988683074 |
| 17.8094112867002 |
| 3.16623295929458 |
| -12.5999687493904 |
| -12.9711934805287 |
| -18.1118593184065 |
| 14.7046308024101 |
| 5.22545350962446 |
| -6.76299048501278 |
| 12.0484863958391 |
