| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 423.4 | NA | NA | 0.95821202251639 | NA |
| 2 | 404.1 | NA | NA | 0.909263062351679 | NA |
| 3 | 500 | NA | NA | 1.05915880317084 | NA |
| 4 | 472.6 | NA | NA | 1.01641646265085 | NA |
| 5 | 496.1 | NA | NA | 1.03706363839455 | NA |
| 6 | 562 | NA | NA | 0.963751995548248 | NA |
| 7 | 434.8 | 497.25993099457 | 513.604166666667 | 0.968177369396802 | 0.874391787672005 |
| 8 | 538.2 | 542.558337513117 | 523.266666666667 | 1.03686776184186 | 0.991967061951175 |
| 9 | 577.6 | 593.396277438272 | 533.2375 | 1.11281797967748 | 0.973379884507423 |
| 10 | 518.1 | 525.964145201138 | 544.570833333333 | 0.96583238213787 | 0.985048134415834 |
| 11 | 625.2 | 515.917524586403 | 556.05 | 0.927825779311938 | 1.21182159978226 |
| 12 | 561.2 | 589.636015340293 | 564.454166666667 | 1.04461274300150 | 0.951773611854625 |
| 13 | 523.3 | 551.778408065876 | 575.841666666667 | 0.95821202251639 | 0.948387962179056 |
| 14 | 536.1 | 535.510480572021 | 588.95 | 0.909263062351679 | 1.00110085507075 |
| 15 | 607.3 | 636.347022106719 | 600.804166666667 | 1.05915880317084 | 0.954353487802057 |
| 16 | 637.3 | 623.855249432117 | 613.779166666667 | 1.01641646265085 | 1.02155107387510 |
| 17 | 606.9 | 647.067214979292 | 623.941666666667 | 1.03706363839455 | 0.937924200068493 |
| 18 | 652.9 | 616.098541320791 | 639.270833333333 | 0.963751995548248 | 1.05973307224574 |
| 19 | 617.2 | 639.420641401 | 660.4375 | 0.968177369396802 | 0.965248789353572 |
| 20 | 670.4 | 699.591960044066 | 674.716666666667 | 1.03686776184186 | 0.958272876603346 |
| 21 | 729.9 | 762.572430798742 | 685.2625 | 1.11281797967748 | 0.957154980328204 |
| 22 | 677.2 | 676.022302972625 | 699.9375 | 0.96583238213787 | 1.00174209788966 |
| 23 | 710 | 665.595152493154 | 717.370833333334 | 0.927825779311938 | 1.06671449955805 |
| 24 | 844.3 | 808.900230096308 | 774.354166666667 | 1.04461274300150 | 1.04376283821736 |
| 25 | 748.2 | 841.22631221742 | 877.9125 | 0.95821202251639 | 0.889415831546913 |
| 26 | 653.9 | 897.32519606222 | 986.870833333333 | 0.909263062351679 | 0.728721318502528 |
| 27 | 742.6 | 1162.15317045584 | 1097.24166666667 | 1.05915880317084 | 0.638986339217854 |
| 28 | 854.2 | 1212.49590350198 | 1192.9125 | 1.01641646265085 | 0.704497225543499 |
| 29 | 808.4 | 1313.19911651107 | 1266.26666666667 | 1.03706363839455 | 0.615595906086025 |
| 30 | 1819 | 1291.37547080156 | 1339.94583333333 | 0.963751995548248 | 1.40857561656405 |
| 31 | 1936.5 | 1373.45238215393 | 1418.59583333333 | 0.968177369396802 | 1.40995059250839 |
| 32 | 1966.1 | 1563.12567408235 | 1507.54583333333 | 1.03686776184186 | 1.25780033723406 |
| 33 | 2083.1 | 1799.09282774459 | 1616.7 | 1.11281797967748 | 1.15786132203720 |
| 34 | 1620.1 | 1664.05675699489 | 1722.925 | 0.96583238213787 | 0.97358458068806 |
| 35 | 1527.6 | 1677.65978068512 | 1808.1625 | 0.927825779311938 | 0.910554104942636 |
| 36 | 1795 | 1942.96229177041 | 1859.98333333333 | 1.04461274300150 | 0.923847059514682 |
| 37 | 1685.1 | 1788.13941796831 | 1866.12083333333 | 0.95821202251639 | 0.94237618334851 |
| 38 | 1851.8 | 1678.93151305582 | 1846.475 | 0.909263062351679 | 1.10296339403955 |
| 39 | 2164.4 | 1931.92330963033 | 1824.01666666667 | 1.05915880317084 | 1.12033432652881 |
| 40 | 1981.8 | 1842.53435308189 | 1812.775 | 1.01641646265085 | 1.07558374511996 |
| 41 | 1726.5 | 1875.39995708174 | 1808.375 | 1.03706363839455 | 0.920603625632241 |
| 42 | 2144.6 | 1743.70042301219 | 1809.28333333333 | 0.963751995548248 | 1.22991310416458 |
| 43 | 1758.2 | 1767.13347091253 | 1825.21666666667 | 0.968177369396802 | 0.994944654119465 |
| 44 | 1672.9 | 1900.41875700951 | 1832.84583333333 | 1.03686776184186 | 0.880279671956337 |
| 45 | 1837.3 | 2039.39196023119 | 1832.6375 | 1.11281797967748 | 0.900905777716077 |
| 46 | 1596.1 | 1769.63028496574 | 1832.23333333333 | 0.96583238213787 | 0.901939808309111 |
| 47 | 1446 | 1711.23547607397 | 1844.35 | 0.927825779311938 | 0.845003519514163 |
| 48 | 1898.4 | 1922.42259371114 | 1840.32083333333 | 1.04461274300150 | 0.98750399949016 |
| 49 | 1964.1 | 1735.38186102859 | 1811.0625 | 0.95821202251639 | 1.13179700912388 |
| 50 | 1755.9 | 1654.76026998163 | 1819.89166666667 | 0.909263062351679 | 1.06112047276763 |
| 51 | 2255.3 | 1959.41730689597 | 1849.975 | 1.05915880317084 | 1.15100545047893 |
| 52 | 1881.2 | 1908.44049054760 | 1877.61666666667 | 1.01641646265085 | 0.98572630863654 |
| 53 | 2117.9 | 1978.43222955624 | 1907.725 | 1.03706363839455 | 1.07049408534708 |
| 54 | 1656.5 | 1871.59031282144 | 1941.98333333333 | 0.963751995548248 | 0.885076177543799 |
| 55 | 1544.1 | 1897.91002908381 | 1960.29166666667 | 0.968177369396802 | 0.813579135121277 |
| 56 | 2098.9 | 2027.55602574069 | 1955.4625 | 1.03686776184186 | 1.03518717774186 |
| 57 | 2133.3 | 2159.37692214834 | 1940.45833333333 | 1.11281797967748 | 0.987923867352258 |
| 58 | 1963.5 | 1870.35855381954 | 1936.525 | 0.96583238213787 | 1.04979871158407 |
| 59 | 1801.2 | 1816.38906439599 | 1957.68333333333 | 0.927825779311938 | 0.991637769300795 |
| 60 | 2365.4 | 2068.17653923152 | 1979.85 | 1.04461274300150 | 1.14371280939050 |
| 61 | 1936.5 | 1908.41099699449 | 1991.6375 | 0.95821202251639 | 1.01471852921082 |
| 62 | 1667.6 | 1815.20352592968 | 1996.34583333333 | 0.909263062351679 | 0.918684861603008 |
| 63 | 1983.5 | 2132.72216606480 | 2013.6 | 1.05915880317084 | 0.930032064917234 |
| 64 | 2058.6 | 2074.14601943985 | 2040.64583333333 | 1.01641646265085 | 0.992504857761146 |
| 65 | 2448.3 | 2140.14934066839 | 2063.6625 | 1.03706363839455 | 1.14398558711579 |
| 66 | 1858.1 | 1995.09513105095 | 2070.13333333333 | 0.963751995548248 | 0.931334035696442 |
| 67 | 1625.4 | 2005.59959106734 | 2071.52083333333 | 0.968177369396802 | 0.810430959020587 |
| 68 | 2130.6 | 2181.79442559700 | 2104.21666666667 | 1.03686776184186 | 0.97653563278172 |
| 69 | 2515.7 | 2393.88940114062 | 2151.19583333333 | 1.11281797967748 | 1.05088397099772 |
| 70 | 2230.2 | 2118.80686121973 | 2193.7625 | 0.96583238213787 | 1.05257352183396 |
| 71 | 2086.9 | 2059.0348353898 | 2219.20416666667 | 0.927825779311938 | 1.01353311956227 |
| 72 | 2235 | 2328.74648286705 | 2229.29166666667 | 1.04461274300150 | 0.959743800556754 |
| 73 | 2100.2 | 2172.51419315047 | 2267.25833333333 | 0.95821202251639 | 0.966714052603906 |
| 74 | 2288.6 | 2098.37456371865 | 2307.775 | 0.909263062351679 | 1.09065370862304 |
| 75 | 2490 | 2462.68543854595 | 2325.13333333333 | 1.05915880317084 | 1.01109137246135 |
| 76 | 2573.7 | 2374.78506881760 | 2336.42916666667 | 1.01641646265085 | 1.08376123540369 |
| 77 | 2543.8 | 2438.6421823893 | 2351.4875 | 1.03706363839455 | 1.04312146257868 |
| 78 | 2004.7 | 2288.01550319789 | 2374.07083333333 | 0.963751995548248 | 0.87617413308524 |
| 79 | 2390 | 2317.87309934916 | 2394.05833333333 | 0.968177369396802 | 1.03111770902000 |
| 80 | 2338.4 | 2506.22602799498 | 2417.1125 | 1.03686776184186 | 0.933036355811354 |
| 81 | 2724.5 | 2707.76434905024 | 2433.25 | 1.11281797967748 | 1.00618061573771 |
| 82 | 2292.5 | 2363.64939439327 | 2447.26666666667 | 0.96583238213787 | 0.96989849909126 |
| 83 | 2386 | 2275.62416574793 | 2452.64166666667 | 0.927825779311938 | 1.04850354285801 |
| 84 | 2477.9 | 2559.61895672967 | 2450.30416666667 | 1.04461274300150 | 0.968073780468448 |
| 85 | 2337 | 2364.92316727177 | 2468.05833333333 | 0.95821202251639 | 0.988192780358282 |
| 86 | 2605.1 | 2274.6465741438 | 2501.6375 | 0.909263062351679 | 1.14527682217207 |
| 87 | 2560.8 | 2684.45122612153 | 2534.5125 | 1.05915880317084 | 0.953937987429864 |
| 88 | 2839.3 | 2594.80535243275 | 2552.89583333333 | 1.01641646265085 | 1.09422465825347 |
| 89 | 2407.2 | 2656.08850076968 | 2561.1625 | 1.03706363839455 | 0.906295102479622 |
| 90 | 2085.2 | 2481.78988880281 | 2575.13333333333 | 0.963751995548248 | 0.840200054568632 |
| 91 | 2735.6 | 2521.54937936364 | 2604.42916666667 | 0.968177369396802 | 1.0848885301982 |
| 92 | 2798.7 | 2710.55810159528 | 2614.17916666667 | 1.03686776184186 | 1.03251798895321 |
| 93 | 3053.2 | 2928.86273464582 | 2631.93333333333 | 1.11281797967748 | 1.04245240443787 |
| 94 | 2405 | 2562.61488941526 | 2653.27083333333 | 0.96583238213787 | 0.93849450806429 |
| 95 | 2471.9 | 2499.56264946636 | 2694 | 0.927825779311938 | 0.98893300415084 |
| 96 | 2727.3 | 2856.88092296313 | 2734.87083333333 | 1.04461274300150 | 0.954642518726775 |
| 97 | 2790.7 | 2609.34309146523 | 2723.1375 | 0.95821202251639 | 1.06950289869046 |
| 98 | 2385.4 | 2460.35597743694 | 2705.87916666667 | 0.909263062351679 | 0.969534499021956 |
| 99 | 3206.6 | 2838.14399478497 | 2679.62083333333 | 1.05915880317084 | 1.12982287223342 |
| 100 | 2705.6 | 2727.57898793511 | 2683.525 | 1.01641646265085 | 0.99194194264132 |
| 101 | 3518.4 | 2792.73891952213 | 2692.92916666667 | 1.03706363839455 | 1.25983849596726 |
| 102 | 1954.9 | 2594.20352781688 | 2691.775 | 0.963751995548248 | 0.753564621679903 |
| 103 | 2584.3 | 2609.56477038655 | 2695.3375 | 0.968177369396802 | 0.990318396893897 |
| 104 | 2535.8 | 2788.82001620264 | 2689.65833333333 | 1.03686776184186 | 0.909273450874339 |
| 105 | 2685.9 | 2990.55458139419 | 2687.37083333333 | 1.11281797967748 | 0.89812773079294 |
| 106 | 2866 | 2601.22001458963 | 2693.24166666667 | 0.96583238213787 | 1.10179069203115 |
| 107 | 2236.6 | 2490.17614533232 | 2683.88333333333 | 0.927825779311938 | 0.898169394238382 |
| 108 | 2934.9 | 2817.11599787954 | 2696.80416666667 | 1.04461274300150 | 1.04181013568810 |
| 109 | 2668.6 | 2606.65211270199 | 2720.32916666667 | 0.95821202251639 | 1.02376530684557 |
| 110 | 2371.2 | 2478.22299661215 | 2725.52916666667 | 0.909263062351679 | 0.956814622106865 |
| 111 | 3165.9 | 2917.05573878288 | 2754.125 | 1.05915880317084 | 1.08530665283789 |
| 112 | 2887.2 | 2816.56201417160 | 2771.07083333333 | 1.01641646265085 | 1.02507950667267 |
| 113 | 3112.2 | 2889.66115872709 | 2786.3875 | 1.03706363839455 | 1.07701208863220 |
| 114 | 2671.2 | 2697.36514767369 | 2798.81666666667 | 0.963751995548248 | 0.99029973835902 |
| 115 | 2432.6 | NA | NA | 0.968177369396802 | NA |
| 116 | 2812.3 | NA | NA | 1.03686776184186 | NA |
| 117 | 3095.7 | NA | NA | 1.11281797967748 | NA |
| 118 | 2862.9 | NA | NA | 0.96583238213787 | NA |
| 119 | 2607.3 | NA | NA | 0.927825779311938 | NA |
| 120 | 2862.5 | NA | NA | 1.04461274300150 | NA |
