| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 721 | 0 | 73 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 519 | 518.974969563989 | 0.314464928651801 | 518.710565507359 | -0.0250304360106384 |
| 2 | 517 | 516.162224935515 | -4.45397109740664 | 522.291746161892 | -0.837775064485072 |
| 3 | 510 | 508.516146710205 | -14.3890735266299 | 525.872926816425 | -1.48385328979487 |
| 4 | 509 | 509.251832366483 | -20.6640124551759 | 529.412180088693 | 0.251832366482972 |
| 5 | 501 | 499.320842924032 | -30.2722762849933 | 532.951433360961 | -1.67915707596785 |
| 6 | 507 | 505.902159719753 | -28.3537571098513 | 536.451597390098 | -1.09784028024683 |
| 7 | 569 | 573.316809005603 | 24.7314295751616 | 539.951761419235 | 4.31680900560309 |
| 8 | 580 | 581.896554650065 | 34.6530481982540 | 543.450397151681 | 1.89655465006501 |
| 9 | 578 | 581.809631361741 | 27.2413357541321 | 546.949032884127 | 3.80963136174114 |
| 10 | 565 | 567.058251767036 | 12.6755663724671 | 550.266181860497 | 2.05825176703604 |
| 11 | 547 | 543.14020529486 | -2.72353613172679 | 553.583330836867 | -3.85979470514019 |
| 12 | 555 | 552.427444406832 | 1.24078015551372 | 556.331775437654 | -2.57255559316809 |
| 13 | 562 | 564.605315032906 | 0.314464928651801 | 559.080220038442 | 2.60531503290645 |
| 14 | 561 | 564.672456404605 | -4.45397109740664 | 561.781514692802 | 3.6724564046051 |
| 15 | 555 | 559.906264179469 | -14.3890735266299 | 564.482809347161 | 4.90626417946851 |
| 16 | 544 | 540.974827192054 | -20.6640124551759 | 567.689185263122 | -3.02517280794643 |
| 17 | 537 | 533.37671510591 | -30.2722762849933 | 570.895561179083 | -3.62328489409003 |
| 18 | 543 | 540.237328313584 | -28.3537571098513 | 574.116428796267 | -2.76267168641562 |
| 19 | 594 | 585.931274011388 | 24.7314295751616 | 577.33729641345 | -8.06872598861219 |
| 20 | 611 | 607.206176902298 | 34.6530481982540 | 580.140774899448 | -3.79382309770233 |
| 21 | 613 | 615.814410860422 | 27.2413357541321 | 582.944253385446 | 2.81441086042150 |
| 22 | 611 | 623.817918527038 | 12.6755663724671 | 585.506515100494 | 12.8179185270384 |
| 23 | 594 | 602.654759316184 | -2.72353613172679 | 588.068776815543 | 8.65475931618414 |
| 24 | 595 | 598.55177679941 | 1.24078015551372 | 590.207443045076 | 3.55177679941050 |
| 25 | 591 | 589.339425796739 | 0.314464928651801 | 592.346109274609 | -1.66057420326081 |
| 26 | 589 | 588.810676632366 | -4.45397109740664 | 593.643294465041 | -0.189323367634302 |
| 27 | 584 | 587.448593871157 | -14.3890735266299 | 594.940479655473 | 3.44859387115696 |
| 28 | 573 | 571.18827203693 | -20.6640124551759 | 595.475740418246 | -1.81172796306987 |
| 29 | 567 | 568.261275103975 | -30.2722762849933 | 596.011001181019 | 1.26127510397475 |
| 30 | 569 | 570.125884019164 | -28.3537571098513 | 596.227873090688 | 1.12588401916378 |
| 31 | 621 | 620.823825424482 | 24.7314295751616 | 596.444745000357 | -0.176174575518189 |
| 32 | 629 | 626.868565528089 | 34.6530481982540 | 596.478386273657 | -2.13143447191112 |
| 33 | 628 | 632.24663669891 | 27.2413357541321 | 596.512027546958 | 4.24663669891004 |
| 34 | 612 | 614.790187471293 | 12.6755663724671 | 596.534246156239 | 2.79018747129339 |
| 35 | 595 | 596.167071366206 | -2.72353613172679 | 596.556464765521 | 1.16707136620573 |
| 36 | 597 | 596.129337653048 | 1.24078015551372 | 596.629882191439 | -0.870662346952258 |
| 37 | 593 | 588.982235453992 | 0.314464928651801 | 596.703299617356 | -4.01776454600792 |
| 38 | 590 | 588.082511206351 | -4.45397109740664 | 596.371459891055 | -1.91748879364866 |
| 39 | 580 | 578.349453361875 | -14.3890735266299 | 596.039620164754 | -1.65054663812452 |
| 40 | 574 | 574.016831134119 | -20.6640124551759 | 594.647181321057 | 0.0168311341190019 |
| 41 | 573 | 583.017533807634 | -30.2722762849933 | 593.25474247736 | 10.0175338076338 |
| 42 | 573 | 583.68993420594 | -28.3537571098513 | 590.663822903911 | 10.6899342059405 |
| 43 | 620 | 627.195667094376 | 24.7314295751616 | 588.072903330462 | 7.19566709437618 |
| 44 | 626 | 632.986691052037 | 34.6530481982540 | 584.36026074971 | 6.98669105203669 |
| 45 | 620 | 632.111046076911 | 27.2413357541321 | 580.647618168956 | 12.1110460769114 |
| 46 | 588 | 587.4501950336 | 12.6755663724671 | 575.874238593933 | -0.549804966400075 |
| 47 | 566 | 563.622677112817 | -2.72353613172679 | 571.100859018909 | -2.37732288718269 |
| 48 | 557 | 547.183995563959 | 1.24078015551372 | 565.575224280528 | -9.81600443604145 |
| 49 | 561 | 561.635945529202 | 0.314464928651801 | 560.049589542146 | 0.635945529202104 |
| 50 | 549 | 547.935464815355 | -4.45397109740664 | 554.518506282051 | -1.06453518464480 |
| 51 | 532 | 529.401650504673 | -14.3890735266299 | 548.987423021957 | -2.59834949532683 |
| 52 | 526 | 528.705219066406 | -20.6640124551759 | 543.95879338877 | 2.70521906640647 |
| 53 | 511 | 513.342112529411 | -30.2722762849933 | 538.930163755582 | 2.34211252941100 |
| 54 | 499 | 491.620819596945 | -28.3537571098513 | 534.732937512906 | -7.37918040305499 |
| 55 | 555 | 554.732859154608 | 24.7314295751616 | 530.53571127023 | -0.267140845391964 |
| 56 | 565 | 568.35946939836 | 34.6530481982540 | 526.987482403386 | 3.35946939836037 |
| 57 | 542 | 533.319410709327 | 27.2413357541321 | 523.439253536541 | -8.6805892906732 |
| 58 | 527 | 520.874358447194 | 12.6755663724671 | 520.450075180338 | -6.12564155280563 |
| 59 | 510 | 505.262639307591 | -2.72353613172679 | 517.460896824136 | -4.73736069240908 |
| 60 | 514 | 511.711523669096 | 1.24078015551372 | 515.047696175391 | -2.28847633090447 |
| 61 | 517 | 521.051039544702 | 0.314464928651801 | 512.634495526646 | 4.05103954470246 |
| 62 | 508 | 509.854763536245 | -4.45397109740664 | 510.599207561162 | 1.85476353624506 |
| 63 | 493 | 491.825153930952 | -14.3890735266299 | 508.563919595678 | -1.17484606904765 |
| 64 | 490 | 493.410837978845 | -20.6640124551759 | 507.253174476331 | 3.41083797884488 |
| 65 | 469 | 462.329846928009 | -30.2722762849933 | 505.942429356984 | -6.67015307199108 |
| 66 | 478 | 479.350716068118 | -28.3537571098513 | 505.003041041733 | 1.35071606811829 |
| 67 | 528 | 527.204917698357 | 24.7314295751616 | 504.063652726482 | -0.79508230164339 |
| 68 | 534 | 530.205046177373 | 34.6530481982540 | 503.141905624373 | -3.79495382262689 |
| 69 | 518 | 506.538505723604 | 27.2413357541321 | 502.220158522264 | -11.4614942763963 |
| 70 | 506 | 498.005222697044 | 12.6755663724671 | 501.319210930489 | -7.99477730295621 |
| 71 | 502 | 506.305272793013 | -2.72353613172679 | 500.418263338714 | 4.30527279301282 |
| 72 | 516 | 531.16980125105 | 1.24078015551372 | 499.589418593436 | 15.1698012510503 |
