| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.2247 | 0.3837 | -0.2185 | 0.0309 | 0.0256 | -0.4325 |
| (p-val) | (0.5284 ) | (0.007 ) | (0.5935 ) | (0.9875 ) | (0.9732 ) | (0.8236 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.2267 | 0.3838 | -0.2205 | 0 | 0.0145 | -0.4018 |
| (p-val) | (0.5241 ) | (0.0055 ) | (0.5883 ) | (NA ) | (0.9379 ) | (0.0227 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.2221 | 0.3815 | -0.215 | 0 | 0 | -0.4039 |
| (p-val) | (0.5285 ) | (0.005 ) | (0.5929 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0198 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.0455 | 0.3972 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4213 |
| (p-val) | (0.7099 ) | (0.0015 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0134 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4098 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0014 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0153 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -719.405774320179 |
| -1892.13972512203 |
| 948.584751735815 |
| 694.702053597555 |
| -1016.98885981099 |
| -985.243198088241 |
| -439.006139106049 |
| -8289.64839707302 |
| 478.341587615535 |
| -4619.19009697141 |
| -438.889269676146 |
| 1922.27169831854 |
| -9316.27276546704 |
| 4934.24926529499 |
| 294.506079291393 |
| 6062.59748359645 |
| 1545.14497838096 |
| -5388.19323530356 |
| -8728.74410350888 |
| -10701.1030591330 |
| 10938.7367915057 |
| -12697.2927303432 |
| -1368.16155419152 |
| 545.462343565687 |
| 8646.56018969786 |
| -5152.59361283694 |
| -5230.8539005193 |
| -1548.47014455579 |
| -337.152015819184 |
| 1309.74791688059 |
| 2666.25355012676 |
| -5370.63361781142 |
| -7476.69691278903 |
| 8086.32165260496 |
| 6571.98868771161 |
| 3149.48850681552 |
| 104.637480526355 |
| -1952.46924181325 |
| 3591.38504257275 |
| 962.019554951216 |
| -5699.66826957231 |
| 5791.29992251809 |
| -3685.82799741182 |
| -4065.74959426738 |
| 6283.84760394879 |
| 6963.92536654231 |
| 4239.8594212716 |
| 5856.07066535003 |
| 7938.63020854731 |
| 4533.55760400507 |
| 1779.15891762194 |
| -3469.0240935556 |
| 1497.02166817019 |
| 4510.32580191698 |
| -4112.36752504752 |
| 254.655960321710 |
| 2559.86399726922 |
