ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iterationar1ar2ar3ma1sar1sar2sma1
Estimates ( 1 )-0.33080.08310.4731-0.10610.2447-0.2553-0.9998
(p-val)(0.0876 )(0.555 )(1e-04 )(0.6295 )(0.1213 )(0.1674 )(0.0152 )
Estimates ( 2 )-0.40570.04460.455700.2443-0.286-0.9994
(p-val)(8e-04 )(0.7157 )(1e-04 )(NA )(0.1124 )(0.0925 )(0.0159 )
Estimates ( 3 )-0.424900.437700.2411-0.2771-0.9999
(p-val)(1e-04 )(NA )(0 )(NA )(0.1219 )(0.1055 )(0.0199 )
Estimates ( 4 )-0.437100.451900-0.3343-0.6108
(p-val)(0 )(NA )(0 )(NA )(NA )(0.0353 )(0.0107 )
Estimates ( 5 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 6 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 7 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 8 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 9 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 10 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 11 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 12 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )
Estimates ( 13 )NANANANANANANA
(p-val)(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )(NA )


Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
-0.00204571084483972
-0.00283067359213242
-0.0084361337759861
-0.00100157883563286
0.00552789133430058
-0.0097773325684587
0.0037008623592977
-0.00642030822837614
0.00719701196840899
0.00262305115364016
-0.00127110740029994
-0.00361637523257659
0.00129717707614950
0.00261719199218297
0.000582724800817553
-0.00167915132702680
-0.00335413275139399
0.00232667127403374
0.00582091392099778
-0.00334066347103107
-0.0041330370803219
0.00774881947593112
-0.00634148135279762
-0.00566099578208234
-0.00405877963621982
0.0085509759075047
-0.00707214396105319
0.010425131510173
-0.00668403745498932
0.00379050813068932
-0.00324993426129308
0.000226742391370897
0.00230434388712998
-0.00281886460445299
0.00337313318632658
0.00840337336449575
-0.00209978150552735
-0.00297878965583557
-8.0538712325838e-05
0.000634354255519234
-0.0085324150918054
0.000335832194829364
-0.00550713035158494
0.00383522501954013
0.00618077616849003
-0.00197969322858899
-0.00498017524803796
0.00113774236948005
-0.0065547872961444
0.000839304818125273
0.00617892965391168
-0.00704587043257149
-0.000296652134801466
-0.003023626102382
0.00101358450056993
0.000322640390587606
0.00241240601474065
0.00813643317548373
0.0163594234620832
0.0143859819509878
0.00578633446837098
-0.00254190249003666
4.37055206252088e-05
0.00349291035208654
-0.000839579699490873
-0.00561011517767522