| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 0.0314796223103059 | 0.0314796223103059 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | -3.00870920563557 | -0.337859984836871 | -0.123113202382392 | -0.153436759095376 | -2.05955749182822 |
| 3 | -2.07677512619799 | -0.709604203587071 | -0.185270956474344 | -0.185865735543112 | -0.995014943027091 |
| 4 | -1.2501039196554 | -0.928920685940089 | -0.192080061650079 | -0.18529031273494 | -0.116144616839291 |
| 5 | 0.817975239137125 | -0.689068229444243 | -0.120091308625758 | -0.0910683381002602 | 1.37353653543211 |
| 6 | 0.0252076485413113 | -0.609751814053241 | -0.0916044909090781 | -0.091244966301525 | 0.623809170681526 |
| 7 | 0.554937772830776 | -0.425316061107351 | -0.0570994604272071 | -0.0447892531669484 | 0.876900194796564 |
| 8 | 0.230027371950115 | -0.328188351538081 | -0.0399631082053763 | -0.0375253125168191 | 0.506663681018811 |
| 9 | 2.35672227418686 | 0.161182279398779 | 0.0129702657088473 | 0.0455911680914143 | 1.8165914954529 |
| 10 | 1.4135045517112 | 0.401884775082881 | 0.0336731957065978 | 0.0338586903486665 | 0.820736271441635 |
| 11 | 2.73311719024401 | 0.833407095198025 | 0.06682728940731 | 0.0902280373892896 | 1.50930109389431 |
| 12 | 1.31551925971717 | 0.960867064477248 | 0.0714913417051494 | 0.0624532429412668 | 0.24228216916783 |
| 13 | -2.7007627224408 | 0.912510468505958 | 0.0629307747282609 | -0.732463638908291 | -2.17933242704605 |
| 14 | -0.721411049152714 | 0.668085691631248 | 0.0424404046213962 | 0.00909657936452334 | -1.17069055337286 |
| 15 | -0.149388576811997 | 0.558253656218478 | 0.0329233771192608 | 0.0302213377362605 | -0.614818643709566 |
| 16 | -0.118199629770334 | 0.476092980363506 | 0.0261537269443059 | 0.00813932661654078 | -0.498521227947173 |
| 17 | -0.676562489695275 | 0.322020025646073 | 0.0161411335186538 | 0.0135541398248013 | -0.832626770711557 |
| 18 | 1.79699928690761 | 0.536684282562967 | 0.0265897189606664 | 0.0713173531641533 | 0.973152758639384 |
| 19 | 1.79845572032988 | 0.723544336598844 | 0.0346032357144269 | 0.0562168571589747 | 0.83006549095896 |
| 20 | 0.245100010770855 | 0.693826219618397 | 0.0315403141575282 | -0.0166323523779194 | -0.350703795086036 |
| 21 | 1.80710848932636 | 0.84757694205539 | 0.0370953327156857 | 0.0948890622698778 | 0.69932370728707 |
| 22 | -1.75934771184948 | 0.580412785196599 | 0.0238666592559258 | -0.0795039836124123 | -1.82235595792003 |
| 23 | -0.0186697168761931 | 0.526893172336354 | 0.0206422312510853 | 0.0564684343821266 | -0.484013558286986 |
| 24 | 0.189651523600062 | 0.504624042992753 | 0.0189257768272979 | 0.0349609929985976 | -0.280503374220937 |
| 25 | -1.84149562719087 | 0.38927014086954 | 0.0137611737907398 | -0.254724170071894 | -1.52794292646426 |
| 26 | -1.07019530156943 | 0.246067427505414 | 0.00794769648870773 | -0.0183011781312519 | -1.0452326201295 |
| 27 | -0.507291477584104 | 0.172584823601882 | 0.00503947147469917 | 0.0104305576599460 | -0.555639151846882 |
| 28 | 0.866365633831705 | 0.242548388680557 | 0.00727823332311213 | 0.0491730028938489 | 0.461484830401469 |
| 29 | -1.76077926699189 | 0.0644389081634554 | 0.00109864286177167 | -0.114862540034759 | -1.37061423861296 |
| 30 | -0.580719393339347 | 0.00122788551389760 | -0.00097586247730348 | 0.0351870300457735 | -0.493580940212733 |
| 31 | -0.435702079860853 | -0.0414523212142378 | -0.00227912323514198 | 0.0212395364642590 | -0.331709514079693 |
| 32 | -0.994868534845203 | -0.119441415399855 | -0.00457336477909578 | -0.093674439949029 | -0.623085277070507 |
| 33 | 1.63136048315789 | 0.0108240738219333 | -0.000607516132010945 | 0.179733754595189 | 1.14661034875885 |
| 34 | -1.1949403709466 | -0.0756029597806416 | -0.00305950234545563 | -0.171689005949062 | -0.75307597417658 |
| 35 | -1.00525975426991 | -0.154820057768571 | -0.00517499111330214 | 0.0176248386783926 | -0.688907865313166 |
| 36 | 1.32302234837564 | -0.0542808312175853 | -0.00231785009534840 | 0.127192218812249 | 0.990379756576892 |
| 37 | -0.628357549594746 | -0.0829553485932472 | -0.00301144660272508 | -0.101866706160584 | -0.345612060624114 |
| 38 | 0.632048410440518 | -0.0344549765229294 | -0.00169063073931372 | 0.0413418884526878 | 0.49732768724465 |
| 39 | -2.16903155809288 | -0.186727500127953 | -0.00545517806095646 | -0.138095474337901 | -1.46759701218477 |
| 40 | 2.53779364144266 | -0.0110938868259967 | -0.00103837827161713 | 0.267429836906598 | 1.81368136259316 |
| 41 | -0.632933703679292 | -0.0430496195485981 | -0.00177450575854533 | -0.189162105198873 | -0.3182282809543 |
| 42 | -1.417491963422 | -0.139152857514633 | -0.00396819720523114 | -0.0217179566559275 | -0.996947869794296 |
| 43 | -0.455343045381255 | -0.167905679693075 | -0.00453148413644047 | 0.0516160745682807 | -0.268740639518525 |
| 44 | 0.812255211942954 | -0.103133724382716 | -0.00299140770428937 | -0.0573571650138387 | 0.770343197484806 |
| 45 | 0.627897309219833 | -0.0716115302370842 | -0.00224111201189978 | 0.202855581014120 | 0.392986893703714 |
| 46 | 0.650904313655623 | -0.0202645828473225 | -0.00110094053526868 | -0.118848634120266 | 0.624625821615639 |
| 47 | -1.29800419154382 | -0.0947240222227177 | -0.00262924259443798 | -0.0957231302269195 | -0.875016785424487 |
| 48 | 0.74391671726854 | -0.0588193515525736 | -0.00184283620128325 | 0.202286259675681 | 0.473798361432027 |
| 49 | -1.50461634127457 | -0.119992930518855 | -0.00302945105658321 | -0.208417934589222 | -0.920249067996743 |
| 50 | -1.42734677658523 | -0.202142045837650 | -0.00458081702250893 | 0.0415931699430216 | -1.00334328447356 |
| 51 | 0.263353807408564 | -0.172088230247541 | -0.00391476639534321 | -0.119825198802325 | 0.440015640864886 |
| 52 | -0.430830854870631 | -0.203879200209112 | -0.00444073250036638 | 0.229128885971704 | -0.361218271192151 |
| 53 | 0.379576092518008 | -0.169737289497339 | -0.00372623910754898 | -0.0955298814100973 | 0.510410469441461 |
| 54 | 1.70309353400146 | -0.0743187411439252 | -0.00192360660825874 | 0.0854053465408092 | 1.33848623748116 |
| 55 | -3.12314448117342 | -0.229786100389650 | -0.00466545933392777 | -0.219038676757315 | -2.11437705674836 |
| 56 | -1.32526207118689 | -0.289519204058890 | -0.0056315583573543 | -0.0573483874067931 | -0.77312700438829 |
| 57 | -0.60032490743804 | -0.320613976735117 | -0.0060705792938866 | 0.181570918253374 | -0.364317983495049 |
| 58 | 1.23607137604666 | -0.247719439131744 | -0.00473218748206865 | 0.0258235548943518 | 1.15092684830282 |
| 59 | 0.738007075905376 | -0.198020565092148 | -0.00382500312337423 | -0.088422186146746 | 0.808299372178697 |
| 60 | 0.899100896289585 | -0.160382719072617 | -0.00314528428496595 | 0.256487101264982 | 0.632971369509908 |
