Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	2727.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	2790.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	2385.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	3206.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	2705.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	3518.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	1954.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	2584.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	2535.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	2685.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	2866	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	2236.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	2934.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	2668.6	2737.7548	2196.2486	3279.2611	0.4012	0.2377	0.424	0.2377
110	2371.2	2623.5683	2042.2308	3204.9058	0.1974	0.4397	0.789	0.1469
111	3165.9	3186.7073	2538.8916	3834.523	0.4749	0.9932	0.476	0.7769
112	2887.2	2943.09	2266.0846	3620.0955	0.4357	0.2594	0.7541	0.5095
113	3112.2	3455.4308	2751.8137	4159.048	0.1695	0.9433	0.4304	0.9265
114	2671.2	2365.7403	1644.4068	3087.0738	0.2033	0.0213	0.8679	0.061
115	2432.6	2782.7472	2046.8254	3518.6689	0.1755	0.6168	0.7014	0.3427
116	2812.3	2817.4569	2070.1669	3564.7468	0.4946	0.8436	0.77	0.379
117	3095.7	3063.0245	2306.1971	3819.8519	0.4663	0.7419	0.8356	0.63
118	2862.9	3013.0503	2248.166	3777.9346	0.3502	0.4161	0.6468	0.5794
119	2607.3	2667.8049	1895.8713	3439.7386	0.439	0.3102	0.8632	0.2488
120	2862.5	3121.9848	2343.7754	3900.1943	0.2567	0.9026	0.6812	0.6812

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
109	0.1009	-0.0253	0.0021	4782.3928	398.5327	19.9633
110	0.1131	-0.0962	0.008	63689.7546	5307.4795	72.8525
111	0.1037	-0.0065	5e-04	432.9425	36.0785	6.0065
112	0.1174	-0.019	0.0016	3123.6944	260.3079	16.1341
113	0.1039	-0.0993	0.0083	117807.4031	9817.2836	99.0822
114	0.1556	0.1291	0.0108	93305.6254	7775.4688	88.1786
115	0.1349	-0.1258	0.0105	122603.0345	10216.9195	101.0788
116	0.1353	-0.0018	2e-04	26.5934	2.2161	1.4887
117	0.1261	0.0107	9e-04	1067.6885	88.974	9.4326
118	0.1295	-0.0498	0.0042	22545.1135	1878.7595	43.3447
119	0.1476	-0.0227	0.0019	3660.8444	305.0704	17.4663
120	0.1272	-0.0831	0.0069	67332.3698	5611.0308	74.9068