Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 216234 | NA | NA | 0.989027628127167 | NA |
2 | 213587 | NA | NA | 0.971034667675954 | NA |
3 | 209465 | NA | NA | 0.954245136014163 | NA |
4 | 204045 | NA | NA | 0.947232772757375 | NA |
5 | 200237 | NA | NA | 0.925127924881793 | NA |
6 | 203666 | NA | NA | 0.945608265017215 | NA |
7 | 241476 | 252144.743102093 | 226424.791666667 | 1.11359158706124 | 0.95768802089293 |
8 | 260307 | 257566.085282959 | 227915.458333333 | 1.13009484817946 | 1.01064159791857 |
9 | 243324 | 242371.204810767 | 229352.375 | 1.05676344014649 | 1.00393114021105 |
10 | 244460 | 232141.720978206 | 230825.375 | 1.00570277846708 | 1.05306361549267 |
11 | 233575 | 225026.544112493 | 232264.458333333 | 0.968837616083074 | 1.03798865561048 |
12 | 237217 | 231928.897354762 | 233626.583333333 | 0.992733335589003 | 1.02280053372198 |
13 | 235243 | 232330.584487066 | 234908.083333333 | 0.989027628127167 | 1.01253565267511 |
14 | 230354 | 228933.641757508 | 235762.583333333 | 0.971034667675954 | 1.00620423556620 |
15 | 227184 | 225406.219599306 | 236214.166666667 | 0.954245136014163 | 1.0078870068619 |
16 | 221678 | 223826.920591155 | 236295.583333333 | 0.947232772757375 | 0.99039918618601 |
17 | 217142 | 218307.755919925 | 235975.75 | 0.925127924881793 | 0.994660034339997 |
18 | 219452 | 222756.781388728 | 235569.833333333 | 0.945608265017215 | 0.985164171577068 |
19 | 256446 | 261336.652859243 | 234679.083333333 | 1.11359158706124 | 0.981286004830417 |
20 | 265845 | 263937.936735278 | 233553.791666667 | 1.13009484817946 | 1.00722542309875 |
21 | 248624 | 245683.233527616 | 232486.5 | 1.05676344014649 | 1.01196974832250 |
22 | 241114 | 232912.173115076 | 231591.458333333 | 1.00570277846708 | 1.03521424739304 |
23 | 229245 | 223853.483600586 | 231053.666666667 | 0.968837616083074 | 1.02408502343896 |
24 | 231805 | 228795.789583754 | 230470.541666667 | 0.992733335589003 | 1.01315238546007 |
25 | 219277 | 226936.510222229 | 229454.166666667 | 0.989027628127167 | 0.9662482241631 |
26 | 219313 | 221124.54050028 | 227720.541666667 | 0.971034667675954 | 0.991807600838055 |
27 | 212610 | 215581.470719760 | 225918.333333333 | 0.954245136014163 | 0.986216483680908 |
28 | 214771 | 212009.520794459 | 223819.875 | 0.947232772757375 | 1.01302526035243 |
29 | 211142 | 204608.808531247 | 221168.125 | 0.925127924881793 | 1.03193015743384 |
30 | 211457 | 206438.222557604 | 218312.625 | 0.945608265017215 | 1.02431128005375 |
31 | 240048 | 240238.732249378 | 215733.25 | 1.11359158706124 | 0.999206072028467 |
32 | 240636 | 241052.762663078 | 213303.125 | 1.13009484817946 | 0.998271072861916 |
33 | 230580 | 222411.01292147 | 210464.333333333 | 1.05676344014649 | 1.03672923822983 |
34 | 208795 | 208451.889180024 | 207269.875 | 1.00570277846708 | 1.00164599525255 |
35 | 197922 | 197339.062351837 | 203686.416666667 | 0.968837616083074 | 1.00295399015895 |
36 | 194596 | 198597.544701249 | 200051.25 | 0.992733335589003 | 0.979850986036766 |
37 | 194581 | 194511.981204801 | 196669.916666667 | 0.989027628127167 | 1.00035483055990 |
38 | 185686 | 187898.525897078 | 193503.416666667 | 0.971034667675954 | 0.988224889543358 |
39 | 178106 | 181217.910565470 | 189907.083333333 | 0.954245136014163 | 0.982827798004296 |
40 | 172608 | 176595.250183315 | 186432.791666667 | 0.947232772757375 | 0.97742153212402 |
41 | 167302 | 169899.357934573 | 183649.583333333 | 0.925127924881793 | 0.984712373453626 |
42 | 168053 | 171502.331203099 | 181367.208333333 | 0.945608265017215 | 0.97988755500347 |
43 | 202300 | 199733.508657407 | 179359.75 | 1.11359158706124 | 1.01284957821972 |
44 | 202388 | 200509.432802507 | 177427.083333333 | 1.13009484817946 | 1.00936897167997 |
45 | 182516 | 185838.631848500 | 175856.416666667 | 1.05676344014649 | 0.982120876507479 |
46 | 173476 | 175636.184657185 | 174640.25 | 1.00570277846708 | 0.987700799459965 |
47 | 166444 | 168015.375330553 | 173419.541666667 | 0.968837616083074 | 0.99064743135882 |
48 | 171297 | 171073.971608155 | 172326.208333333 | 0.992733335589003 | 1.00130369564550 |
49 | 169701 | 169375.926454918 | 171255 | 0.989027628127167 | 1.00191924290474 |
50 | 164182 | 165036.687980205 | 169959.625 | 0.971034667675954 | 0.994821224355234 |
51 | 161914 | 161248.581644957 | 168980.25 | 0.954245136014163 | 1.00412666175575 |
52 | 159612 | 159578.173952696 | 168467.75 | 0.947232772757375 | 1.00021197164039 |
53 | 151001 | 155710.401121682 | 168312.291666667 | 0.925127924881793 | 0.969755385075387 |
54 | 158114 | 159438.142756976 | 168609.083333333 | 0.945608265017215 | 0.991694943668563 |
55 | 186530 | 188849.774881614 | 169586.208333333 | 1.11359158706124 | 0.987716295224242 |
56 | 187069 | 193614.629959193 | 171326 | 1.13009484817946 | 0.96619248266222 |
57 | 174330 | 183459.284931201 | 173604.875 | 1.05676344014649 | 0.95023808724304 |
58 | 169362 | 177064.869262563 | 176060.833333333 | 1.00570277846708 | 0.956496908197298 |
59 | 166827 | 173169.954762221 | 178739.916666667 | 0.968837616083074 | 0.96337150534612 |
60 | 178037 | 180427.505096075 | 181748.208333333 | 0.992733335589003 | 0.986750883160513 |
61 | 186412 | NA | 184839.75 | NA | NA |
62 | 189226 | NA | 188041.083333333 | NA | NA |
63 | 191563 | NA | 191358.833333333 | NA | NA |
64 | 188906 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
65 | 186005 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
66 | 195309 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
67 | 223532 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
68 | 226899 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
69 | 214126 | NA | NA | NA | NA |