Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 691 | 0 | 70 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 216234 | 220568.063932461 | -1293.79235898235 | 213193.728426522 | 4334.0639324607 |
2 | 213587 | 216291.255050951 | -4443.10849086534 | 215325.853439915 | 2704.25505095063 |
3 | 209465 | 209465.446586248 | -7993.42503955621 | 217457.978453308 | 0.446586248435779 |
4 | 204045 | 199697.630122132 | -11166.6315768986 | 219559.001454767 | -4347.36987786813 |
5 | 200237 | 194748.649059884 | -15934.6735161094 | 221660.024456226 | -5488.3509401163 |
6 | 203666 | 195846.396157656 | -12163.1778597538 | 223648.781702098 | -7819.60384234402 |
7 | 241476 | 237196.307733651 | 20118.153318379 | 225637.53894797 | -4279.69226634898 |
8 | 260307 | 267724.211769658 | 25357.0794433277 | 227532.708787015 | 7417.21176965753 |
9 | 243324 | 247033.443307775 | 10186.6780661655 | 229427.878626060 | 3709.44330777496 |
10 | 244460 | 254366.516692444 | 3352.97990405045 | 231200.503403506 | 9906.51669244404 |
11 | 233575 | 239226.617337774 | -5049.74551872514 | 232973.128180951 | 5651.61733777367 |
12 | 237217 | 241410.088779752 | -970.340202490575 | 233994.251422738 | 4193.08877975246 |
13 | 235243 | 236764.417694458 | -1293.79235898235 | 235015.374664525 | 1521.41769445760 |
14 | 230354 | 229749.491838780 | -4443.10849086534 | 235401.616652085 | -604.508161219652 |
15 | 227184 | 226573.566399911 | -7993.42503955621 | 235787.858639645 | -610.43360008896 |
16 | 221678 | 218789.87335091 | -11166.6315768986 | 235732.758225988 | -2888.12664908983 |
17 | 217142 | 214541.015703778 | -15934.6735161094 | 235677.657812332 | -2600.98429622230 |
18 | 219452 | 215840.030974589 | -12163.1778597538 | 235227.146885165 | -3611.96902541074 |
19 | 256446 | 257997.210723624 | 20118.153318379 | 234776.635957997 | 1551.21072362358 |
20 | 265845 | 272370.536746663 | 25357.0794433277 | 233962.383810009 | 6525.53674666333 |
21 | 248624 | 253913.190271814 | 10186.6780661655 | 233148.131662021 | 5289.190271814 |
22 | 241114 | 246662.619879161 | 3352.97990405045 | 232212.400216788 | 5548.61987916112 |
23 | 229245 | 232263.076747169 | -5049.74551872514 | 231276.668771556 | 3018.07674716879 |
24 | 231805 | 234490.088074466 | -970.340202490575 | 230090.252128025 | 2685.08807446598 |
25 | 219277 | 210943.956874490 | -1293.79235898235 | 228903.835484493 | -8333.04312551045 |
26 | 219313 | 215835.862534693 | -4443.10849086534 | 227233.245956172 | -3477.13746530702 |
27 | 212610 | 207650.768611704 | -7993.42503955621 | 225562.656427852 | -4959.23138829568 |
28 | 214771 | 217261.221127585 | -11166.6315768986 | 223447.410449314 | 2490.22112758484 |
29 | 211142 | 216886.509045334 | -15934.6735161094 | 221332.164470776 | 5744.50904533372 |
30 | 211457 | 216193.580281517 | -12163.1778597538 | 218883.597578237 | 4736.58028151692 |
31 | 240048 | 243542.815995923 | 20118.153318379 | 216435.030685698 | 3494.81599592287 |
32 | 240636 | 242395.745567943 | 25357.0794433277 | 213519.174988729 | 1759.74556794288 |
33 | 230580 | 240370.002642074 | 10186.6780661655 | 210603.319291761 | 9790.00264207381 |
34 | 208795 | 207115.506843508 | 3352.97990405045 | 207121.513252442 | -1679.4931564921 |
35 | 197922 | 197254.038305603 | -5049.74551872514 | 203639.707213123 | -667.961694397498 |
36 | 194596 | 190145.825417306 | -970.340202490575 | 200016.514785185 | -4450.17458269408 |
37 | 194581 | 194062.470001736 | -1293.79235898235 | 196393.322357247 | -518.529998264305 |
38 | 185686 | 182798.106587982 | -4443.10849086534 | 193017.001902884 | -2887.89341201837 |
39 | 178106 | 174564.743591036 | -7993.42503955621 | 189640.681448521 | -3541.25640896449 |
40 | 172608 | 169662.243321005 | -11166.6315768986 | 186720.388255894 | -2945.75667899507 |
41 | 167302 | 166738.578452843 | -15934.6735161094 | 183800.095063267 | -563.421547157282 |
42 | 168053 | 166724.712626964 | -12163.1778597538 | 181544.465232790 | -1328.28737303644 |
43 | 202300 | 205193.011279307 | 20118.153318379 | 179288.835402314 | 2893.01127930713 |
44 | 202388 | 201847.431217336 | 25357.0794433277 | 177571.489339336 | -540.568782663526 |
45 | 182516 | 178991.178657477 | 10186.6780661655 | 175854.143276358 | -3524.82134252330 |
46 | 173476 | 169062.150994273 | 3352.97990405045 | 174536.869101676 | -4413.8490057266 |
47 | 166444 | 164718.150591731 | -5049.74551872514 | 173219.594926994 | -1725.84940826934 |
48 | 171297 | 171420.764180346 | -970.340202490575 | 172143.576022145 | 123.764180345897 |
49 | 169701 | 169628.235241687 | -1293.79235898235 | 171067.557117295 | -72.7647583125217 |
50 | 164182 | 162612.139111463 | -4443.10849086534 | 170194.969379402 | -1569.86088853684 |
51 | 161914 | 162499.043398047 | -7993.42503955621 | 169322.381641509 | 585.04339804675 |
52 | 159612 | 161488.686476912 | -11166.6315768986 | 168901.945099987 | 1876.68647691203 |
53 | 151001 | 149455.164957646 | -15934.6735161094 | 168481.508558464 | -1545.83504235430 |
54 | 158114 | 159447.304562799 | -12163.1778597538 | 168943.873296955 | 1333.30456279864 |
55 | 186530 | 183535.608646174 | 20118.153318379 | 169406.238035447 | -2994.39135382563 |
56 | 187069 | 177687.251219411 | 25357.0794433277 | 171093.669337262 | -9381.74878058946 |
57 | 174330 | 165692.221294758 | 10186.6780661655 | 172781.100639077 | -8637.77870524235 |
58 | 169362 | 159867.903852764 | 3352.97990405045 | 175503.116243186 | -9494.0961472363 |
59 | 166827 | 160478.613671430 | -5049.74551872514 | 178225.131847295 | -6348.3863285697 |
60 | 178037 | 175416.33793668 | -970.340202490575 | 181628.002265811 | -2620.66206331999 |
61 | 186412 | 189086.919674656 | -1293.79235898235 | 185030.872684326 | 2674.91967465606 |
62 | 189226 | 194583.844880857 | -4443.10849086534 | 188311.263610008 | 5357.84488085724 |
63 | 191563 | 199527.770503866 | -7993.42503955621 | 191591.65453569 | 7964.77050386634 |
64 | 188906 | 194058.583264767 | -11166.6315768986 | 194920.048312131 | 5152.58326476725 |
65 | 186005 | 189696.231427537 | -15934.6735161094 | 198248.442088573 | 3691.23142753652 |
66 | 195309 | 201222.174387125 | -12163.1778597538 | 201559.003472629 | 5913.17438712469 |
67 | 223532 | 222076.281824936 | 20118.153318379 | 204869.564856685 | -1455.71817506439 |
68 | 226899 | 220371.776564381 | 25357.0794433277 | 208069.143992291 | -6527.22343561903 |
69 | 214126 | 206796.598805937 | 10186.6780661655 | 211268.723127897 | -7329.40119406275 |