| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 216234 | 216234 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 213587 | 214477.181578230 | -1830.38714480497 | -890.18157823028 | -0.39479893349566 |
| 3 | 209465 | 209827.776322188 | -3680.183873355 | -362.776322187599 | -0.33994872187352 |
| 4 | 204045 | 204418.526126059 | -4877.81228434098 | -373.526126059336 | -0.224145044258044 |
| 5 | 200237 | 199912.724765473 | -4623.02694404524 | 324.275234526576 | 0.0447853618394943 |
| 6 | 203666 | 201577.920789916 | -375.522213058505 | 2088.07921008387 | 0.754017126473183 |
| 7 | 241476 | 231683.748183663 | 20286.0819432127 | 9792.25181633744 | 3.67433989511235 |
| 8 | 260307 | 260697.084335007 | 26211.6813865841 | -390.08433500697 | 1.05224332628533 |
| 9 | 243324 | 255302.858981583 | 4750.96165544077 | -11978.8589815831 | -3.81108721658072 |
| 10 | 244460 | 245969.507346691 | -4810.34385832014 | -1509.50734669066 | -1.69798373655502 |
| 11 | 233575 | 234448.121881445 | -9365.40693011369 | -873.121881445027 | -0.808911182158405 |
| 12 | 237217 | 233621.72911782 | -3569.82500021787 | 3595.27088217987 | 1.02920968741838 |
| 13 | 235243 | 234448.999317957 | -594.937579165195 | 794.000682043006 | 0.530187414592767 |
| 14 | 230354 | 231487.733683511 | -2202.77240311391 | -1133.73368351057 | -0.290158593620246 |
| 15 | 227184 | 226389.049191915 | -4111.79879594066 | 794.950808084671 | -0.336336347303463 |
| 16 | 221678 | 220112.165410824 | -5523.98720058181 | 1565.83458917626 | -0.254681916560283 |
| 17 | 217142 | 217319.207638779 | -3722.61739222962 | -177.207638778539 | 0.321211514433398 |
| 18 | 219452 | 225574.073738568 | 4118.63235016086 | -6122.07373856777 | 1.38708366320003 |
| 19 | 256446 | 246288.856012642 | 14948.573511286 | 10157.1439873585 | 1.92374910746258 |
| 20 | 265845 | 258827.954980479 | 13373.1862463137 | 7017.04501952103 | -0.279940690474034 |
| 21 | 248624 | 259837.762918314 | 5281.72057677067 | -11213.7629183136 | -1.43681442840166 |
| 22 | 241114 | 246096.84742379 | -7168.52294247772 | -4982.84742379007 | -2.21108948209455 |
| 23 | 229245 | 233605.498697259 | -10650.5840068462 | -4360.49869725849 | -0.618383956824398 |
| 24 | 231805 | 227827.192949423 | -7467.0254354779 | 3977.80705057703 | 0.565603424674838 |
| 25 | 219277 | 218543.624534856 | -8654.23149439876 | 733.37546514395 | -0.211501834754061 |
| 26 | 219313 | 215992.168336011 | -4660.44957368118 | 3320.83166398932 | 0.71039202623335 |
| 27 | 212610 | 210179.950654399 | -5407.54079978417 | 2430.04934560058 | -0.132288676925589 |
| 28 | 214771 | 210854.180975122 | -1481.96639047548 | 3916.81902487844 | 0.700184460883853 |
| 29 | 211142 | 214841.025223256 | 2066.75062721389 | -3699.02522325568 | 0.632709485648814 |
| 30 | 211457 | 223122.940683899 | 6096.0388137432 | -11665.9406838993 | 0.714353567549834 |
| 31 | 240048 | 230441.956830442 | 6886.25156294235 | 9606.04316955802 | 0.140188518068640 |
| 32 | 240636 | 231564.389106116 | 3161.07787052051 | 9071.61089388379 | -0.661749836521446 |
| 33 | 230580 | 234650.384057707 | 3112.49731290947 | -4070.38405770683 | -0.00862787527067449 |
| 34 | 208795 | 218734.187169042 | -9202.46609052241 | -9939.18716904172 | -2.18694549691350 |
| 35 | 197922 | 204202.905219426 | -12649.5276759828 | -6280.90521942641 | -0.6121891033156 |
| 36 | 194596 | 190122.423514331 | -13574.729511267 | 4473.5764856685 | -0.164426694542214 |
| 37 | 194581 | 190251.101893247 | -4707.74428196086 | 4329.89810675275 | 1.57733900903130 |
| 38 | 185686 | 182988.429579636 | -6360.54182285207 | 2697.57042036405 | -0.293491191252335 |
| 39 | 178106 | 176859.121284027 | -6211.61317620413 | 1246.87871597260 | 0.0264108176182695 |
| 40 | 172608 | 170764.884649402 | -6136.18965263854 | 1843.11535059847 | 0.0134191535255904 |
| 41 | 167302 | 171497.339101412 | -1710.96625017192 | -4195.33910141220 | 0.78787019449899 |
| 42 | 168053 | 178477.291490645 | 3891.65135072021 | -10424.2914906453 | 0.994589206368886 |
| 43 | 202300 | 190018.106849733 | 8812.91568056983 | 12281.8931502666 | 0.87303164596816 |
| 44 | 202388 | 195001.089990867 | 6350.43488712091 | 7386.91000913265 | -0.437232023869609 |
| 45 | 182516 | 184852.724262001 | -4263.76325082504 | -2336.72426200113 | -1.88509875979197 |
| 46 | 173476 | 180114.036656314 | -4569.38692897991 | -6638.03665631371 | -0.0542776617268997 |
| 47 | 166444 | 173617.799436375 | -5809.12872835949 | -7173.79943637479 | -0.220209075636228 |
| 48 | 171297 | 170483.167250836 | -4088.2521850003 | 813.832749164085 | 0.305824936134334 |
| 49 | 169701 | 164676.579226762 | -5194.54535509817 | 5024.42077323782 | -0.196622435415268 |
| 50 | 164182 | 160119.692223411 | -4784.27232663496 | 4062.30777658860 | 0.0728281882559792 |
| 51 | 161914 | 158822.518977709 | -2546.59072385817 | 3091.48102229063 | 0.397062001356254 |
| 52 | 159612 | 159426.398381158 | -527.463891824144 | 185.601618842121 | 0.358942433469935 |
| 53 | 151001 | 159375.049523596 | -221.861061375823 | -8374.04952359615 | 0.0543642486848535 |
| 54 | 158114 | 168868.999312782 | 6019.4993300538 | -10754.9993127818 | 1.10855163258835 |
| 55 | 186530 | 173678.921073125 | 5243.32415583226 | 12851.0789268747 | -0.137731493842675 |
| 56 | 187069 | 175021.255775317 | 2742.37212010449 | 12047.7442246825 | -0.443955593424929 |
| 57 | 174330 | 176604.202486730 | 1999.03500934169 | -2274.20248672969 | -0.132007690850250 |
| 58 | 169362 | 176282.125291881 | 510.600391879073 | -6920.12529188148 | -0.264371078849236 |
| 59 | 166827 | 175188.700349993 | -518.085727951854 | -8361.70034999336 | -0.182749363677611 |
| 60 | 178037 | 175800.558907678 | 206.783287225079 | 2236.44109232194 | 0.128806519531542 |
| 61 | 186412 | 180014.072864591 | 2778.02452377536 | 6397.92713540855 | 0.456780487556198 |
| 62 | 189226 | 185377.119104139 | 4435.70815336254 | 3848.88089586147 | 0.294238190255126 |
| 63 | 191563 | 189375.194838726 | 4155.57241089437 | 2187.80516127351 | -0.0497219247628187 |
| 64 | 188906 | 190385.514380267 | 2143.79154419358 | -1479.51438026679 | -0.357512665973949 |
| 65 | 186005 | 196606.222890339 | 4754.09175784515 | -10601.2228903389 | 0.464137381115021 |
| 66 | 195309 | 204886.272707439 | 7013.35614700393 | -9577.27270743905 | 0.401351579474383 |
| 67 | 223532 | 210211.293033849 | 5932.21499564619 | 13320.7069661513 | -0.191894445648607 |
| 68 | 226899 | 214691.919209623 | 5003.53647514459 | 12207.0807903768 | -0.164841281353842 |
| 69 | 214126 | 216343.388023012 | 2859.71232736978 | -2217.38802301183 | -0.380687409990829 |
