| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0977 | 0.2504 | 0.2386 | -0.0284 | 0.2781 | -0.1043 | -0.9997 |
| (p-val) | (0.7769 ) | (0.0324 ) | (0.1023 ) | (0.935 ) | (0.0523 ) | (0.4862 ) | (0.0395 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.071 | 0.2543 | 0.246 | 0 | 0.2774 | -0.1053 | -0.9966 |
| (p-val) | (0.5154 ) | (0.0173 ) | (0.0273 ) | (NA ) | (0.0523 ) | (0.4808 ) | (0.0351 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.2651 | 0.2645 | 0 | 0.292 | -0.1142 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0122 ) | (0.0141 ) | (NA ) | (0.0402 ) | (0.4418 ) | (0.0442 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.2548 | 0.2838 | 0 | 0.3135 | 0 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0146 ) | (0.0067 ) | (NA ) | (0.0294 ) | (NA ) | (5e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -706.026542296181 |
| -59.4405579520267 |
| -969.833720383066 |
| 1994.56903063601 |
| 102.064814516947 |
| 1282.18411025837 |
| -307.754606959943 |
| 225.069461418321 |
| -862.471322666482 |
| -2850.16172979440 |
| -3875.76341994283 |
| 2996.98129088558 |
| 1931.51753614196 |
| 488.179241950267 |
| -601.581627830989 |
| -3495.10356420977 |
| 265.163825175723 |
| 640.313274555833 |
| -3418.45097379814 |
| 2072.03398243007 |
| 2662.9984145817 |
| -1064.81719671349 |
| -9.57987333730985 |
| -2208.8867746199 |
| -4275.21498681124 |
| 381.837227886395 |
| 1914.99171248840 |
| 1019.08609621188 |
| 884.745394297871 |
| -1702.08983953302 |
| -2064.71644375347 |
| -2452.89205796152 |
| 1313.39939683182 |
| -569.737683944086 |
| -187.9171774845 |
| -128.334928612711 |
| -2601.14827891639 |
| 581.657297679053 |
| -299.792761503996 |
| 2868.57371158154 |
| 2723.0124492194 |
| -1846.18418996859 |
| -6526.92686969168 |
| -3652.78139505582 |
| 2790.5729463211 |
| -7703.28365973859 |
| -1373.42544129638 |
| -2976.48819823291 |
| 5585.1945937738 |
| -2568.07437379205 |
| -4750.48266905558 |
| 1324.51875012340 |
| -1689.96832952026 |
| -7068.09981170815 |
| 1855.55513995599 |
| 2269.56153308754 |
| -4661.24493442205 |
| 3260.97170059017 |
| 2160.39821896397 |
| 4793.18303923311 |
| -2209.06420471032 |
| -2213.50510931699 |
| -3114.14394163762 |
| 3411.46075067066 |
| -4693.81993673823 |
| 5920.52037235391 |
| -2077.91680939984 |
| -3642.83868232441 |
| 332.648590721953 |
| 2734.67402718683 |
| 7903.1305482291 |
| 5491.06198558059 |
| 4354.83029956606 |
| 1619.51905250655 |
| 5543.22938817069 |
| -366.008933224093 |
| -3459.03179080274 |
| 1134.72876550400 |
| -2525.56367971036 |
| -926.76612281528 |
| -2956.34221718809 |
| -885.143314774538 |
