| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 11.1 | 11.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 10.9 | 10.9023139605178 | -0.197877275849182 | -0.00231396051779417 | -0.519268296715333 |
| 3 | 10 | 10.0192310725768 | -0.860783815387878 | -0.0192310725767628 | -1.75760425368065 |
| 4 | 9.2 | 9.19482653488939 | -0.82585397281315 | 0.0051734651106082 | 0.0910733826338701 |
| 5 | 9.2 | 9.17898470917852 | -0.0476795308534081 | 0.0210152908214749 | 2.03083000302882 |
| 6 | 9.5 | 9.49661345703842 | 0.303317255381226 | 0.00338654296158203 | 0.91596087871694 |
| 7 | 9.6 | 9.60875181786168 | 0.119631753029153 | -0.00875181786168083 | -0.479345721896692 |
| 8 | 9.5 | 9.50570325546266 | -0.094319524744667 | -0.00570325546266232 | -0.558327255182972 |
| 9 | 9.1 | 9.10770352363868 | -0.386095916729550 | -0.00770352363868439 | -0.761419673784439 |
| 10 | 8.9 | 8.89407385611935 | -0.220390061266825 | 0.00592614388065247 | 0.432426001083685 |
| 11 | 9 | 8.9933828003002 | 0.0867772470261645 | 0.00661719969979558 | 0.801583808956906 |
| 12 | 10.1 | 10.0758754350773 | 1.04346215693063 | 0.0241245649227205 | 2.49656494473471 |
| 13 | 10.3 | 10.3272435728530 | 0.282609815447896 | -0.0272435728530215 | -1.98625483889208 |
| 14 | 10.2 | 10.1930624323175 | -0.118014591763028 | 0.0069375676824756 | -1.04965212704135 |
| 15 | 9.6 | 9.61906717509268 | -0.54608704578929 | -0.0190671750926754 | -1.12797678282709 |
| 16 | 9.2 | 9.20693966770739 | -0.420475494555885 | -0.00693966770739241 | 0.327427338297058 |
| 17 | 9.3 | 9.27623099198064 | 0.0385678849194214 | 0.0237690080193650 | 1.19806338758620 |
| 18 | 9.4 | 9.3951428305527 | 0.113891418959475 | 0.00485716944730701 | 0.196563696564963 |
| 19 | 9.4 | 9.4137804575969 | 0.0245898482455449 | -0.0137804575968885 | -0.233041580372739 |
| 20 | 9.2 | 9.20218397826148 | -0.196833786966918 | -0.00218397826147587 | -0.577827100212828 |
| 21 | 9 | 9.00686393673775 | -0.195414658049320 | -0.00686393673774641 | 0.00370335885872557 |
| 22 | 9 | 8.97362998957414 | -0.043370781896141 | 0.0263700104258586 | 0.396773703549157 |
| 23 | 9 | 9.04562202770204 | 0.0647823568253091 | -0.0456220277020432 | 0.282236524362768 |
| 24 | 9.8 | 9.7281184322382 | 0.643878572129655 | 0.0718815677617899 | 1.51121218099864 |
| 25 | 10 | 10.041196682057 | 0.333836916004252 | -0.0411966820570087 | -0.809447417810787 |
| 26 | 9.8 | 9.78715326990133 | -0.21757811345966 | 0.0128467300986743 | -1.44159878044086 |
| 27 | 9.3 | 9.31726595248606 | -0.451057299275273 | -0.0172659524860579 | -0.612360284747078 |
| 28 | 9 | 9.02276410745842 | -0.305990234073916 | -0.0227641074584214 | 0.37832176822637 |
| 29 | 9 | 8.97216330472896 | -0.0696017530144864 | 0.0278366952710432 | 0.616906127733932 |
| 30 | 9.1 | 9.09053237841946 | 0.104439149326523 | 0.00946762158053677 | 0.454181547716595 |
| 31 | 9.1 | 9.10646325849621 | 0.0224874125032467 | -0.00646325849621339 | -0.213861223369617 |
| 32 | 9.1 | 9.10065244854538 | -0.00371398418596567 | -0.00065244854538207 | -0.068375180528351 |
| 33 | 9.2 | 9.20621399566544 | 0.0974637128296588 | -0.00621399566544226 | 0.264033327056016 |
| 34 | 8.8 | 8.78512717529671 | -0.382662661252907 | 0.0148728247032879 | -1.25293782103530 |
| 35 | 8.3 | 8.39135189386244 | -0.392951970598074 | -0.0913518938624389 | -0.0268510404219564 |
| 36 | 8.4 | 8.31038932075387 | -0.104095018862924 | 0.089610679246131 | 0.753803795253862 |
| 37 | 8.1 | 8.11910483601663 | -0.184804100431604 | -0.0191048360166275 | -0.210734473624561 |
| 38 | 7.7 | 7.67597026841 | -0.4240435509058 | 0.0240297315899946 | -0.624685550084273 |
| 39 | 7.9 | 7.8829429751547 | 0.155900567848270 | 0.0170570248452985 | 1.51741587970476 |
| 40 | 7.9 | 7.94196471718982 | 0.0667057965112374 | -0.0419647171898167 | -0.232720465944251 |
| 41 | 8 | 7.99133725222027 | 0.0507662602148135 | 0.00866274777973165 | -0.0415924660434171 |
| 42 | 7.9 | 7.89005066671207 | -0.0890973122770287 | 0.00994933328792953 | -0.364999188609893 |
| 43 | 7.6 | 7.61133181373123 | -0.263529391031732 | -0.0113318137312261 | -0.455196598605809 |
| 44 | 7.1 | 7.13751958385879 | -0.456964842218547 | -0.0375195838587898 | -0.504789479440009 |
| 45 | 6.8 | 6.75989621165295 | -0.383980961370971 | 0.0401037883470502 | 0.190458739553836 |
| 46 | 6.5 | 6.46750805438957 | -0.299726700524345 | 0.0324919456104339 | 0.219869964197356 |
| 47 | 6.9 | 6.97862588811384 | 0.446157526532614 | -0.078625888113835 | 1.94646696161207 |
| 48 | 8.2 | 8.08007035604198 | 1.04888610852419 | 0.119929643958015 | 1.57289977650452 |
| 49 | 8.7 | 8.70836764820517 | 0.662062153029747 | -0.00836764820516827 | -1.01002821703670 |
| 50 | 8.3 | 8.38313990557518 | -0.246030202978635 | -0.0831399055751773 | -2.36991742040616 |
| 51 | 7.9 | 7.88394172020598 | -0.477839828699888 | 0.0160582797940225 | -0.605824340497071 |
| 52 | 7.5 | 7.53419178862317 | -0.360374393246054 | -0.0341917886231732 | 0.306566532113275 |
| 53 | 7.8 | 7.7550985094328 | 0.172159058238768 | 0.0449014905671963 | 1.38946734900905 |
| 54 | 8.3 | 8.26797059748581 | 0.484346706484005 | 0.0320294025141878 | 0.814719274910062 |
| 55 | 8.4 | 8.41728627752001 | 0.177335316925176 | -0.0172862775200103 | -0.80117379363102 |
| 56 | 8.2 | 8.25656920572426 | -0.132443127222985 | -0.0565692057242573 | -0.808398084804553 |
| 57 | 7.7 | 7.65360277760855 | -0.563607653855369 | 0.0463972223914529 | -1.12516697671528 |
| 58 | 7.2 | 7.1987688812449 | -0.463931917987239 | 0.00123111875509691 | 0.260114049663913 |
| 59 | 7.3 | 7.41441270640327 | 0.158801166112815 | -0.114412706403273 | 1.62508881005397 |
| 60 | 8.1 | 7.96575695144862 | 0.518465224937282 | 0.134243048551383 | 0.938609053421418 |
