Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 611 | 0 | 62 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 162 | 163.891077913596 | 21.0617838709463 | 139.047138215457 | 1.89107791359626 |
2 | 161 | 163.315395938922 | 20.4094557905409 | 138.275148270537 | 2.31539593892160 |
3 | 149 | 150.487016533474 | 10.0098251409079 | 137.503158325618 | 1.48701653347447 |
4 | 139 | 139.694540413074 | 1.48013468961784 | 136.825324897308 | 0.694540413074265 |
5 | 135 | 135.102064665932 | -1.24955613492973 | 136.147491468998 | 0.102064665931550 |
6 | 130 | 127.203728634383 | -2.75610895293840 | 135.552380318556 | -2.79627136561714 |
7 | 127 | 124.505394220283 | -5.46266338839578 | 134.957269168113 | -2.49460577971715 |
8 | 122 | 119.534477935209 | -9.93555344720785 | 134.401075511999 | -2.46552206479129 |
9 | 117 | 112.563560032687 | -12.4084418885721 | 133.844881855885 | -4.43643996731322 |
10 | 112 | 109.008849048802 | -18.5676971295376 | 133.558848080735 | -2.99115095119754 |
11 | 113 | 109.654139309109 | -16.9269536146940 | 133.272814305585 | -3.34586069089085 |
12 | 149 | 150.507772362925 | 14.3457800704663 | 133.146447566608 | 1.50777236292532 |
13 | 157 | 159.918135301422 | 21.0617838709463 | 133.020080827632 | 2.91813530142184 |
14 | 157 | 160.82021382053 | 20.4094557905409 | 132.770330388929 | 3.82021382052989 |
15 | 147 | 151.469594908865 | 10.0098251409079 | 132.520579950227 | 4.46959490886547 |
16 | 137 | 140.361409221657 | 1.48013468961784 | 132.158456088725 | 3.36140922165703 |
17 | 132 | 133.453223907706 | -1.24955613492973 | 131.796332227224 | 1.45322390770610 |
18 | 125 | 121.500179847318 | -2.75610895293840 | 131.25592910562 | -3.49982015268159 |
19 | 123 | 120.747137404379 | -5.46266338839578 | 130.715525984016 | -2.25286259562063 |
20 | 117 | 113.963386089075 | -9.93555344720785 | 129.972167358133 | -3.03661391092542 |
21 | 114 | 111.179633156322 | -12.4084418885721 | 129.22880873225 | -2.820366843678 |
22 | 111 | 112.218687353072 | -18.5676971295376 | 128.349009776466 | 1.21868735307197 |
23 | 112 | 113.457742794013 | -16.9269536146940 | 127.469210820681 | 1.45774279401297 |
24 | 144 | 147.115642294108 | 14.3457800704663 | 126.538577635426 | 3.11564229410806 |
25 | 150 | 153.330271678884 | 21.0617838709463 | 125.607944450170 | 3.33027167888352 |
26 | 149 | 153.08622728936 | 20.4094557905409 | 124.504316920099 | 4.08622728936008 |
27 | 134 | 134.589485469064 | 10.0098251409079 | 123.400689390028 | 0.5894854690642 |
28 | 123 | 122.539043284072 | 1.48013468961784 | 121.980822026310 | -0.460956715928035 |
29 | 116 | 112.688601472337 | -1.24955613492973 | 120.560954662593 | -3.31139852766279 |
30 | 117 | 117.858262340804 | -2.75610895293840 | 118.897846612134 | 0.858262340804316 |
31 | 111 | 110.22792482672 | -5.46266338839578 | 117.234738561676 | -0.772075173279887 |
32 | 105 | 104.371867449033 | -9.93555344720785 | 115.563685998174 | -0.62813255096654 |
33 | 102 | 102.515808453899 | -12.4084418885721 | 113.892633434673 | 0.515808453898998 |
34 | 95 | 96.0710077961857 | -18.5676971295376 | 112.496689333352 | 1.07100779618565 |
35 | 93 | 91.8262083826633 | -16.9269536146940 | 111.100745232031 | -1.17379161733668 |
36 | 124 | 123.612640409259 | 14.3457800704663 | 110.041579520275 | -0.387359590741255 |
37 | 130 | 129.955802320535 | 21.0617838709463 | 108.982413808519 | -0.0441976794654408 |
38 | 124 | 119.435632177884 | 20.4094557905409 | 108.154912031575 | -4.56436782211566 |
39 | 115 | 112.662764604462 | 10.0098251409079 | 107.327410254630 | -2.33723539553834 |
40 | 106 | 103.858063108656 | 1.48013468961784 | 106.661802201726 | -2.14193689134427 |
41 | 105 | 105.253361986107 | -1.24955613492973 | 105.996194148822 | 0.253361986107279 |
42 | 105 | 107.339913865538 | -2.75610895293840 | 105.416195087400 | 2.33991386553816 |
43 | 101 | 102.626467362418 | -5.46266338839578 | 104.836196025978 | 1.62646736241776 |
44 | 95 | 95.6547005221938 | -9.93555344720785 | 104.280852925014 | 0.654700522193806 |
45 | 93 | 94.682932064522 | -12.4084418885721 | 103.725509824050 | 1.68293206452203 |
46 | 84 | 83.1574560638012 | -18.5676971295376 | 103.410241065736 | -0.842543936198794 |
47 | 87 | 87.8319813072714 | -16.9269536146940 | 103.094972307423 | 0.831981307271377 |
48 | 116 | 114.326014060138 | 14.3457800704663 | 103.328205869396 | -1.67398593986198 |
49 | 120 | 115.376776697685 | 21.0617838709463 | 103.561439431369 | -4.62322330231495 |
50 | 117 | 109.105325240228 | 20.4094557905409 | 104.485218969231 | -7.89467475977153 |
51 | 109 | 102.581176351999 | 10.0098251409079 | 105.408998507093 | -6.41882364800058 |
52 | 105 | 101.583663107152 | 1.48013468961784 | 106.936202203231 | -3.41633689284836 |
53 | 107 | 106.786150235561 | -1.24955613492973 | 108.463405899368 | -0.213849764438663 |
54 | 109 | 110.734977727191 | -2.75610895293840 | 110.021131225748 | 1.73497772719060 |
55 | 109 | 111.883806836269 | -5.46266338839578 | 111.578856552127 | 2.88380683626855 |
56 | 108 | 112.744551250734 | -9.93555344720785 | 113.191002196474 | 4.74455125073358 |
57 | 107 | 111.605294047751 | -12.4084418885721 | 114.803147840821 | 4.6052940477508 |
58 | 99 | 100.116376926620 | -18.5676971295376 | 116.451320202917 | 1.11637692662046 |
59 | 103 | 104.827461049681 | -16.9269536146940 | 118.099492565013 | 1.82746104968112 |
60 | 131 | 127.935923812651 | 14.3457800704663 | 119.718296116882 | -3.06407618734877 |
61 | 137 | 131.601116460302 | 21.0617838709463 | 121.337099668752 | -5.39888353969828 |