| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.7253 | -0.2111 | 0.241 | -0.4452 | 0.7521 | -0.0753 | -0.9607 |
| (p-val) | (0.0133 ) | (0.2435 ) | (0.0787 ) | (0.1067 ) | (0.1889 ) | (0.7351 ) | (0.6526 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.7305 | -0.2103 | 0.2378 | -0.439 | 0.7601 | 0 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0.0143 ) | (0.2489 ) | (0.082 ) | (0.1195 ) | (3e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.0855 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.4936 | 0 | 0.1753 | -0.2514 | 0.8394 | 0 | -0.9997 |
| (p-val) | (0.159 ) | (NA ) | (0.1762 ) | (0.5679 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0837 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.2998 | 0 | 0.1904 | 0 | 0.823 | 0 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (0.0159 ) | (NA ) | (0.1212 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.089 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.3198 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8118 | 0 | -1.0005 |
| (p-val) | (0.0118 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.0412 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.78579949675862 |
| 29.6000993558862 |
| 17.8338192351336 |
| 18.4716051833255 |
| 3.90648687993891 |
| 24.3932871456449 |
| -4.95553922705324 |
| -3.21202494826693 |
| -12.6378934367398 |
| 25.4493842786775 |
| 17.6483299691466 |
| 24.5089163942132 |
| 4.06443062523229 |
| -1.30034547513347 |
| 11.2129250966395 |
| 34.4132296750920 |
| 45.6936644466284 |
| 26.5366165315687 |
| 7.78383950713139 |
| -26.2190467555896 |
| -22.2976968395259 |
| -61.6449963837953 |
| 62.8581857419326 |
| 43.50953367376 |
| 32.0445018040293 |
| 29.7302871260665 |
| 1.73542416124453 |
| 21.6591752059623 |
| 33.5980475248494 |
| 7.66194823734239 |
| -46.3420076320515 |
| 71.4074662418884 |
| 18.018730217235 |
| -26.5484591060413 |
| -19.3532407123808 |
| -101.700435649166 |
| 67.1581729484485 |
| 41.4851950797125 |
| -83.7879808310883 |
| 36.5982094561617 |
| -87.0806355670562 |
| 6.75200230716907 |
| -3.41830362876037 |
| 81.4446704466919 |
| -2.10655166000896 |
| -85.2800435395474 |
| -130.808066690370 |
| 22.3950644851693 |
| -10.0954946038630 |
| -190.532545574048 |
| 23.4231405773398 |
| -26.0734922567823 |
| 85.0441099453305 |
| -36.5939365478563 |
| -22.8575921151788 |
| 70.5298480883146 |
| 63.9316414888038 |
| -22.5135039036823 |
| -16.4098604982532 |
| 51.4749832978399 |
| 51.6012890979182 |
