| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2298 | 0.1442 | 0.439 | -0.379 | 0.6766 | -0.0888 | -0.9994 |
| (p-val) | (0.4062 ) | (0.4718 ) | (0.0018 ) | (0.2205 ) | (0.0132 ) | (0.7374 ) | (0.1457 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.2403 | 0.158 | 0.4664 | -0.3078 | 1.9832 | 0 | -2.0759 |
| (p-val) | (0.3134 ) | (0.3745 ) | (5e-04 ) | (0.323 ) | (0.0395 ) | (NA ) | (0.0217 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.4057 | 0 | 0.3834 | -0.2001 | 0.6861 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.038 ) | (NA ) | (0.002 ) | (0.3581 ) | (0.0084 ) | (NA ) | (0.0574 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.5231 | 0 | 0.3761 | 0 | 0.6711 | 0 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (9e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.0066 ) | (NA ) | (0.0338 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -49.322828262324 |
| -841.66209156776 |
| -727.138222004516 |
| 318.026077493937 |
| 253.450373319417 |
| 914.6690802553 |
| -635.276292032055 |
| 18.0104106800424 |
| -1684.42027804526 |
| 1829.79157926934 |
| 1122.02445633161 |
| -138.587741605063 |
| -1041.88960144429 |
| -174.907981333737 |
| 956.760753251256 |
| -918.740049654111 |
| -1804.14307157093 |
| 1140.97980241613 |
| 840.002279017665 |
| -115.034398254958 |
| -650.674450093417 |
| 120.238789014336 |
| 88.3004548450432 |
| 979.982585943062 |
| 83.8113224085503 |
| -1336.40521059876 |
| 575.216211739258 |
| 428.974795971089 |
| -1102.49592665084 |
| -10.8328456558884 |
| 1285.10948100341 |
| -1442.00329332823 |
| 1466.60139244046 |
| -992.17610284964 |
| 1164.86436419996 |
| -491.534729461495 |
| -952.888440766142 |
| 30.7346494726848 |
| -1006.00288970113 |
| -3135.28886696298 |
| -1183.14704042821 |
| -1987.38722599841 |
| -263.359999344463 |
| 183.030727592036 |
| -73.5610082898233 |
| 108.178427374789 |
| -626.86957318685 |
| 965.255827019708 |
