Structural Time Series Model
tObservedLevelSlopeSeasonalStand. Residuals
196.9696.96000
293.1195.6913669472083-0.000980021030655114-2.58136694720834-2.35439870022924
395.6294.8736856730539-0.07151901415057740.746314326946155-0.843449423446045
498.396.01533591939820.05276497899003412.284664080601811.43549603843488
596.3896.44760317099530.0940450311107307-0.06760317099532060.514396721777169
6100.8298.16785975590320.2792679663291272.652140244096792.268052813189
799.0699.11862196770980.359601884479845-0.05862196770979610.92162536853751
894.0397.59606609729480.123310476354771-3.56606609729481-2.53072956565060
9102.0798.76499679333060.2601861079834933.305003206669411.38499001785332
1099.3199.39728482479820.310521604107985-0.08728482479816680.487976288400459
1198.6499.36433224307270.262934354531628-0.724332243072709-0.447416127904472
12101.82100.3254315959310.3612727113897591.494568404068510.905238791566546
1399.14100.0935228709620.281118249826728-0.953522870961724-0.779133950577501
1497.63100.2196871546770.259560722137456-2.58968715467741-0.207945451559612
15100.06100.4442249408640.254555729207507-0.384224940864347-0.0442832205175691
16101.32100.3300015619040.201763459010150.989998438095807-0.449635778160728
17101.49101.2185719752410.299678803626980.2714280247590830.849420626623094
18105.43102.1251162864160.3861833440900643.304883713584310.767563496073078
19105.09103.3137212793770.5007891071443261.776278720623161.02198740401359
2099.48103.9920853064020.526174494803314-4.512085306401550.225129444599609
21108.53104.8959251177430.580125421411543.634074882257010.475465674998847
22104.34105.1394375280490.5321214313157-0.799437528048958-0.421640736441573
23106.1106.1089224487520.594354402416231-0.008922448751978560.546819405868286
24107.35106.3143047424790.539123195871311.03569525752134-0.48782863608616
25103105.6096434958730.362575165195605-2.60964349587308-1.57388148443057
26104.5106.076373913790.377400403085289-1.576373913789900.132346390257091
27105.17106.1765106991940.337866657635272-1.00651069919392-0.348798959420721
28104.84105.7070779387820.222975899857415-0.867077938782345-1.00339196360372
29106.18105.9849843180160.2307700905033470.1950156819838150.0682097205664772
30108.86106.2187468545090.2311942687012442.641253145490620.00374328243966299
31107.77106.3691413685730.2197286570435031.4008586314268-0.101655097675369
32102.74106.8986070670060.263739395634661-4.158607067005930.389490496459233
33112.63107.8846217651100.3663870793004194.745378234890340.903999092855174
34106.26107.9799049095400.327900003699129-1.71990490954012-0.337764564139119
35108.86108.2114996086560.3142492773179390.648500391343989-0.119835732872230
36111.38108.8842833100020.3650198638152432.495716689997790.447353213592940
37106.85109.3629244868830.381113107618596-2.512924486882860.142362655773949
38107.86109.4807960574330.343789774283389-1.62079605743325-0.330251126803274
39107.94109.2306719645860.259540914608190-1.29067196458562-0.74260390625776
40111.38110.4100004079800.3899192428766600.9699995920202061.14486603829128
41111.29111.148790615020.4393074163970440.1412093849800300.433707369910372
42113.72111.5176723302110.4293442615518672.20232766978863-0.0877675937289686
43111.88111.5162545806380.3683855002423950.363745419362447-0.538398849073008
44109.87112.7334660427570.48858785721744-2.86346604275751.06139970862604
45113.72111.7537642707420.2806101682103901.96623572925750-1.83217261052912
46111.71112.2287655333100.308132937919581-0.5187655333101430.241957837634612
47114.81113.2904798387130.4147477537301561.519520161287100.93719175067661
48112.05112.2877215505020.214298740856166-0.237721550501600-1.76509080836131
49111.54112.6707489017000.238160946616792-1.130748901700430.210503334246384
50110.87112.7970860233920.222339535949491-1.92708602339242-0.139596124003331
51110.87112.9376187097070.210762397569870-2.06761870970746-0.101994701269503
52115.48113.7191145340120.2915100834386551.760885465988360.710247001111174
53111.63113.1439439274480.168957211384853-1.51394392744759-1.07776134551946
54116.24113.3165247328700.1694694293785592.923475267130250.00450996867662962
55113.56113.4297435252240.1615174905261880.130256474775515-0.0701014886635743
56106.01111.482499538652-0.136677084923912-5.47249953865152-2.62906421090012
57110.45109.846096888250-0.3487823225261110.603903111750462-1.86826176844829
58107.77108.736963978813-0.456301468765184-0.966963978812583-0.946090585318997
59108.61107.368862237890-0.5851938344660151.24113776211045-1.13397580907822
60108.19107.270653538738-0.5163694927536320.9193464612616170.605936834763827