Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.176261864801442
beta1
gamma0.600923944155917


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1399.1496.97010780860232.16989219139769
1497.6396.20305911867731.42694088132269
15100.0699.4313789044460.628621095554024
16101.32101.501848185809-0.181848185808690
17101.49102.267284361111-0.777284361111484
18105.43106.577629786737-1.14762978673657
19105.09105.527295103797-0.437295103797226
2099.48100.520382405752-1.04038240575231
21108.53109.072585741727-0.542585741727265
22104.34106.155697584904-1.81569758490407
23106.1104.9001623906931.19983760930700
24107.35108.418033329171-1.0680333291713
25103106.238976848037-3.23897684803737
26104.5102.789440142731.71055985726996
27105.17104.6058624707630.564137529236874
28104.84105.107030858014-0.267030858013840
29106.18104.3563477700341.82365222996579
30108.86108.2860052110300.573994788969728
31107.77107.4185817164260.351418283574333
32102.74101.8405465867260.899453413274145
33112.63111.2261873320721.40381266792828
34106.26108.310144341984-2.05014434198399
35108.86108.864245321722-0.00424532172155523
36111.38111.2372556961410.142744303859160
37106.85108.419593267117-1.56959326711744
38107.86108.334309597288-0.474309597288027
39107.94109.479637970686-1.53963797068599
40111.38109.0653734536842.31462654631638
41111.29110.1415180754641.14848192453621
42113.72113.6621201313140.0578798686858164
43111.88112.640248565069-0.760248565068508
44109.87106.7983330893543.0716669106464
45113.72117.568547610295-3.8485476102947
46111.71111.2071562954110.502843704588955
47114.81113.1618864921911.64811350780889
48112.05116.154619004939-4.10461900493868
49111.54111.0307747282330.509225271766581
50110.87111.681541542628-0.81154154262758
51110.87112.005327353228-1.13532735322833
52115.48113.4396404604572.04035953954320
53111.63113.646580715151-2.01658071515121
54116.24115.3060571994030.93394280059708
55113.56113.3563290301390.203670969861363
56106.01109.066993650808-3.05699365080753
57110.45113.672010559872-3.22201055987207
58107.77108.156438072855-0.38643807285456
59108.61108.787487038676-0.177487038676162
60108.19106.659773981561.53022601844008


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
61103.951517191193101.767746706038106.135287676349
62102.799120961628100.333140101633105.265101821623
63102.14507735327599.1337009786908105.156453727859
64104.307857934344100.438799593681108.176916275008
65101.25197951209196.4615776124803106.042381411702
66103.58724081572197.5004115900556109.674070041386
67100.44591095407093.2043623606451107.687459547494
6894.27008029067786.0728884430293102.467272138325
6998.253408616442388.1760156747464108.330801558138
7095.154642160947283.7527780355253106.556506286369
7195.94906364897982.6914742122405109.206653085718
7294.958394657164379.9845144089064109.932274905422