Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	19406.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	18385.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	20739.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	22268.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	21569	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	17514.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	21124.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	21251	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	21393	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	22145.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	20310.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	23466.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	21264.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	18388.1	19500.7388	18107.3821	20894.0954	0.0588	0.0065	0.9417	0.0065
50	22635.4	21981.7683	20467.3662	23496.1704	0.1988	1	0.9461	0.8233
51	22014.3	23629.8757	22115.3241	25144.4272	0.0183	0.9009	0.961	0.9989
52	18422.7	23063.4082	21532.6591	24594.1572	0	0.9104	0.9722	0.9894
53	16120.2	18955.2522	17423.4647	20487.0396	1e-04	0.7522	0.9673	0.0016
54	16037.7	22537.1006	21005.4831	24068.7182	0	1	0.9647	0.9483
55	16410.7	22772.7939	21240.402	24305.1858	0	1	0.9742	0.9731
56	17749.8	22581.2353	21048.9927	24113.4779	0	1	0.9357	0.9539
57	16349.8	23708.7938	22176.7315	25240.8561	0	1	0.9773	0.9991
58	15662.3	21727.9841	20195.6738	23260.2944	0	1	0.9651	0.7233
59	17782.3	25164.7405	23632.5591	26696.9219	0	1	0.9851	1
60	16398.9	22655.0912	21124.9669	24185.2155	0	1	0.9626	0.9626

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0365	-0.0571	0.0048	1237965.0772	103163.7564	321.1912
50	0.0351	0.0297	0.0025	427234.3783	35602.8649	188.6872
51	0.0327	-0.0684	0.0057	2610084.7733	217507.0644	466.3765
52	0.0339	-0.2012	0.0168	21536172.2015	1794681.0168	1339.6571
53	0.0412	-0.1496	0.0125	8037520.7554	669793.3963	818.4091
54	0.0347	-0.2884	0.024	42242208.384	3520184.032	1876.2153
55	0.0343	-0.2794	0.0233	40476238.6735	3373019.8895	1836.5783
56	0.0346	-0.214	0.0178	23342767.0948	1945230.5912	1394.7152
57	0.033	-0.3104	0.0259	54154790.084	4512899.1737	2124.3585
58	0.036	-0.2792	0.0233	36792523.7666	3066043.6472	1751.0122
59	0.0311	-0.2934	0.0244	54500428.0693	4541702.3391	2131.127
60	0.0345	-0.2761	0.023	39139928.3612	3261660.6968	1806.0068