| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 1.26 | 1.27664147880926 | -0.0266130193168101 | -0.0166414788092608 | -0.468949884678013 |
| 3 | 1.13 | 1.14658931093672 | -0.0426786025786395 | -0.0165893109367155 | -0.240877315287619 |
| 4 | 1.92 | 1.93692502223450 | 0.124687571458184 | -0.016925022234496 | 1.88692291413097 |
| 5 | 2.61 | 2.62710072633706 | 0.254193854788040 | -0.0171007263370595 | 1.25832718603289 |
| 6 | 2.26 | 2.27695902627387 | 0.105907435734632 | -0.0169590262738673 | -1.3305436525685 |
| 7 | 2.41 | 2.42696673419582 | 0.117134248415217 | -0.016966734195819 | 0.0965066188707478 |
| 8 | 2.26 | 2.27693216297358 | 0.0477619711295369 | -0.0169321629735759 | -0.582691676530388 |
| 9 | 2.03 | 2.04690565090215 | -0.0251393727433627 | -0.0169056509021519 | -0.60473942082146 |
| 10 | 2.86 | 2.87696572779066 | 0.200585771877503 | -0.0169657277906597 | 1.85989902742832 |
| 11 | 2.55 | 2.56693935484482 | 0.0653946804138398 | -0.0169393548448212 | -1.10989283844115 |
| 12 | 2.27 | 2.28692624597294 | -0.0262094864032349 | -0.0169262459729372 | -0.750582012439315 |
| 13 | 2.26 | 2.12697237175659 | -0.0604611290668771 | 0.133027628243410 | -0.337207095851677 |
| 14 | 2.57 | 2.57083166378842 | 0.0668687993113224 | -0.000831663788421312 | 0.915813897078617 |
| 15 | 3.07 | 3.07136231291933 | 0.182262255291627 | -0.0013623129193256 | 0.940473964105364 |
| 16 | 2.76 | 2.76091970240126 | 0.0512710137581165 | -0.000919702401255461 | -1.06909787240323 |
| 17 | 2.51 | 2.51072085498038 | -0.0288460150357446 | -0.000720854980381655 | -0.654378010343151 |
| 18 | 2.87 | 2.87090927715949 | 0.0745241277695391 | -0.00090927715949085 | 0.844648798105718 |
| 19 | 3.14 | 3.14097882258534 | 0.126479413233335 | -0.000978822585340527 | 0.424625741548868 |
| 20 | 3.11 | 3.11093794648578 | 0.084893123708108 | -0.000937946485777381 | -0.339921207557084 |
| 21 | 3.16 | 3.16093125384634 | 0.0756203577080185 | -0.000931253846337647 | -0.0757992934482249 |
| 22 | 2.47 | 2.47082342847113 | -0.127835522174789 | -0.000823428471132048 | -1.66318697082964 |
| 23 | 2.57 | 2.57084698879969 | -0.0672914854001537 | -0.000846988799694827 | 0.49493740251833 |
| 24 | 2.89 | 2.89087639585848 | 0.0356248234542288 | -0.000876395858482492 | 0.841332090342454 |
| 25 | 2.63 | 2.66853365759167 | -0.0318862069520319 | -0.0385336575916663 | -0.605076419511567 |
| 26 | 2.38 | 2.38017806480123 | -0.0978198912733993 | -0.000178064801229533 | -0.500868009326136 |
| 27 | 1.69 | 1.68969848223087 | -0.255486137837755 | 0.000301517769133157 | -1.28597155724411 |
| 28 | 1.96 | 1.9600108479324 | -0.115702053423195 | -1.08479324012053e-05 | 1.14132477664591 |
| 29 | 2.19 | 2.19016170671847 | -0.0237865087705708 | -0.000161706718473785 | 0.750909991695025 |
| 30 | 1.87 | 1.87006680349765 | -0.102523516395460 | -6.68034976481764e-05 | -0.643444668015577 |
| 31 | 1.6 | 1.60002740683248 | -0.147034481757993 | -2.74068324820226e-05 | -0.363807147339418 |
| 32 | 1.63 | 1.63005798453742 | -0.0999868016240103 | -5.7984537419313e-05 | 0.384575132893068 |
| 33 | 1.22 | 1.22001866802329 | -0.182370793751421 | -1.86680232879242e-05 | -0.673452115812668 |
| 34 | 1.21 | 1.2100347193065 | -0.136565382413136 | -3.47193064986828e-05 | 0.374448371751139 |
| 35 | 1.49 | 1.49006320208605 | -0.0258695840351746 | -6.32020860464097e-05 | 0.904924553515611 |
| 36 | 1.64 | 1.64007203174743 | 0.0208647354352649 | -7.20317474337113e-05 | 0.382050202633907 |
| 37 | 1.66 | 1.65939566259889 | 0.0204592618845721 | 0.000604337401109234 | -0.00352566004978326 |
| 38 | 1.77 | 1.76911046655366 | 0.0436077395985069 | 0.000889533446344546 | 0.179722773294015 |
| 39 | 1.82 | 1.81911429879570 | 0.0453088050520883 | 0.00088570120430393 | 0.0138826226222192 |
| 40 | 1.78 | 1.77907674501953 | 0.0226220372923013 | 0.000923254980471246 | -0.185294770867888 |
| 41 | 1.28 | 1.27890784215043 | -0.116312834470783 | 0.00109215784956788 | -1.13523332962454 |
| 42 | 1.29 | 1.2889378142139 | -0.0827400520468216 | 0.00106218578610103 | 0.274384797902431 |
| 43 | 1.37 | 1.36896616726506 | -0.0394897462397275 | 0.00103383273494092 | 0.353520971912539 |
| 44 | 1.12 | 1.11893923805590 | -0.0954324765261785 | 0.00106076194410383 | -0.457297039205401 |
| 45 | 1.51 | 1.50898483428363 | 0.0335664555475019 | 0.00101516571636777 | 1.05452368023678 |
| 46 | 2.24 | 2.23903286643814 | 0.218633843757157 | 0.000967133561857926 | 1.51289389130264 |
| 47 | 2.94 | 2.93905724351461 | 0.346548984982855 | 0.000942756485394306 | 1.04569499849202 |
| 48 | 3.09 | 3.08904993496336 | 0.294319571179134 | 0.000950065036642202 | -0.426973238420458 |
| 49 | 3.46 | 3.46321742823383 | 0.315381996492675 | -0.00321742823383147 | 0.180367079065923 |
| 50 | 3.64 | 3.64086174585341 | 0.279476808837663 | -0.000861745853407672 | -0.282076803703573 |
| 51 | 4.39 | 4.39108571751962 | 0.40465218755776 | -0.00108571751961551 | 1.02193085032645 |
| 52 | 4.15 | 4.15086045070918 | 0.233242722801421 | -0.00086045070917501 | -1.40025567161983 |
| 53 | 5.21 | 5.21107255667473 | 0.453010561917699 | -0.00107255667472807 | 1.79590027974623 |
| 54 | 5.8 | 5.80109836079765 | 0.489419394679731 | -0.00109836079764991 | 0.297579700584806 |
| 55 | 5.91 | 5.91104588468307 | 0.388586234884432 | -0.00104588468306820 | -0.824218253167346 |
| 56 | 5.39 | 5.39095361576778 | 0.147134300326672 | -0.000953615767782762 | -1.97375093812424 |
| 57 | 5.46 | 5.4609478641808 | 0.126636763850534 | -0.000947864180795105 | -0.167562034670224 |
| 58 | 4.72 | 4.72090041484098 | -0.103658824080971 | -0.00090041484098577 | -1.88263533275908 |
| 59 | 3.14 | 3.14084106305233 | -0.495971386420688 | -0.000841063052330742 | -3.20712861751377 |
| 60 | 2.63 | 2.63084064894165 | -0.49969923791476 | -0.000840648941646655 | -0.0304750686363817 |
