| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 1915 | 1851.17829054527 | -1350.68353120853 | 3329.50524066326 | -63.8217094547267 |
| 2 | 1843 | 1909.20899242879 | -1547.31074275725 | 3324.10175032846 | 66.2089924287925 |
| 3 | 1761 | 1947.23967196232 | -1743.93793195598 | 3318.69825999366 | 186.239671962323 |
| 4 | 2858 | 2879.0193344964 | -476.148220083375 | 3313.12888558697 | 21.0193344964009 |
| 5 | 3968 | 3853.59897703312 | 774.841511786592 | 3307.55951118029 | -114.401022966880 |
| 6 | 5061 | 4748.4844149681 | 2073.64145666020 | 3299.87412837169 | -312.515585031897 |
| 7 | 4661 | 4541.97002137749 | 1487.84123305941 | 3292.1887455631 | -119.029978622510 |
| 8 | 4269 | 4324.72909429795 | 932.346403235027 | 3280.92450246702 | 55.7290942979507 |
| 9 | 3857 | 4000.08822237454 | 444.251518254517 | 3269.66025937095 | 143.088222374538 |
| 10 | 3568 | 3774.69555157128 | 92.9297557416354 | 3268.37469268709 | 206.695551571277 |
| 11 | 3274 | 3506.90288142153 | -225.992007424762 | 3267.08912600323 | 232.902881421531 |
| 12 | 2987 | 3130.13085887445 | -461.779601393112 | 3305.64874251866 | 143.130858874453 |
| 13 | 1683 | 1372.47517217445 | -1350.68353120853 | 3344.20835903409 | -310.524827825554 |
| 14 | 1381 | 922.95540744311 | -1547.31074275725 | 3386.35533531414 | -458.044592556889 |
| 15 | 1071 | 457.435620361788 | -1743.93793195598 | 3428.50231159420 | -613.564379638212 |
| 16 | 2772 | 2576.1574147591 | -476.148220083375 | 3443.99080532427 | -195.842585240900 |
| 17 | 4485 | 4735.67918915905 | 774.841511786592 | 3459.47929905435 | 250.679189159055 |
| 18 | 6181 | 6831.58616255906 | 2073.64145666020 | 3456.77238078074 | 650.586162559058 |
| 19 | 5479 | 6016.09330443347 | 1487.84123305941 | 3454.06546250712 | 537.093304433466 |
| 20 | 4782 | 5193.54921327172 | 932.346403235027 | 3438.10438349325 | 411.549213271725 |
| 21 | 4067 | 4267.60517726611 | 444.251518254517 | 3422.14330447937 | 200.605177266109 |
| 22 | 3489 | 3524.52238067743 | 92.9297557416354 | 3360.54786358093 | 35.5223806774311 |
| 23 | 2903 | 2733.03958474227 | -225.992007424762 | 3298.95242268249 | -169.960415257731 |
| 24 | 2330 | 1931.4863353627 | -461.779601393112 | 3190.29326603041 | -398.513664637299 |
| 25 | 1736 | 1741.04942183020 | -1350.68353120853 | 3081.63410937833 | 5.04942183020239 |
| 26 | 1483 | 1536.87306627477 | -1547.31074275725 | 2976.43767648248 | 53.8730662747671 |
| 27 | 1242 | 1356.69668836934 | -1743.93793195598 | 2871.24124358664 | 114.696688369344 |
| 28 | 2334 | 2347.64347308338 | -476.148220083375 | 2796.50474699999 | 13.6434730833803 |
| 29 | 3423 | 3349.39023780006 | 774.841511786592 | 2721.76825041335 | -73.6097621999411 |
| 30 | 4523 | 4294.90807238648 | 2073.64145666020 | 2677.45047095332 | -228.091927613523 |
| 31 | 3986 | 3851.0260754473 | 1487.84123305941 | 2633.13269149329 | -134.973924552701 |
| 32 | 3462 | 3377.56210468257 | 932.346403235027 | 2614.0914920824 | -84.4378953174287 |
| 33 | 2908 | 2776.69818907397 | 444.251518254517 | 2595.05029267151 | -131.301810926030 |
| 34 | 2575 | 2444.4583635924 | 92.9297557416354 | 2612.61188066596 | -130.541636407600 |
| 35 | 2237 | 2069.81853876435 | -225.992007424762 | 2630.17346866041 | -167.181461235653 |
| 36 | 1904 | 1585.91707864178 | -461.779601393112 | 2683.86252275133 | -318.082921358223 |
| 37 | 1610 | 1833.13195436628 | -1350.68353120853 | 2737.55157684226 | 223.131954366277 |
| 38 | 1251 | 1246.73154924542 | -1547.31074275725 | 2802.57919351183 | -4.26845075458232 |
| 39 | 941 | 758.33112177457 | -1743.93793195598 | 2867.60681018141 | -182.66887822543 |
| 40 | 2450 | 2448.96298072975 | -476.148220083375 | 2927.18523935362 | -1.03701927024758 |
| 41 | 3946 | 4130.39481968758 | 774.841511786592 | 2986.76366852583 | 184.394819687576 |
| 42 | 5409 | 5712.40813663022 | 2073.64145666020 | 3031.95040670957 | 303.408136630222 |
| 43 | 4741 | 4917.02162204727 | 1487.84123305941 | 3077.13714489332 | 176.021622047272 |
| 44 | 4069 | 4105.3738703115 | 932.346403235027 | 3100.27972645348 | 36.3738703114973 |
| 45 | 3539 | 3510.32617373185 | 444.251518254517 | 3123.42230801364 | -28.673826268152 |
| 46 | 3189 | 3180.66620064556 | 92.9297557416354 | 3104.4040436128 | -8.333799354436 |
| 47 | 2960 | 3060.60622821280 | -225.992007424762 | 3085.38577921197 | 100.606228212796 |
| 48 | 2704 | 2858.53507166367 | -461.779601393112 | 3011.24452972944 | 154.535071663669 |
| 49 | 1697 | 1807.58025096161 | -1350.68353120853 | 2937.10328024692 | 110.580250961611 |
| 50 | 1598 | 1905.13734235451 | -1547.31074275725 | 2838.17340040274 | 307.137342354511 |
| 51 | 1456 | 1916.69441139742 | -1743.93793195598 | 2739.24352055856 | 460.694411397424 |
| 52 | 2316 | 2459.37748636043 | -476.148220083375 | 2648.77073372295 | 143.377486360426 |
| 53 | 3083 | 2832.86054132607 | 774.841511786592 | 2558.29794688734 | -250.139458673930 |
| 54 | 4158 | 3766.68741040071 | 2073.64145666020 | 2475.67113293909 | -391.312589599294 |
| 55 | 3469 | 3057.11444794975 | 1487.84123305941 | 2393.04431899084 | -411.885552050254 |
| 56 | 2892 | 2543.88744444452 | 932.346403235027 | 2307.76615232045 | -348.112555555482 |
| 57 | 2578 | 2489.26049609542 | 444.251518254517 | 2222.48798565007 | -88.7395039045837 |
| 58 | 2233 | 2234.03508440723 | 92.9297557416354 | 2139.03515985114 | 1.03508440722590 |
| 59 | 1947 | 2064.40967337255 | -225.992007424762 | 2055.58233405221 | 117.409673372552 |
| 60 | 2049 | 2583.41338589509 | -461.779601393112 | 1976.36621549802 | 534.413385895094 |
