| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0154 | 0.2678 | -0.0961 | -0.7474 | 0.6683 | 0.1944 | -0.7914 |
| (p-val) | (0.9421 ) | (0.156 ) | (0.5155 ) | (0 ) | (0.5098 ) | (0.3417 ) | (0.4851 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.26 | -0.0974 | -0.738 | 0.6759 | 0.1933 | -0.7995 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.091 ) | (0.5043 ) | (0 ) | (0.5276 ) | (0.3423 ) | (0.5054 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.2594 | -0.0974 | -0.7379 | 0 | 0.0813 | -0.1117 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0919 ) | (0.5064 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.6601 ) | (0.4318 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.2564 | -0.1065 | -0.7289 | 0 | 0 | -0.0996 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.096 ) | (0.4649 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.4657 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.2511 | -0.127 | -0.7377 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0986 ) | (0.372 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0.292 | 0 | -0.7808 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0517 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7106 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.101412434656184 |
| 8.81202575001982 |
| 7.22218199005616 |
| 6.34522390407069 |
| 10.8649940993359 |
| -10.8922198651649 |
| 0.734394414465646 |
| -0.0179390706289798 |
| 9.77474289606975 |
| -1.89838978467021 |
| -7.43663216780881 |
| 3.93631177801305 |
| -7.37586328597002 |
| 4.56937607566163 |
| -5.57644511931599 |
| -5.01498813962224 |
| -3.15959218858348 |
| 19.1892932271942 |
| -7.06045860990475 |
| 11.0833125612922 |
| -13.0458821593181 |
| -9.06290124399022 |
| -1.28060038228237 |
| -15.9882579614673 |
| -7.77520617937238 |
| -0.433574311074287 |
| 9.42649047423882 |
| 10.8410822582803 |
| -3.69645197084187 |
| -0.959561390175432 |
| -2.93909670762435 |
| -5.22988378451808 |
| -8.70332470272302 |
| 0.20118534528325 |
| 8.63697951799477 |
| 0.0353594847692281 |
| -8.52606038876601 |
| 4.32479728273804 |
| 3.77674215942339 |
| -4.3395217968542 |
| -13.1524297646555 |
| -4.89269052015993 |
| -3.64581392623976 |
| -3.03944041822005 |
| 9.51943698875795 |
| -3.59266175781745 |
| -5.48035015252675 |
| -4.25254907793764 |
| -9.9008973968445 |
| -1.75816861848705 |
| -1.52563999886315 |
| -7.18999545624147 |
| -5.51845416493396 |
| 3.89790349608751 |
| -3.35322089064957 |
| 2.13650137374166 |
| -5.51652882241756 |
| -2.76178813847456 |
| 8.56498835185603 |
| 9.7467700827992 |
