Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 10284.5 | NA | NA | 0.877942965248289 | NA |
2 | 12792 | NA | NA | 1.02694834303885 | NA |
3 | 12823.61538 | NA | NA | 1.02062529748104 | NA |
4 | 13845.66667 | NA | NA | 1.02058053929210 | NA |
5 | 15335.63636 | NA | NA | 0.919357225700753 | NA |
6 | 11188.5 | NA | NA | 1.10783436799676 | NA |
7 | 13633.25 | 12596.7215696045 | 13051.1589433333 | 0.965180305005715 | 1.08228557126297 |
8 | 12298.46667 | 13905.8663095418 | 13138.1536779167 | 1.05843382947450 | 0.884408522003493 |
9 | 15353.63636 | 13434.0784600241 | 13117.8932079167 | 1.02410335616367 | 1.14288720329333 |
10 | 12696.15385 | 12837.0718419931 | 12964.21513625 | 0.990192750357763 | 0.989022575106875 |
11 | 12213.93333 | 12985.6968595530 | 12706.2732820833 | 1.02199099383953 | 0.940568185296486 |
12 | 13683.72727 | 12329.7088769147 | 12752.9799445833 | 0.966810026401049 | 1.10981754772982 |
13 | 11214.14286 | 11296.7885822662 | 12867.3376625 | 0.877942965248289 | 0.992684140128463 |
14 | 13950.23077 | 13287.220003745 | 12938.547585 | 1.02694834303885 | 1.04989838100582 |
15 | 11179.13333 | 13159.3533055915 | 12893.4226283333 | 1.02062529748104 | 0.84951996275151 |
16 | 11801.875 | 12889.592639875 | 12629.66727625 | 1.02058053929210 | 0.915612721808597 |
17 | 11188.82353 | 11531.4999726963 | 12543.0024916667 | 0.919357225700753 | 0.970283445908367 |
18 | 16456.27273 | 13613.1740297568 | 12288.0950645833 | 1.10783436799676 | 1.20884906738344 |
19 | 11110.0625 | 11583.5252022828 | 12001.410661 | 0.965180305005715 | 0.95912619914795 |
20 | 16530.69231 | 12437.5087866838 | 11750.86098 | 1.05843382947450 | 1.32909995028092 |
21 | 10038.41176 | 11892.3911030421 | 11612.49109425 | 1.02410335616367 | 0.844103735995709 |
22 | 11681.25 | 11581.5664884799 | 11696.2747750833 | 0.990192750357763 | 1.00860708364618 |
23 | 11148.88235 | 11993.7067933919 | 11735.6286559167 | 1.02199099383953 | 0.9295610224641 |
24 | 8631 | 11144.3156040757 | 11526.89287425 | 0.966810026401049 | 0.774475553872817 |
25 | 9386.444444 | 9926.63623237714 | 11306.6982996667 | 0.877942965248289 | 0.945581587183056 |
26 | 9764.736842 | 11320.9355020922 | 11023.86072175 | 1.02694834303885 | 0.8625379802045 |
27 | 12043.75 | 10940.2719429345 | 10719.1855521667 | 1.02062529748104 | 1.10086385994985 |
28 | 12948.06667 | 10838.3402587408 | 10619.7794700833 | 1.02058053929210 | 1.19465401167469 |
29 | 10987.125 | 9731.63766039107 | 10585.2626034167 | 0.919357225700753 | 1.12901090067491 |
30 | 11648.3125 | 11847.0780873643 | 10693.9073471667 | 1.10783436799676 | 0.983222395775691 |
31 | 10633.35294 | 10403.0842660899 | 10778.3843206667 | 0.965180305005715 | 1.02213465430254 |
32 | 10219.3 | 11475.1577808233 | 10841.6392799167 | 1.05843382947450 | 0.890558560953119 |
33 | 9037.6 | 11123.5400701574 | 10861.735784 | 1.02410335616367 | 0.812475160155745 |
34 | 10296.31579 | 10592.4595089802 | 10697.3712998333 | 0.990192750357763 | 0.972042024920737 |
35 | 11705.41176 | 10687.5952416053 | 10457.6217462083 | 1.02199099383953 | 1.09523344544641 |
36 | 10681.94444 | 9882.9555737294 | 10222.2311559167 | 0.966810026401049 | 1.08084513385798 |
37 | 9362.947368 | 8789.1631977003 | 10011.0867625833 | 0.877942965248289 | 1.06528313986135 |
38 | 11306.35294 | 10110.7110999647 | 9845.39404391667 | 1.02694834303885 | 1.11825497022058 |
39 | 10984.45 | 10047.1649868338 | 9844.12694025 | 1.02062529748104 | 1.09328850619996 |
40 | 10062.61905 | 10044.8153018688 | 9842.25635816667 | 1.02058053929210 | 1.00177243160736 |
41 | 8118.583333 | 8867.96167690658 | 9645.828007875 | 0.919357225700753 | 0.915495987555058 |
42 | 8867.48 | 10429.0463217983 | 9413.90394004167 | 1.10783436799676 | 0.850267582134106 |
43 | 8346.72 | 8888.67249635097 | 9209.33886679167 | 0.965180305005715 | 0.939028859869294 |
44 | 8529.307692 | 9492.74275359201 | 8968.66907429167 | 1.05843382947450 | 0.898508251345223 |
45 | 10697.18182 | 8891.28098442138 | 8682.01527795833 | 1.02410335616367 | 1.20310918513798 |
46 | 8591.84 | 8318.1431378873 | 8400.529225125 | 0.990192750357763 | 1.03290360090897 |
47 | 8695.607143 | 8383.63020267708 | 8203.23295725 | 1.02199099383953 | 1.03721263137576 |
48 | 8125.571429 | 7832.35130832822 | 8101.23094966667 | 0.966810026401049 | 1.03743704912214 |
49 | 7009.758621 | 7016.58985072062 | 7992.07935875 | 0.877942965248289 | 0.999026417409888 |
50 | 7883.466667 | 8111.53084834217 | 7898.67465420833 | 1.02694834303885 | 0.971883953151854 |
51 | 7527.645161 | 7850.26797174752 | 7691.62589945833 | 1.02062529748104 | 0.958902955681436 |
52 | 6763.758621 | 7595.1536079834 | 7441.993371 | 1.02058053929210 | 0.890536119492105 |
53 | 6682.333333 | 6764.96774929959 | 7358.36686783333 | 0.919357225700753 | 0.98778495044442 |
54 | 7855.681818 | 8180.98869483667 | 7384.66771854167 | 1.10783436799676 | 0.960236239289514 |
55 | 6738.88 | NA | NA | 0.965180305005715 | NA |
56 | 7895.434783 | NA | NA | 1.05843382947450 | NA |
57 | 6361.884615 | NA | NA | 1.02410335616367 | NA |
58 | 6935.956522 | NA | NA | 0.990192750357763 | NA |
59 | 8344.454545 | NA | NA | 1.02199099383953 | NA |
60 | 9107.944444 | NA | NA | 0.966810026401049 | NA |