Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 10284.5 | 9291.177005915 | -1468.57422071846 | 12746.3972148035 | -993.322994085001 |
2 | 12792 | 12477.8313814501 | 312.435926112883 | 12793.7326924371 | -314.168618549935 |
3 | 12823.61538 | 12628.1535221999 | 178.009067729489 | 12841.0681700706 | -195.46185780013 |
4 | 13845.66667 | 14405.0719554158 | 408.826095056046 | 12877.4352895282 | 559.405285415773 |
5 | 15335.63636 | 17912.4038524574 | -154.933541443125 | 12913.8024089857 | 2576.76749245741 |
6 | 11188.5 | 8792.89496897249 | 641.638186768704 | 12942.4668442588 | -2395.60503102751 |
7 | 13633.25 | 14708.7073412955 | -413.338620827355 | 12971.1312795319 | 1075.45734129547 |
8 | 12298.46667 | 10960.1815201275 | 652.242166369445 | 12984.509653503 | -1338.28514987245 |
9 | 15353.63636 | 17790.6482645279 | -81.2635720020682 | 12997.8880274741 | 2437.01190452794 |
10 | 12696.15385 | 12700.3044399575 | -247.816022400768 | 12939.8192824433 | 4.15058995745858 |
11 | 12213.93333 | 11321.6910665885 | 224.425055998965 | 12881.7505374125 | -892.242263411452 |
12 | 13683.72727 | 14575.2620912332 | -51.6503651039884 | 12843.8428138708 | 891.534821233232 |
13 | 11214.14286 | 11090.9248503894 | -1468.57422071846 | 12805.9350903290 | -123.218009610562 |
14 | 13950.23077 | 14806.4343281709 | 312.435926112883 | 12781.5912857162 | 856.203558170944 |
15 | 11179.13333 | 9423.01011116719 | 178.009067729489 | 12757.2474811033 | -1756.12321883281 |
16 | 11801.875 | 10556.8722023113 | 408.826095056046 | 12638.0517026326 | -1245.00279768867 |
17 | 11188.82353 | 10013.7246772812 | -154.933541443125 | 12518.8559241619 | -1175.09885271881 |
18 | 16456.27273 | 19948.5789530333 | 641.638186768704 | 12322.3283201980 | 3492.30622303331 |
19 | 11110.0625 | 10507.6629045933 | -413.338620827355 | 12125.8007162340 | -602.39959540668 |
20 | 16530.69231 | 20460.6850828685 | 652.242166369445 | 11948.4573707621 | 3929.9927728685 |
21 | 10038.41176 | 8386.973066712 | -81.2635720020682 | 11771.1140252901 | -1651.43869328801 |
22 | 11681.25 | 11964.440625471 | -247.816022400768 | 11645.8753969298 | 283.190625470999 |
23 | 11148.88235 | 10552.7028754316 | 224.425055998965 | 11520.6367685695 | -596.179474568427 |
24 | 8631 | 5964.39184004069 | -51.6503651039884 | 11349.2585250633 | -2666.60815995931 |
25 | 9386.444444 | 9063.58282716132 | -1468.57422071846 | 11177.8802815571 | -322.861616838682 |
26 | 9764.736842 | 8214.34934247213 | 312.435926112883 | 11002.688415415 | -1550.38749952787 |
27 | 12043.75 | 13081.9943829977 | 178.009067729489 | 10827.4965492728 | 1038.24438299767 |
28 | 12948.06667 | 14717.6082298387 | 408.826095056046 | 10769.6990151053 | 1769.54155983868 |
29 | 10987.125 | 11417.2820605054 | -154.933541443125 | 10711.9014809377 | 430.157060505422 |
30 | 11648.3125 | 11921.9154636438 | 641.638186768704 | 10733.0713495875 | 273.602963643794 |
31 | 10633.35294 | 10925.8032825901 | -413.338620827355 | 10754.2412182373 | 292.450342590055 |
32 | 10219.3 | 9048.5949750748 | 652.242166369445 | 10737.7628585558 | -1170.70502492520 |
33 | 9037.6 | 7435.17907312786 | -81.2635720020682 | 10721.2844988742 | -1602.42092687214 |
34 | 10296.31579 | 10243.8378484522 | -247.816022400768 | 10596.6097539485 | -52.4779415477788 |
35 | 11705.41176 | 12714.4634549782 | 224.425055998965 | 10471.9350090229 | 1009.05169497815 |
36 | 10681.94444 | 11106.3806929396 | -51.6503651039884 | 10309.1585521644 | 424.436252939571 |
37 | 9362.947368 | 10048.0868614125 | -1468.57422071846 | 10146.3820953059 | 685.139493412513 |
38 | 11306.35294 | 12291.5791273580 | 312.435926112883 | 10008.6908265292 | 985.22618735795 |
39 | 10984.45 | 11919.8913745181 | 178.009067729489 | 9870.99955775239 | 935.441374518126 |
40 | 10062.61905 | 9999.64734246416 | 408.826095056046 | 9716.7646624798 | -62.9717075358403 |
41 | 8118.583333 | 6829.57044023593 | -154.933541443125 | 9562.5297672072 | -1289.01289276407 |
42 | 8867.48 | 7740.59247353761 | 641.638186768704 | 9352.72933969368 | -1126.88752646239 |
43 | 8346.72 | 7963.84970864719 | -413.338620827355 | 9142.92891218016 | -382.87029135281 |
44 | 8529.307692 | 7484.14848837522 | 652.242166369445 | 8922.22472925533 | -1045.15920362478 |
45 | 10697.18182 | 12774.1066656716 | -81.2635720020682 | 8701.5205463305 | 2076.92484567156 |
46 | 8591.84 | 8922.86080265207 | -247.816022400768 | 8508.6352197487 | 331.020802652065 |
47 | 8695.607143 | 8851.03933683413 | 224.425055998965 | 8315.7498931669 | 155.432193834133 |
48 | 8125.571429 | 8149.65485169739 | -51.6503651039884 | 8153.1383714066 | 24.0834226973884 |
49 | 7009.758621 | 7497.56461307217 | -1468.57422071846 | 7990.5268496463 | 487.805992072165 |
50 | 7883.466667 | 7644.10615210004 | 312.435926112883 | 7810.39125578708 | -239.360514899964 |
51 | 7527.645161 | 7247.02559234265 | 178.009067729489 | 7630.25566192786 | -280.619568657352 |
52 | 6763.758621 | 5546.85037730292 | 408.826095056046 | 7571.84076964103 | -1216.90824369708 |
53 | 6682.333333 | 6006.17433008892 | -154.933541443125 | 7513.4258773542 | -676.159002911081 |
54 | 7855.681818 | 7573.82597733885 | 641.638186768704 | 7495.89947189245 | -281.855840661148 |
55 | 6738.88 | 6412.72555439667 | -413.338620827355 | 7478.37306643068 | -326.15444560333 |
56 | 7895.434783 | 7663.32609397059 | 652.242166369445 | 7475.30130565996 | -232.108689029409 |
57 | 6361.884615 | 5332.80325711283 | -81.2635720020682 | 7472.22954488924 | -1029.08135788717 |
58 | 6935.956522 | 6632.86406850106 | -247.816022400768 | 7486.86499789971 | -303.092453498944 |
59 | 8344.454545 | 8962.98358309085 | 224.425055998965 | 7501.50045091018 | 618.529038090854 |
60 | 9107.944444 | 10733.7896776422 | -51.6503651039884 | 7533.7495754618 | 1625.84523364219 |