| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.7502 | -0.1262 | 0.1985 | -0.5055 | -0.0187 | -0.1422 | -0.9985 |
| (p-val) | (0.0437 ) | (0.5266 ) | (0.2275 ) | (0.1524 ) | (0.9359 ) | (0.564 ) | (0.1389 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.7493 | -0.1245 | 0.1967 | -0.5072 | 0 | -0.1328 | -1.0001 |
| (p-val) | (0.0435 ) | (0.5282 ) | (0.2277 ) | (0.1499 ) | (NA ) | (0.5401 ) | (0.0975 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.7335 | -0.1091 | 0.1869 | -0.4838 | 0 | 0 | -0.9981 |
| (p-val) | (0.0679 ) | (0.586 ) | (0.2602 ) | (0.2093 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.122 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.5871 | 0 | 0.17 | -0.3687 | 0 | 0 | -1.0025 |
| (p-val) | (0.1533 ) | (NA ) | (0.3289 ) | (0.4457 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.1757 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.282 | 0 | 0.2263 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9958 |
| (p-val) | (0.0424 ) | (NA ) | (0.1055 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.164 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0.1738 | 0 | 0.1284 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2254 ) | (NA ) | (0.3862 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0.1763 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2236 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -8.65132530430558 |
| -23.4594504944882 |
| 62.2120357722957 |
| 102.225163830799 |
| 27.4795754463128 |
| 70.9229072466032 |
| -49.5103588305143 |
| -30.1357235340901 |
| -260.574140017444 |
| 114.169627780246 |
| 53.3611988429364 |
| 76.4896178257656 |
| 134.602654948454 |
| -33.8983719692169 |
| -37.7286264243796 |
| -12.9588139253383 |
| -83.8030037981212 |
| -235.172511672181 |
| 300.903677839848 |
| 154.887036044850 |
| 120.103345774000 |
| -217.437261585069 |
| -487.481808056104 |
| 77.9678770793553 |
| -27.2370379355839 |
| -386.048606488318 |
| -10.6730305508672 |
| -411.172662423509 |
| -107.292532510055 |
| 131.201602209188 |
| -68.533829822687 |
| -153.248407458167 |
| -192.531832976073 |
| -374.233650699532 |
| 447.582348819456 |
| -244.713393480533 |
| -871.769408194178 |
| 305.88850752562 |
| -188.973800548963 |
| 343.521513127538 |
| -26.3913253258634 |
| -99.4674001770482 |
| 27.7783579478423 |
| 242.174702235335 |
| 231.237910648865 |
| 464.657200187042 |
| 117.728676836521 |
| 197.861504061446 |
