Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 2756.76 | 2693.92200592316 | -58.150081139573 | 2877.74807521641 | -62.8379940768368 |
2 | 2849.27 | 2891.31432851822 | -104.648557345639 | 2911.87422882742 | 42.0443285182159 |
3 | 2921.44 | 2959.15059359670 | -62.2709760351404 | 2946.00038243844 | 37.7105935967043 |
4 | 2981.85 | 3014.10359749678 | -32.2099420331808 | 2981.8063445364 | 32.2535974967786 |
5 | 3080.58 | 3159.92058432331 | -16.3728909576779 | 3017.61230663437 | 79.3405843233104 |
6 | 3106.22 | 3206.06423155733 | -49.4529796899424 | 3055.82874813262 | 99.8442315573252 |
7 | 3119.31 | 3066.07985044602 | 78.4949599231101 | 3094.04518963087 | -53.2301495539764 |
8 | 3061.26 | 2875.70215615761 | 113.288561839836 | 3133.52928200255 | -185.557843842386 |
9 | 3097.31 | 3008.27852817679 | 13.3280974489799 | 3173.01337437423 | -89.0314718232144 |
10 | 3161.69 | 3123.67821276784 | -21.2713311398560 | 3220.97311837202 | -38.011787232163 |
11 | 3257.16 | 3216.04796441285 | 29.3391732173494 | 3268.93286236980 | -41.1120355871535 |
12 | 3277.01 | 3108.54682009325 | 109.926364843189 | 3335.54681506357 | -168.463179906755 |
13 | 3295.32 | 3246.62931338225 | -58.150081139573 | 3402.16076775733 | -48.6906866177551 |
14 | 3363.99 | 3366.96243849561 | -104.648557345639 | 3465.66611885003 | 2.97243849561073 |
15 | 3494.17 | 3521.43950609241 | -62.2709760351404 | 3529.17146994273 | 27.2695060924125 |
16 | 3667.03 | 3784.54028642129 | -32.2099420331808 | 3581.72965561189 | 117.510286421291 |
17 | 3813.06 | 4008.20504967663 | -16.3728909576779 | 3634.28784128105 | 195.145049676626 |
18 | 3917.96 | 4199.18283730771 | -49.4529796899424 | 3686.19014238224 | 281.222837307707 |
19 | 3895.51 | 3974.43259659347 | 78.4949599231101 | 3738.09244348342 | 78.922596593472 |
20 | 3801.06 | 3693.90688465563 | 113.288561839836 | 3794.92455350453 | -107.153115344370 |
21 | 3570.12 | 3275.15523902537 | 13.3280974489799 | 3851.75666352565 | -294.96476097463 |
22 | 3701.61 | 3513.37209257102 | -21.2713311398560 | 3911.11923856883 | -188.237907428976 |
23 | 3862.27 | 3724.71901317064 | 29.3391732173494 | 3970.48181361201 | -137.550986829363 |
24 | 3970.1 | 3795.21481497972 | 109.926364843189 | 4035.05882017709 | -174.885185020281 |
25 | 4138.52 | 4235.5542543974 | -58.150081139573 | 4099.63582674217 | 97.034254397403 |
26 | 4199.75 | 4329.73696434581 | -104.648557345639 | 4174.41159299983 | 129.986964345811 |
27 | 4290.89 | 4394.86361677766 | -62.2709760351404 | 4249.18735925748 | 103.973616777656 |
28 | 4443.91 | 4609.05564390818 | -32.2099420331808 | 4310.974298125 | 165.145643908178 |
29 | 4502.64 | 4648.89165396516 | -16.3728909576779 | 4372.76123699252 | 146.251653965159 |
30 | 4356.98 | 4362.63251347962 | -49.4529796899424 | 4400.78046621032 | 5.65251347962294 |
31 | 4591.27 | 4675.24534464877 | 78.4949599231101 | 4428.79969542812 | 83.9753446487712 |
32 | 4696.96 | 4858.19237466901 | 113.288561839836 | 4422.43906349115 | 161.232374669014 |
33 | 4621.4 | 4813.39347099684 | 13.3280974489799 | 4416.07843155418 | 191.993470996838 |
34 | 4562.84 | 4769.75656419341 | -21.2713311398560 | 4377.19476694645 | 206.916564193406 |
35 | 4202.52 | 4037.38972444393 | 29.3391732173494 | 4338.31110233872 | -165.130275556067 |
36 | 4296.49 | 4208.59761258747 | 109.926364843189 | 4274.45602256934 | -87.8923874125303 |
37 | 4435.23 | 4718.00913833961 | -58.150081139573 | 4210.60094279996 | 282.779138339609 |
38 | 4105.18 | 4185.93759006131 | -104.648557345639 | 4129.07096728433 | 80.757590061311 |
39 | 4116.68 | 4248.08998426645 | -62.2709760351404 | 4047.54099176869 | 131.409984266448 |
40 | 3844.49 | 3775.76224183499 | -32.2099420331808 | 3945.42770019819 | -68.7277581650142 |
41 | 3720.98 | 3615.01848232998 | -16.3728909576779 | 3843.31440862770 | -105.961517670018 |
42 | 3674.4 | 3687.30162329671 | -49.4529796899424 | 3710.95135639323 | 12.9016232967092 |
43 | 3857.62 | 4058.15673591812 | 78.4949599231101 | 3578.58830415877 | 200.53673591812 |
44 | 3801.06 | 4075.95205667060 | 113.288561839836 | 3412.87938148957 | 274.892056670596 |
45 | 3504.37 | 3748.24144373065 | 13.3280974489799 | 3247.17045882037 | 243.871443730653 |
46 | 3032.6 | 3016.77327129988 | -21.2713311398560 | 3069.69805983998 | -15.8267287001204 |
47 | 3047.03 | 3172.49516592307 | 29.3391732173494 | 2892.22566085959 | 125.465165923065 |
48 | 2962.34 | 3096.88574465342 | 109.926364843189 | 2717.86789050339 | 134.545744653423 |
49 | 2197.82 | 1910.27996099238 | -58.150081139573 | 2543.51012014719 | -287.540039007617 |
50 | 2014.45 | 1737.41028208074 | -104.648557345639 | 2396.1382752649 | -277.039717919263 |
51 | 1862.83 | 1539.16454565253 | -62.2709760351404 | 2248.76643038261 | -323.665454347475 |
52 | 1905.41 | 1643.89445558287 | -32.2099420331808 | 2199.13548645031 | -261.515544417132 |
53 | 1810.99 | 1488.84834843967 | -16.3728909576779 | 2149.50454251801 | -322.141651560333 |
54 | 1670.07 | 1278.63752548104 | -49.4529796899424 | 2110.95545420891 | -391.432474518964 |
55 | 1864.44 | 1577.97867417709 | 78.4949599231101 | 2072.4063658998 | -286.461325822912 |
56 | 2052.02 | 1948.95027494543 | 113.288561839836 | 2041.80116321474 | -103.069725054571 |
57 | 2029.6 | 2034.67594202135 | 13.3280974489799 | 2011.19596052967 | 5.07594202135056 |
58 | 2070.83 | 2171.62215443148 | -21.2713311398560 | 1991.30917670838 | 100.792154431477 |
59 | 2293.41 | 2586.05843389556 | 29.3391732173494 | 1971.42239288709 | 292.648433895562 |
60 | 2443.27 | 2816.46598177202 | 109.926364843189 | 1960.14765338479 | 373.195981772018 |