| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 2756.76 | 2756.76 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 2849.27 | 2844.55614325511 | 6.57276951199432 | 4.71385674489253 | 0.334856114850539 |
| 3 | 2921.44 | 2916.67107892756 | 13.7589455977700 | 4.7689210724361 | 0.397644653822629 |
| 4 | 2981.85 | 2977.04768952485 | 20.6338837113208 | 4.80231047514886 | 0.276723980078269 |
| 5 | 3080.58 | 3075.7315201141 | 34.22295532248 | 4.84847988589733 | 0.455956242881725 |
| 6 | 3106.22 | 3101.37562110096 | 32.576868839572 | 4.84437889903677 | -0.0495684161884733 |
| 7 | 3119.31 | 3114.47303972618 | 28.6164405805693 | 4.83696027381733 | -0.111740821245485 |
| 8 | 3061.26 | 3056.449090343 | 10.3784403234388 | 4.810909657 | -0.494707706596145 |
| 9 | 3097.31 | 3092.49303216586 | 15.8953659189640 | 4.81696783414468 | 0.14612296011944 |
| 10 | 3161.69 | 3156.86408064757 | 26.4478909736399 | 4.82591935243379 | 0.275492913068759 |
| 11 | 3257.16 | 3252.32413225734 | 41.5859498976909 | 4.83586774266347 | 0.3917681298115 |
| 12 | 3277.01 | 3272.17657483093 | 36.7966192208381 | 4.83342516906696 | -0.123292234285078 |
| 13 | 3295.32 | 3336.96217585882 | 42.7274960267156 | -41.6421758588183 | 0.185097043221914 |
| 14 | 3363.99 | 3360.6329580874 | 38.6611670736743 | 3.35704191260091 | -0.0909000087708877 |
| 15 | 3494.17 | 3490.89178905271 | 58.9736765641214 | 3.27821094728894 | 0.518584323520462 |
| 16 | 3667.03 | 3663.82811622644 | 84.2490489692648 | 3.20188377355824 | 0.645333722884836 |
| 17 | 3813.06 | 3809.89033304911 | 97.9598919806788 | 3.1696669508937 | 0.350081949503154 |
| 18 | 3917.96 | 3914.79314895211 | 99.5000520413303 | 3.16685104788675 | 0.0393262718754584 |
| 19 | 3895.51 | 3892.30464914865 | 72.4370731984709 | 3.20535085134800 | -0.69103396764026 |
| 20 | 3801.06 | 3797.8136546744 | 35.4020464827425 | 3.24634532560158 | -0.945672202688552 |
| 21 | 3570.12 | 3566.82274866132 | -23.7033983585631 | 3.2972513386771 | -1.50923883675795 |
| 22 | 3701.61 | 3698.33582833723 | 10.7363258884045 | 3.27417166277004 | 0.879410554312389 |
| 23 | 3862.27 | 3859.01317652126 | 44.0065579691642 | 3.25682347873649 | 0.849549644226362 |
| 24 | 3970.1 | 3966.84892286375 | 58.1698870600242 | 3.25107713624912 | 0.361658634020461 |
| 25 | 4138.52 | 4149.96738469958 | 85.4874292632685 | -11.4473846995812 | 0.76665883299017 |
| 26 | 4199.75 | 4199.23244087076 | 77.6571108642264 | 0.51755912923884 | -0.185278196338789 |
| 27 | 4290.89 | 4290.38056328525 | 80.6530533170265 | 0.509436714752725 | 0.0763872412502124 |
| 28 | 4443.91 | 4443.43448331256 | 96.7249603019899 | 0.475516687442993 | 0.410024742494637 |
| 29 | 4502.64 | 4502.15062818826 | 88.2893229295774 | 0.489371811736392 | -0.215285665396504 |
| 30 | 4356.98 | 4356.42425417511 | 36.3577099325929 | 0.555745824886518 | -1.32563082550640 |
| 31 | 4591.27 | 4590.75794587391 | 80.28931710263 | 0.512054126087165 | 1.12156519386773 |
| 32 | 4696.96 | 4696.45230844216 | 85.9266777509778 | 0.507691557843799 | 0.143932062087999 |
| 33 | 4621.4 | 4620.87072835058 | 50.0882494995261 | 0.529271649422923 | -0.91506395027393 |
| 34 | 4562.84 | 4562.2994313748 | 25.9767629581173 | 0.54056862519734 | -0.615657321927685 |
| 35 | 4202.52 | 4201.94817883528 | -59.7498492655233 | 0.571821164718137 | -2.18896256318707 |
| 36 | 4296.49 | 4295.92785537591 | -25.6368024703155 | 0.562144624090286 | 0.871059436870004 |
| 37 | 4435.23 | 4422.08597986576 | 7.7275394260201 | 13.1440201342418 | 0.907704831720602 |
| 38 | 4105.18 | 4109.78394232916 | -61.929438299715 | -4.60394232915507 | -1.68562661103423 |
| 39 | 4116.68 | 4121.31681963735 | -45.6185323795723 | -4.63681963735389 | 0.416033667024512 |
| 40 | 3844.49 | 3849.04789353429 | -95.9275693601094 | -4.55789353428539 | -1.28377041015625 |
| 41 | 3720.98 | 3725.53041818677 | -102.050680568908 | -4.55041818677158 | -0.156289252734622 |
| 42 | 3674.4 | 3678.96211488358 | -89.7383050460216 | -4.56211488357617 | 0.314317681527007 |
| 43 | 3857.62 | 3862.22689729918 | -29.1571448128794 | -4.60689729918087 | 1.54670297320979 |
| 44 | 3801.06 | 3805.66339925824 | -35.2386997959309 | -4.60339925823721 | -0.155277891589227 |
| 45 | 3504.37 | 3508.94743107151 | -93.2611460507691 | -4.57743107151422 | -1.48151671004765 |
| 46 | 3032.6 | 3037.14817938195 | -177.259938429254 | -4.54817938194637 | -2.14483044050196 |
| 47 | 3047.03 | 3051.58970594275 | -134.720540862608 | -4.55970594275114 | 1.08621788741837 |
| 48 | 2962.34 | 2966.90204673031 | -123.617953506867 | -4.56204673031038 | 0.283500128762141 |
| 49 | 2197.82 | 2207.76348024009 | -263.650756326525 | -9.94348024009174 | -3.75065326528572 |
| 50 | 2014.45 | 2012.96501405620 | -248.603685559212 | 1.48498594380290 | 0.368587950599816 |
| 51 | 1862.83 | 1861.37949323273 | -227.064987347400 | 1.45050676727145 | 0.549502112016056 |
| 52 | 1905.41 | 1904.03409089213 | -167.198963998172 | 1.37590910786566 | 1.52785457454302 |
| 53 | 1810.99 | 1809.62975592235 | -151.043718611370 | 1.36024407764641 | 0.412388934231326 |
| 54 | 1670.07 | 1668.71145132100 | -148.796739178656 | 1.35854867899711 | 0.0573651508928167 |
| 55 | 1864.44 | 1863.12616616894 | -72.6353668387049 | 1.31383383105621 | 1.94454261168317 |
| 56 | 2052.02 | 2050.73254766379 | -14.8863389686501 | 1.28745233621247 | 1.47451012825262 |
| 57 | 2029.6 | 2028.31195337778 | -16.5582263345466 | 1.28804662222115 | -0.0426896344201635 |
| 58 | 2070.83 | 2069.54550031604 | -3.73392340534191 | 1.28449968395841 | 0.327458793443655 |
| 59 | 2293.41 | 2292.13630846946 | 46.4889688057277 | 1.27369153053539 | 1.28241659775575 |
| 60 | 2443.27 | 2442.00014965887 | 69.4286246455843 | 1.26985034113002 | 0.585756406119439 |
