Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 731 | 0 | 74 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 14.2 | 13.5582732429421 | 1.33259771233063 | 13.5091290447273 | -0.64172675705792 |
2 | 13.5 | 14.2025405798360 | -0.905713320648984 | 13.7031727408130 | 0.702540579836022 |
3 | 11.9 | 11.6296125048739 | -1.72682894177256 | 13.8972164368986 | -0.270387495126068 |
4 | 14.6 | 14.5767724739409 | 0.535534824268406 | 14.0876927017907 | -0.0232275260590900 |
5 | 15.6 | 15.9405987050700 | 0.981232328247307 | 14.2781689666827 | 0.340598705069956 |
6 | 14.1 | 13.4576887786527 | 0.277741066587176 | 14.4645701547601 | -0.642311221347272 |
7 | 14.9 | 15.5414474357187 | -0.39241877855618 | 14.6509713428375 | 0.641447435718725 |
8 | 14.2 | 13.9598532280381 | -0.391929870174484 | 14.8320766421364 | -0.240146771961944 |
9 | 14.6 | 14.8615929707132 | -0.67477491214863 | 15.0131819414354 | 0.261592970713227 |
10 | 17.2 | 17.6951441045036 | 1.52834315224783 | 15.1765127432486 | 0.495144104503582 |
11 | 15.4 | 15.6786960879654 | -0.218539633027132 | 15.3398435450618 | 0.278696087965365 |
12 | 14.3 | 13.4554052457377 | -0.34524422560514 | 15.4898389798674 | -0.844594754262257 |
13 | 17.5 | 18.0275678729963 | 1.33259771233063 | 15.6398344146730 | 0.527567872996347 |
14 | 14.5 | 14.1253009896989 | -0.905713320648984 | 15.7804123309501 | -0.374699010301121 |
15 | 14.4 | 14.6058386945454 | -1.72682894177256 | 15.9209902472272 | 0.205838694545379 |
16 | 16.6 | 16.6062024717162 | 0.535534824268406 | 16.0582627040153 | 0.00620247171624655 |
17 | 16.7 | 16.2232325109492 | 0.981232328247307 | 16.1955351608035 | -0.476767489050816 |
18 | 16.6 | 16.6027239596440 | 0.277741066587176 | 16.3195349737688 | 0.00272395964397987 |
19 | 16.9 | 17.748883991822 | -0.39241877855618 | 16.4435347867342 | 0.848883991821992 |
20 | 15.7 | 15.2506556592702 | -0.391929870174484 | 16.5412742109043 | -0.449344340729844 |
21 | 16.4 | 16.8357612770742 | -0.67477491214863 | 16.6390136350745 | 0.435761277074167 |
22 | 18.4 | 18.5508490189744 | 1.52834315224783 | 16.7208078287777 | 0.150849018974441 |
23 | 16.9 | 17.2159376105461 | -0.218539633027132 | 16.802602022481 | 0.31593761054614 |
24 | 16.5 | 16.4262753711937 | -0.34524422560514 | 16.9189688544115 | -0.0737246288063389 |
25 | 18.3 | 18.2320666013274 | 1.33259771233063 | 17.0353356863420 | -0.0679333986725936 |
26 | 15.1 | 13.9114290049310 | -0.905713320648984 | 17.1942843157180 | -1.18857099506904 |
27 | 15.7 | 15.7735959966785 | -1.72682894177256 | 17.3532329450941 | 0.0735959966784918 |
28 | 18.1 | 18.1363483046621 | 0.535534824268406 | 17.5281168710695 | 0.0363483046621162 |
29 | 16.8 | 14.9157668747078 | 0.981232328247307 | 17.7030007970449 | -1.88423312529220 |
30 | 18.9 | 19.6720187002385 | 0.277741066587176 | 17.8502402331743 | 0.772018700238544 |
31 | 19 | 20.3949391092525 | -0.39241877855618 | 17.9974796693037 | 1.39493910925251 |
32 | 18.1 | 18.4843227954527 | -0.391929870174484 | 18.1076070747218 | 0.384322795452725 |
33 | 17.8 | 18.0570404320088 | -0.67477491214863 | 18.2177344801398 | 0.257040432008782 |
34 | 21.5 | 23.1879985965665 | 1.52834315224783 | 18.2836582511857 | 1.68799859656647 |
35 | 17.1 | 16.0689576107956 | -0.218539633027132 | 18.3495820222315 | -1.03104238920441 |
36 | 18.7 | 19.379006102569 | -0.34524422560514 | 18.3662381230361 | 0.679006102569012 |
37 | 19 | 18.2845080638287 | 1.33259771233063 | 18.3828942238407 | -0.715491936171329 |
38 | 16.4 | 15.3334078041516 | -0.905713320648984 | 18.3723055164974 | -1.0665921958484 |
39 | 16.9 | 17.1651121326185 | -1.72682894177256 | 18.3617168091541 | 0.265112132618494 |
40 | 18.6 | 18.2784250678269 | 0.535534824268406 | 18.3860401079047 | -0.321574932173117 |
41 | 19.3 | 19.2084042650973 | 0.981232328247307 | 18.4103634066554 | -0.0915957349026613 |
42 | 19.4 | 20.0293746575068 | 0.277741066587176 | 18.4928842759061 | 0.629374657506752 |
43 | 17.6 | 17.0170136333994 | -0.39241877855618 | 18.5754051451568 | -0.582986366600601 |
44 | 18.6 | 18.9012169327382 | -0.391929870174484 | 18.6907129374363 | 0.301216932738232 |
45 | 18.1 | 18.0687541824329 | -0.67477491214863 | 18.8060207297157 | -0.0312458175670862 |
46 | 20.4 | 20.3397923709642 | 1.52834315224783 | 18.931864476788 | -0.0602076290358333 |
47 | 18.1 | 17.3608314091669 | -0.218539633027132 | 19.0577082238603 | -0.739168590833149 |
48 | 19.6 | 20.3243293670562 | -0.34524422560514 | 19.2209148585490 | 0.724329367056168 |
49 | 19.9 | 19.0832807944317 | 1.33259771233063 | 19.3841214932377 | -0.816719205568287 |
50 | 19.2 | 19.7011018067437 | -0.905713320648984 | 19.6046115139053 | 0.501101806743716 |
51 | 17.8 | 17.5017274071997 | -1.72682894177256 | 19.8251015345729 | -0.298272592800316 |
52 | 19.2 | 17.7754513957340 | 0.535534824268406 | 20.0890137799976 | -1.42454860426596 |
53 | 22 | 22.6658416463305 | 0.981232328247307 | 20.3529260254222 | 0.66584164633047 |
54 | 21.1 | 21.2720538074894 | 0.277741066587176 | 20.6502051259234 | 0.172053807489377 |
55 | 19.5 | 18.4449345521315 | -0.39241877855618 | 20.9474842264247 | -1.05506544786849 |
56 | 22.2 | 23.5440808285770 | -0.391929870174484 | 21.2478490415974 | 1.34408082857703 |
57 | 20.9 | 20.9265610553784 | -0.67477491214863 | 21.5482138567702 | 0.0265610553784086 |
58 | 22.2 | 21.1001013417357 | 1.52834315224783 | 21.7715555060164 | -1.09989865826427 |
59 | 23.5 | 25.2236424777645 | -0.218539633027132 | 21.9948971552627 | 1.72364247776447 |
60 | 21.5 | 21.3556752846334 | -0.34524422560514 | 21.9895689409717 | -0.144324715366604 |
61 | 24.3 | 25.2831615609885 | 1.33259771233063 | 21.9842407266808 | 0.983161560988538 |
62 | 22.8 | 24.785444527483 | -0.905713320648984 | 21.720268793166 | 1.98544452748301 |
63 | 20.3 | 20.8705320821214 | -1.72682894177256 | 21.4562968596511 | 0.570532082121442 |
64 | 23.7 | 25.9191340878657 | 0.535534824268406 | 20.9453310878659 | 2.21913408786573 |
65 | 23.3 | 25.1844023556721 | 0.981232328247307 | 20.4343653160806 | 1.8844023556721 |
66 | 19.6 | 19.0508617942795 | 0.277741066587176 | 19.8713971391333 | -0.549138205720489 |
67 | 18 | 17.0839898163701 | -0.39241877855618 | 19.3084289621860 | -0.916010183629854 |
68 | 17.3 | 16.2666789206518 | -0.391929870174484 | 18.7252509495227 | -1.03332107934820 |
69 | 16.8 | 16.1327019752893 | -0.67477491214863 | 18.1420729368593 | -0.667298024710696 |
70 | 18.2 | 17.3342280880568 | 1.52834315224783 | 17.5374287596954 | -0.865771911943231 |
71 | 16.5 | 16.2857550504957 | -0.218539633027132 | 16.9327845825315 | -0.214244949504337 |
72 | 16 | 16.0229262480767 | -0.34524422560514 | 16.3223179775284 | 0.0229262480767396 |
73 | 18.4 | 19.7555509151440 | 1.33259771233063 | 15.7118513725253 | 1.35555091514404 |