| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 8.5 | 8.50000000000887 | -0.100000000017739 | -8.86945200771742e-12 | -0.493762736911324 |
| 3 | 8.3 | 8.30000000003548 | -0.199999999822610 | -3.54778078943416e-11 | -0.493762736234302 |
| 4 | 7.8 | 7.79999999994235 | -0.5 | 5.76514377763299e-11 | -1.48128821030140 |
| 5 | 7.8 | 7.79999999994235 | -1.11022302462516e-16 | 5.76514377763296e-11 | 2.46881368418236 |
| 6 | 8 | 7.99999999994235 | 0.200000000000000 | 5.76514377763292e-11 | 0.987525473672945 |
| 7 | 8.6 | 8.59999999994235 | 0.599999999999999 | 5.76514377763293e-11 | 1.97505094734588 |
| 8 | 8.9 | 8.89999999994235 | 0.300000000000000 | 5.76514377763294e-11 | -1.48128821050941 |
| 9 | 8.9 | 8.89999999994235 | -1.11022302462516e-16 | 5.76514377763291e-11 | -1.48128821050942 |
| 10 | 8.6 | 8.59999999994235 | -0.300000000000001 | 5.76514377763293e-11 | -1.48128821050942 |
| 11 | 8.3 | 8.29999999994235 | -0.299999999999999 | 5.76514377763292e-11 | 9.87428323542675e-15 |
| 12 | 8.3 | 8.29999999994235 | 5.55111512312578e-16 | 5.76514377763293e-11 | 1.48128821050941 |
| 13 | 8.3 | 8.30000000037252 | 4.30169198642956e-10 | -3.72516982404092e-10 | 2.12401246773705e-09 |
| 14 | 8.4 | 8.40000000049669 | 0.100000000283822 | -4.96689309632006e-10 | 0.493762735358418 |
| 15 | 8.5 | 8.49999999992905 | 0.099999999432355 | 7.09556149734031e-11 | -4.20422810455555e-09 |
| 16 | 8.4 | 8.39999999986696 | -0.100000000000001 | 1.33041778215245e-10 | -0.987525470147529 |
| 17 | 8.6 | 8.59999999986696 | 0.200000000000000 | 1.33041778215244e-10 | 1.48128821050942 |
| 18 | 8.5 | 8.49999999986696 | -0.099999999999999 | 1.33041778215242e-10 | -1.48128821050941 |
| 19 | 8.5 | 8.49999999986696 | 8.04911692853238e-16 | 1.33041778215242e-10 | 0.493762736836471 |
| 20 | 8.4 | 8.39999999986696 | -0.0999999999999986 | 1.33041778215242e-10 | -0.493762736836468 |
| 21 | 8.5 | 8.49999999986696 | 0.0999999999999992 | 1.33041778215242e-10 | 0.987525473672932 |
| 22 | 8.5 | 8.49999999986696 | -2.4980018054066e-16 | 1.33041778215242e-10 | -0.493762736836468 |
| 23 | 8.5 | 8.49999999986696 | -6.17170161844868e-18 | 1.33041778215242e-10 | 1.20294664523938e-15 |
| 24 | 8.5 | 8.49999999986696 | 2.37456777665654e-16 | 1.33041778215242e-10 | 1.20294664702626e-15 |
| 25 | 8.5 | 8.50000000060312 | 7.36164984307555e-10 | -6.03122725170291e-10 | 3.63490720240107e-09 |
| 26 | 8.5 | 8.5000000007273 | 1.24172245109551e-10 | -7.2729505355854e-10 | -3.02179209368127e-09 |
| 27 | 8.5 | 8.49999999986696 | -8.60337761463212e-10 | 1.33041777577645e-10 | -4.86114356290699e-09 |
| 28 | 8.5 | 8.49999999986696 | 6.17590652905404e-17 | 1.33041777310574e-10 | 4.24802757887323e-09 |
| 29 | 8.6 | 8.59999999986696 | 0.1 | 1.33041777310573e-10 | 0.493762736836471 |
| 30 | 8.4 | 8.39999999986696 | -0.199999999999999 | 1.33041777310568e-10 | -1.48128821050941 |
| 31 | 8.1 | 8.09999999986696 | -0.3 | 1.33041777310569e-10 | -0.493762736836477 |
| 32 | 8 | 7.99999999986696 | -0.0999999999999995 | 1.33041777310569e-10 | 0.987525473672945 |
| 33 | 8 | 7.99999999986696 | 3.88578058618805e-16 | 1.33041777310569e-10 | 0.493762736836471 |
| 34 | 8 | 7.99999999986696 | 6.3311121114754e-16 | 1.33041777310569e-10 | 1.20741358639838e-15 |
| 35 | 8 | 7.99999999986696 | -1.05340561789470e-17 | 1.33041777310569e-10 | -3.17808048746968e-15 |
| 36 | 7.9 | 7.89999999986696 | -0.0999999999999994 | 1.33041777310568e-10 | -0.493762736836468 |
| 37 | 7.8 | 7.80000000060312 | -0.0999999992638356 | -6.03122720670524e-10 | 3.63490279468883e-09 |
| 38 | 7.8 | 7.80000000101999 | 5.76514266881212e-10 | -1.01998696898304e-09 | 0.493762735292731 |
| 39 | 7.9 | 7.89999999981374 | 0.0999999987671473 | 1.86258487235213e-10 | 0.493762728920703 |
| 40 | 8.1 | 8.09999999984478 | 0.199999999999999 | 1.55215405469158e-10 | 0.493762742562531 |
| 41 | 8 | 7.99999999984478 | -0.0999999999999995 | 1.55215405469157e-10 | -1.48128821050940 |
| 42 | 7.6 | 7.59999999984478 | -0.4 | 1.55215405469151e-10 | -1.48128821050942 |
| 43 | 7.3 | 7.29999999984478 | -0.300000000000000 | 1.55215405469152e-10 | 0.493762736836474 |
| 44 | 7 | 6.99999999984478 | -0.300000000000000 | 1.55215405469152e-10 | -4.63031783277707e-17 |
| 45 | 6.8 | 6.79999999984478 | -0.2 | 1.55215405469152e-10 | 0.49376273683647 |
| 46 | 7 | 6.99999999984478 | 0.200000000000000 | 1.55215405469152e-10 | 1.97505094734589 |
| 47 | 7.1 | 7.09999999984478 | 0.0999999999999997 | 1.55215405469152e-10 | -0.493762736836474 |
| 48 | 7.2 | 7.19999999984478 | 0.100000000000001 | 1.55215405469152e-10 | 4.33919089502976e-15 |
| 49 | 7.1 | 7.10000000065634 | -0.0999999991440984 | -6.56339402476774e-10 | -0.987525469643896 |
| 50 | 6.9 | 6.9000000010466 | -0.199999999769393 | -1.04659530960808e-09 | -0.493762739168496 |
| 51 | 6.7 | 6.69999999981374 | -0.200000001232855 | 1.86258485943498e-10 | -7.22602864436647e-09 |
| 52 | 6.7 | 6.69999999987583 | -1.66533453693773e-16 | 1.24172323119779e-10 | 0.987525479037717 |
| 53 | 6.6 | 6.59999999987583 | -0.100000000000000 | 1.24172323119780e-10 | -0.493762736836472 |
| 54 | 6.9 | 6.89999999987583 | 0.300000000000001 | 1.24172323119773e-10 | 1.97505094734589 |
| 55 | 7.3 | 7.29999999987583 | 0.399999999999999 | 1.24172323119774e-10 | 0.493762736836463 |
| 56 | 7.5 | 7.49999999987583 | 0.200000000000000 | 1.24172323119774e-10 | -0.987525473672938 |
| 57 | 7.3 | 7.29999999987583 | -0.199999999999999 | 1.24172323119774e-10 | -1.97505094734589 |
| 58 | 7.1 | 7.09999999987583 | -0.2 | 1.24172323119774e-10 | -2.66213956014833e-15 |
| 59 | 6.9 | 6.89999999987583 | -0.199999999999999 | 1.24172323119774e-10 | 6.10884858401404e-15 |
| 60 | 7.1 | 7.09999999987583 | 0.199999999999999 | 1.24172323119773e-10 | 1.97505094734588 |
