Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 12.61 | 14.0584286999257 | -37.3654401908273 | 48.5270114909016 | 1.44842869992573 |
2 | 10.862 | 4.36898896743465 | -30.9835137067524 | 48.3385247393178 | -6.49301103256535 |
3 | 52.929 | 59.7317578843913 | -2.02379587212517 | 48.1500379877339 | 6.80275788439126 |
4 | 56.902 | 55.1252470074015 | 10.7051891670515 | 47.973563825547 | -1.77675299259854 |
5 | 81.776 | 84.2467362830729 | 31.508174053567 | 47.7970896633601 | 2.47073628307286 |
6 | 87.876 | 87.2618269882088 | 40.8537031125849 | 47.6364698992063 | -0.614173011791202 |
7 | 82.103 | 84.8435062084558 | 31.8866436564918 | 47.4758501350524 | 2.74050620845576 |
8 | 72.846 | 67.1979329631758 | 31.1901033238247 | 47.3039637129995 | -5.64806703682424 |
9 | 60.632 | 58.4837723473442 | 15.6481503617092 | 47.1320772909466 | -2.1482276526558 |
10 | 33.521 | 30.5473503066624 | -10.3989773779415 | 46.8936270712792 | -2.97364969333763 |
11 | 15.342 | 18.1101315942980 | -34.0813084459098 | 46.6551768516117 | 2.76813159429803 |
12 | 7.758 | 15.9346298368019 | -46.9389334761924 | 46.5203036393906 | 8.17662983680187 |
13 | 8.668 | 8.31600976365794 | -37.3654401908273 | 46.3854304271694 | -0.351990236342061 |
14 | 13.082 | 10.8461546352834 | -30.9835137067524 | 46.301359071469 | -2.23584536471656 |
15 | 38.157 | 32.1205081563566 | -2.02379587212517 | 46.2172877157685 | -6.03649184364338 |
16 | 58.263 | 59.6915765229133 | 10.7051891670515 | 46.1292343100352 | 1.42857652291329 |
17 | 81.153 | 84.7566450421312 | 31.508174053567 | 46.0411809043018 | 3.60364504213117 |
18 | 88.476 | 90.0066900773342 | 40.8537031125849 | 46.0916068100808 | 1.53069007733423 |
19 | 72.329 | 66.6293236276483 | 31.8866436564918 | 46.1420327158598 | -5.69967637235167 |
20 | 75.845 | 74.284341505331 | 31.1901033238247 | 46.2155551708443 | -1.56065849466903 |
21 | 61.108 | 60.2787720124621 | 15.6481503617092 | 46.2890776258287 | -0.82922798753792 |
22 | 37.665 | 39.8179275478828 | -10.3989773779415 | 45.9110498300587 | 2.15292754788280 |
23 | 12.755 | 14.0582864116210 | -34.0813084459098 | 45.5330220342888 | 1.30328641162102 |
24 | 2.793 | 7.80808403188616 | -46.9389334761924 | 44.7168494443063 | 5.01508403188616 |
25 | 12.935 | 19.3347633365036 | -37.3654401908273 | 43.9006768543238 | 6.39976333650355 |
26 | 19.533 | 26.8212045742047 | -30.9835137067524 | 43.2283091325477 | 7.2882045742047 |
27 | 33.404 | 26.2758544613535 | -2.02379587212517 | 42.5559414107717 | -7.12814553864649 |
28 | 52.074 | 51.3226180338142 | 10.7051891670515 | 42.1201927991343 | -0.751381966185811 |
29 | 70.735 | 68.2773817589361 | 31.508174053567 | 41.6844441874969 | -2.45761824106393 |
30 | 69.702 | 56.8600379721069 | 40.8537031125849 | 41.6902589153082 | -12.8419620278931 |
31 | 61.656 | 49.7292827003887 | 31.8866436564918 | 41.6960736431195 | -11.9267172996113 |
32 | 82.993 | 92.5300875213702 | 31.1901033238247 | 42.265809154805 | 9.53708752137024 |
33 | 53.99 | 49.4963049718003 | 15.6481503617092 | 42.8355446664906 | -4.49369502819974 |
34 | 32.283 | 31.0921842084374 | -10.3989773779415 | 43.8727931695042 | -1.19081579156263 |
35 | 15.686 | 20.5432667733920 | -34.0813084459098 | 44.9100416725178 | 4.85726677339196 |
36 | 2.713 | 6.40367270169268 | -46.9389334761924 | 45.9612607744998 | 3.69067270169268 |
37 | 12.842 | 16.0369603143456 | -37.3654401908273 | 47.0124798764817 | 3.19496031434562 |
38 | 19.244 | 21.6992090315541 | -30.9835137067524 | 47.7723046751983 | 2.4552090315541 |
39 | 48.488 | 50.4676663982103 | -2.02379587212517 | 48.5321294739149 | 1.97966639821026 |
40 | 54.464 | 49.0318241235195 | 10.7051891670515 | 49.190986709429 | -5.43217587648054 |
41 | 84.192 | 87.0259820014899 | 31.508174053567 | 49.8498439449431 | 2.83398200148987 |
42 | 84.458 | 77.5871878575259 | 40.8537031125849 | 50.4751090298891 | -6.87081214247407 |
43 | 85.793 | 88.598982228673 | 31.8866436564918 | 51.1003741148351 | 2.80598222867302 |
44 | 75.163 | 66.8994314848926 | 31.1901033238247 | 52.2364651912827 | -8.2635685151074 |
45 | 68.212 | 67.4032933705606 | 15.6481503617092 | 53.3725562677302 | -0.808706629439364 |
46 | 49.233 | 53.6027070269077 | -10.3989773779415 | 55.2622703510338 | 4.36970702690769 |
47 | 24.302 | 25.5333240115723 | -34.0813084459098 | 57.1519844343375 | 1.23132401157226 |
48 | 5.402 | -1.91091190368085 | -46.9389334761924 | 59.6538453798733 | -7.31291190368085 |
49 | 15.058 | 5.32573386541827 | -37.3654401908273 | 62.1557063254091 | -9.73226613458173 |
50 | 33.559 | 33.5116158043584 | -30.9835137067524 | 64.589897902394 | -0.0473841956415981 |
51 | 70.358 | 75.7157063927462 | -2.02379587212517 | 67.024089479379 | 5.35770639274622 |
52 | 85.934 | 93.2000490215971 | 10.7051891670515 | 67.9627618113514 | 7.26604902159713 |
53 | 94.452 | 88.4943918031092 | 31.508174053567 | 68.9014341433238 | -5.95760819689077 |
54 | 129.305 | 148.189140153249 | 40.8537031125849 | 69.567156734166 | 18.8841401532490 |
55 | 113.882 | 125.6444770185 | 31.8866436564918 | 70.2328793250082 | 11.7624770184999 |
56 | 107.256 | 112.478090080801 | 31.1901033238247 | 70.8438065953747 | 5.22209008080056 |
57 | 94.274 | 101.445115772550 | 15.6481503617092 | 71.4547338657412 | 7.17111577254965 |
58 | 57.842 | 54.2025935876946 | -10.3989773779415 | 71.8803837902469 | -3.63940641230538 |
59 | 26.611 | 14.9972747311571 | -34.0813084459098 | 72.3060337147527 | -11.6137252688429 |
60 | 14.521 | 3.45342772496797 | -46.9389334761924 | 72.5275057512245 | -11.0675722750320 |