| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 12.61 | 12.61 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 10.862 | 11.0828672821044 | -1.50860320952407 | -0.0225668352436757 | -0.126249350958434 |
| 3 | 52.929 | 48.9962941638756 | 31.254059042574 | 0.495565418558109 | 2.61768314566366 |
| 4 | 56.902 | 59.1770706445519 | 13.5654349839527 | -0.470055612996635 | -1.38565518532504 |
| 5 | 81.776 | 80.930886941939 | 20.4465498450878 | 0.148663854785963 | 0.536640806069929 |
| 6 | 87.876 | 89.1506096700705 | 10.1692317691120 | -0.234551734047299 | -0.801484967089568 |
| 7 | 82.103 | 83.6431853937394 | -3.00797803737493 | -0.206685486847060 | -1.02762168396522 |
| 8 | 72.846 | 73.5290833399343 | -8.98095349870496 | -0.0786365665032419 | -0.465799844794899 |
| 9 | 60.632 | 60.9963124177665 | -11.9663702759644 | -0.0621974291080388 | -0.232816402140239 |
| 10 | 33.521 | 34.9369457985559 | -23.8119867850775 | -0.217205883664445 | -0.923775137241195 |
| 11 | 15.342 | 14.9534962175302 | -20.5939759365642 | 0.062850994727716 | 0.250955144966296 |
| 12 | 7.758 | 6.60583897758652 | -10.3005420976656 | 0.110497217428470 | 0.802728860414777 |
| 13 | 8.668 | 5.81753934396635 | -2.40329492652601 | 2.05128337504693 | 0.655939473832896 |
| 14 | 13.082 | 13.1927333175983 | 4.91449237379882 | -0.729585148294846 | 0.55055321953142 |
| 15 | 38.157 | 35.4359290678053 | 19.4053780784435 | 1.29951168771893 | 1.11850226653469 |
| 16 | 58.263 | 58.7089275138791 | 22.6174029869981 | -0.762077660144641 | 0.249127121446530 |
| 17 | 81.153 | 81.0068917260313 | 22.3517924376205 | 0.172491883545345 | -0.0207112969486771 |
| 18 | 88.476 | 89.9615598180455 | 11.2032456055016 | -0.377804598686632 | -0.869407601067636 |
| 19 | 72.329 | 75.1937589627086 | -10.408916149691 | -0.717300929099647 | -1.68540782114614 |
| 20 | 75.845 | 74.7667046529652 | -2.10286220575664 | 0.252971581914754 | 0.647743891629529 |
| 21 | 61.108 | 62.127771647823 | -10.8699442672395 | -0.148638090802777 | -0.683696992849525 |
| 22 | 37.665 | 39.1285789952223 | -20.9628440466694 | -0.460706676125451 | -0.787090383584229 |
| 23 | 12.755 | 13.3070745919578 | -25.0058676937989 | -0.150342838160140 | -0.315293717848813 |
| 24 | 2.793 | 1.38282202815692 | -14.1239582107167 | 0.328923549006731 | 0.848655876966169 |
| 25 | 12.935 | 7.98920170616936 | 3.02867928960908 | 3.23726767315701 | 1.38744458928601 |
| 26 | 19.533 | 20.0460373536991 | 10.0015744010874 | -1.13510616084411 | 0.532305073145996 |
| 27 | 33.404 | 32.1564818237447 | 11.7469119362485 | 1.07716399100241 | 0.135594974026667 |
| 28 | 52.074 | 52.2312017404647 | 18.61362923975 | -0.82476759888906 | 0.532919493011592 |
| 29 | 70.735 | 70.6305892079625 | 18.4368745433025 | 0.121727151209290 | -0.0137819842439173 |
| 30 | 69.702 | 71.2552918134755 | 3.72942122460838 | -0.111807667879856 | -1.14694751302606 |
| 31 | 61.656 | 64.0487712462596 | -5.30062778902171 | -1.50773575256292 | -0.704200211894905 |
| 32 | 82.993 | 80.1520691814166 | 12.3719912426615 | 1.10881922022661 | 1.37819121236529 |
| 33 | 53.99 | 58.0198592363724 | -16.1167299054657 | -1.23764956756872 | -2.22168025573951 |
| 34 | 32.283 | 33.2094940674372 | -23.2949205662593 | -0.222951907601569 | -0.559788502309544 |
| 35 | 15.686 | 15.3473496634560 | -18.8091536847213 | -0.101005135953088 | 0.349821393694377 |
| 36 | 2.713 | 2.38804177159773 | -13.9821878787040 | -0.148109919508397 | 0.376506474288897 |
| 37 | 12.842 | 7.43368471734079 | 1.69611469712785 | 3.86547677596848 | 1.25103833942915 |
| 38 | 19.244 | 19.3666479898614 | 9.73308075203045 | -0.85829455097543 | 0.618024387825977 |
| 39 | 48.488 | 45.9750292643889 | 23.5956491276656 | 1.16731101091209 | 1.08064952470948 |
| 40 | 54.464 | 57.2217129639625 | 13.4655842784501 | -1.78106470243455 | -0.786573031994737 |
| 41 | 84.192 | 81.9622265592937 | 22.714855802951 | 1.33231820310880 | 0.721129083752896 |
| 42 | 84.458 | 86.1492161864319 | 7.50275594221478 | -0.214293812565613 | -1.18630835891614 |
| 43 | 85.793 | 89.2173086236319 | 3.86146239141382 | -3.07078581640771 | -0.283962168235679 |
| 44 | 75.163 | 74.8612724240297 | -11.0959683068120 | 1.75392237783798 | -1.16644825758991 |
| 45 | 68.212 | 68.3246823303404 | -7.35255475970011 | -0.476125075254182 | 0.291928465650611 |
| 46 | 49.233 | 50.7861797365409 | -15.7159178817256 | -0.741191925467494 | -0.65221512970741 |
| 47 | 24.302 | 25.3875584005483 | -23.6657057564914 | -0.313724952226912 | -0.619960619289993 |
| 48 | 5.402 | 5.61400868144263 | -20.4728880593442 | -0.521970669325929 | 0.249106809088507 |
| 49 | 15.058 | 8.61641382626614 | -1.20267889081468 | 4.56234399931606 | 1.52525779754397 |
| 50 | 33.559 | 32.7949892205042 | 18.9140962374953 | -1.10358250841922 | 1.55360079554271 |
| 51 | 70.358 | 66.7656614776629 | 31.2178664026203 | 2.40348466478285 | 0.960782167067227 |
| 52 | 85.934 | 89.6965366649136 | 24.4442224290110 | -3.11283650254278 | -0.526226607251592 |
| 53 | 94.452 | 94.6032092116905 | 8.4812608069871 | 1.38772780784158 | -1.24444063475967 |
| 54 | 129.305 | 126.500437011467 | 27.6296193408603 | 0.957045553653579 | 1.49328823388129 |
| 55 | 113.882 | 120.186806291249 | -0.130873913536771 | -3.62642713734118 | -2.16486342413476 |
| 56 | 107.256 | 107.242542759777 | -10.6097213538877 | 1.02449179706736 | -0.817187590701938 |
| 57 | 94.274 | 94.5040688242742 | -12.3506039190539 | -0.0621022736215493 | -0.135762018448798 |
| 58 | 57.842 | 60.4446207871977 | -30.1046833984037 | -0.889639641589453 | -1.38455256413862 |
| 59 | 26.611 | 26.7291040877191 | -33.057360256343 | 0.166777849533818 | -0.230261871505932 |
| 60 | 14.521 | 13.3173635829197 | -17.0074905021727 | -0.344857265854788 | 1.25257362106019 |
