Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.66962132181715
beta0
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
130.616590.6124975009721890.00409249902781061
140.61160.6094778529537740.00212214704622571
150.615730.6151582273487060.000571772651294267
160.614070.614161909656626-9.1909656625977e-05
170.628230.62808601512280.000143984877200243
180.644050.6431368538542590.00091314614574145
190.63870.6157118160601380.0229881839398619
200.636330.652568374770993-0.0162383747709927
210.630590.640196745644255-0.00960674564425479
220.629940.636568216833885-0.00662821683388526
230.637090.6270535176546550.0100364823453450
240.642170.6342721909358440.0078978090641565
250.657110.6353811248611230.021728875138877
260.669770.6431264109400540.026643589059946
270.682550.6649488831037420.0176011168962579
280.689020.6748948689523470.0141251310476532
290.713220.6999283214535810.0132916785464188
300.702240.725875451407125-0.0236354514071250
310.700450.6868884376184670.0135615623815333
320.699190.70505955943636-0.00586955943635947
330.696930.701769731679134-0.00483973167913399
340.697630.702615579996933-0.00498557999693339
350.692780.699619890729639-0.00683989072963931
360.701960.6947104784078690.00724952159213132
370.692150.699737775508837-0.00758777550883682
380.67690.688879878046408-0.0119798780464085
390.671240.681751226894113-0.0105112268941132
400.665320.671704469979952-0.00638446997995168
410.671570.682223139164555-0.0106531391645552
420.664280.679558931514768-0.0152789315147677
430.665760.6589505191081310.00680948089186895
440.669420.6660746952025170.00334530479748285
450.68130.6692829778789840.0120170221210159
460.691440.681271253541480.0101687464585204
470.698620.6878113604641390.0108086395358614
480.6950.699369288308636-0.00436928830863603
490.698670.6917401560229610.00692984397703855
500.689680.6890562416716740.000623758328326174
510.692330.6908254459327940.00150455406720562
520.682930.690097840493339-0.00716784049333918
530.683990.69901943908038-0.0150294390803799
540.668950.691871173926501-0.0229211739265007
550.687560.6733545980810970.0142054019189030
560.685270.6842974029987450.000972597001255071
570.67760.688802500116735-0.0112025001167348
580.681370.684598615739255-0.00322861573925481
590.679330.682354259245283-0.00302425924528293
600.679220.679669736423884-0.000449736423883906


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
610.6784244413199210.6558436308190110.701005251820831
620.6693137700754710.6422607946432020.69636674550774
630.6709321018889880.6399234802470970.70194072353088
640.6664839277424070.6321403050019610.700827550482853
650.6772898340375420.639406541379350.715173126695734
660.6774335461866460.6366737221857490.718193370187543
670.6865695388293880.6427071266353860.73043195102339
680.6836334348937610.637433444366890.729833425420631
690.6834266628907440.6348745145094010.731978811272087
700.6893987928348970.6382411943776640.740556391292131
710.6893705614648640.6360816824161990.742659440513529
720.689551747635884-25.947317825718627.3264213209903