Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 283.042 | NA | NA | 1.01112979103349 | NA |
2 | 276.687 | NA | NA | 0.99084022032972 | NA |
3 | 277.915 | NA | NA | 1.00098477841217 | NA |
4 | 277.128 | NA | NA | 1.01098799963399 | NA |
5 | 277.103 | NA | NA | 1.00646333652994 | NA |
6 | 275.037 | NA | NA | 0.990726073753508 | NA |
7 | 270.15 | 272.816853699805 | 278.542666666667 | 0.979443677209733 | 0.990224747248425 |
8 | 267.14 | 267.679670971462 | 278.956583333333 | 0.959574668476649 | 0.997983892577634 |
9 | 264.993 | 264.752532107580 | 279.353708333333 | 0.9477322985513 | 1.00090827419291 |
10 | 287.259 | 288.163595661712 | 279.678833333333 | 1.03033752045964 | 0.99686082601921 |
11 | 291.186 | 290.680796618511 | 279.944125 | 1.03835290924041 | 1.00173800053999 |
12 | 292.3 | 289.521516082251 | 280.156791666667 | 1.03342672636945 | 1.00959681323636 |
13 | 288.186 | 283.564103465173 | 280.442833333333 | 1.01112979103349 | 1.01629930050506 |
14 | 281.477 | 278.380936112608 | 280.954416666667 | 0.99084022032972 | 1.01112168071071 |
15 | 282.656 | 281.795399679833 | 281.518166666667 | 1.00098477841217 | 1.00305398995564 |
16 | 280.19 | 284.984753373325 | 281.887375 | 1.01098799963399 | 0.983175403888909 |
17 | 280.408 | 283.796660598584 | 281.974166666667 | 1.00646333652994 | 0.988059547313078 |
18 | 276.836 | 279.34017012517 | 281.955 | 0.990726073753508 | 0.99103540989451 |
19 | 275.216 | 275.763999724529 | 281.551666666667 | 0.979443677209733 | 0.998012794545059 |
20 | 274.352 | 269.316985231828 | 280.662875 | 0.959574668476649 | 1.01869549654968 |
21 | 271.311 | 264.869971934908 | 279.477625 | 0.9477322985513 | 1.02431769829565 |
22 | 289.802 | 286.756326331685 | 278.313 | 1.03033752045964 | 1.01062112110054 |
23 | 290.726 | 287.802179501165 | 277.171833333333 | 1.03835290924041 | 1.01015913258163 |
24 | 292.3 | 284.806119108168 | 275.593916666667 | 1.03342672636945 | 1.02631221869565 |
25 | 278.506 | 276.828504492612 | 273.781375 | 1.01112979103349 | 1.00605969212044 |
26 | 269.826 | 269.202824436703 | 271.691458333333 | 0.99084022032972 | 1.00231489236638 |
27 | 265.861 | 269.279961872248 | 269.015041666667 | 1.00098477841217 | 0.987303318641027 |
28 | 269.034 | 269.140844314561 | 266.215666666667 | 1.01098799963399 | 0.99960301709377 |
29 | 264.176 | 265.379094451616 | 263.674875 | 1.00646333652994 | 0.995466506304492 |
30 | 255.198 | 258.448523006665 | 260.867791666667 | 0.990726073753508 | 0.987422938352096 |
31 | 253.353 | 252.832244099864 | 258.138625 | 0.979443677209733 | 1.00205968942763 |
32 | 246.057 | 245.533567233134 | 255.8775 | 0.959574668476649 | 1.00213181754643 |
33 | 235.372 | 240.720054947453 | 253.995833333333 | 0.9477322985513 | 0.977783093524881 |
34 | 258.556 | 260.016448901226 | 252.360458333333 | 1.03033752045964 | 0.994383244185523 |
35 | 260.993 | 260.324635846277 | 250.709208333333 | 1.03835290924041 | 1.00256742567429 |
36 | 254.663 | 257.485416743139 | 249.156916666667 | 1.03342672636945 | 0.989038537487525 |
37 | 250.643 | 250.481284875612 | 247.724166666667 | 1.01112979103349 | 1.00064561759362 |
38 | 243.422 | 243.936976808424 | 246.192041666667 | 0.99084022032972 | 0.997888894028444 |
39 | 247.105 | 245.223461523465 | 244.982208333333 | 1.00098477841217 | 1.00767275066116 |
40 | 248.541 | 246.867177951625 | 244.184083333333 | 1.01098799963399 | 1.00678025350419 |
41 | 245.039 | 244.785973930794 | 243.214 | 1.00646333652994 | 1.00103366244864 |
42 | 237.08 | 240.118233030836 | 242.365916666667 | 0.990726073753508 | 0.987346929083697 |
43 | 237.085 | 236.843479031867 | 241.814291666667 | 0.979443677209733 | 1.00101974928387 |
44 | 225.554 | 231.930756679642 | 241.701625 | 0.959574668476649 | 0.972505773831237 |
45 | 226.839 | 229.522597840069 | 242.180833333333 | 0.9477322985513 | 0.988307914491542 |
46 | 247.934 | 250.577140499725 | 243.199083333333 | 1.03033752045964 | 0.989451789199711 |
47 | 248.333 | 254.217519945875 | 244.827666666667 | 1.03835290924041 | 0.976852421709064 |
48 | 246.969 | 255.563759745455 | 247.297416666667 | 1.03342672636945 | 0.966369411085455 |
49 | 245.098 | 253.118732674707 | 250.332583333333 | 1.01112979103349 | 0.968312370285865 |
50 | 246.263 | 251.290951638702 | 253.614 | 0.99084022032972 | 0.979991513399453 |
51 | 255.765 | 257.493574644940 | 257.24025 | 1.00098477841217 | 0.993286921247165 |
52 | 264.319 | 263.855062056475 | 260.987333333333 | 1.01098799963399 | 1.00175830601812 |
53 | 268.347 | 266.545879010461 | 264.834166666667 | 1.00646333652994 | 1.00675726443877 |
54 | 273.046 | 266.253421735442 | 268.74575 | 0.990726073753508 | 1.02551170317468 |
55 | 273.963 | NA | NA | 0.979443677209733 | NA |
56 | 267.43 | NA | NA | 0.959574668476649 | NA |
57 | 271.993 | NA | NA | 0.9477322985513 | NA |
58 | 292.71 | NA | NA | 1.03033752045964 | NA |
59 | 295.881 | NA | NA | 1.03835290924041 | NA |
60 | 293.299 | NA | NA | 1.03342672636945 | NA |